Here is a little spin to think about: 4 plays in the ISU v. UNI game could account for at least a 20 point swing.
Pick Six 1st qrtr: +7 for UNI;
Turnover on downs inside 10 in 2nd qrtr: -3 (or -7) for ISU;
fumble by Flynn in to Endzone: -7 for ISU;
Punt Muff by Baum: +3 for UNI
Adjusted score: ISU: 38 UNI: 17 -Thats probably a little closer to most predictions.
With that said there is still no excuse for what happened saturday, but I'll take the W and hope for improvement this week.