Likelihood of Wins In Order

[CyFan61]

Because I'm bored and can't wait for football, I'm gonna try this, and welcome you to discuss and provide your own.

Take the ISU schedule...

vs. Northern Iowa
vs. Iowa
@ Connecticut
vs. Texas
@ Baylor
@ Missouri
vs. Texas A&M
@ Texas Tech
vs. Kansas
vs. Oklahoma State
@ Oklahoma
@ Kansas State

...and rank the 12 games in order of how likely it is that ISU gets a win, from most to least. Also, "draw the line" between games ISU will win and the ones we'll lose.

Here's mine:

1) vs. Northern Iowa
2) vs. Kansas
3) @ Connecticut
4) vs. Iowa
5) @ Kansas State
6) vs. Texas

---wins above, losses below---

7) @ Baylor
8) @ Texas Tech
9) @ Missouri
10) vs. Texas A&M
11) vs. Oklahoma State
12) @ Oklahoma

Now it's your turn.

(P.S. If I'm right, the season may be particularly interesting... starting out 4-0 only to fall to 4-4... and entering our last game at 5-6 needing a W to get bowl eligible.)

[awd4cy]

I agree but the only thing I would switch is Texas and Baylor. I think we have a good chance at beating Baylor on the road as long as our defense plays well.

[hoosman]

FWIW - I dreamt last night that we we up by 14 in the 2nd half, then pulled off the victory by 1 point against Iowa. Also, I offered to pay for 2 tickets for Hawkeye fans to come to Ames - but they declined because they weren't sure they would win. Even though we've been blown out 2 straight years, I think the line will be 10 points or less this year.

[Cyclonefarmer]

I agree but the only thing I would switch is Texas and Baylor. I think we have a good chance at beating Baylor on the road as long as our defense plays well.

I never follow FB close enough but I only really see 2 or maaybe 3 wins because I don't know enough about how or if we're progressing as a program. I was able to watch a few games last year, but unlike BB I am totally lost on recruiting,talent level of opposition,key players, etc. mainly due to no media here except CF. Here's hoping I grossly underestimated us!!

[mikeiastat]

Because I'm bored and can't wait for football, I'm gonna try this, and welcome you to discuss and provide your own.

Take the ISU schedule...

vs. Northern Iowa
vs. Iowa
@ Connecticut
vs. Texas
@ Baylor
@ Missouri
vs. Texas A&M
@ Texas Tech
vs. Kansas
vs. Oklahoma State
@ Oklahoma
@ Kansas State

...and rank the 12 games in order of how likely it is that ISU gets a win, from most to least. Also, "draw the line" between games ISU will win and the ones we'll lose.

Here's mine:

1) vs. Northern Iowa
2) vs. Kansas
3) @ Connecticut
4) vs. Iowa
5) @ Kansas State
6) vs. Texas

---wins above, losses below---

7) @ Baylor
8) @ Texas Tech
9) @ Missouri
10) vs. Texas A&M
11) vs. Oklahoma State
12) @ Oklahoma

Now it's your turn.

(P.S. If I'm right, the season may be particularly interesting... starting out 4-0 only to fall to 4-4... and entering our last game at 5-6 needing a W to get bowl eligible.)

Haven't looked at the season this way, but makes for a very trickey season. I'd say the only teams that are real solidly in their spots on that list are 1,2,11, & 12. All the rest are at least somewhat interchangable. I think I'd slide Iowa down a little, but its a slipery slope. really hard to say. I'd also swap TX and baylor. TX will be motivated thats for sure.

[j4state]

If we don't win it's going to be a looong season:

1) UNI
2) KU

Roughly a coin toss:

3) UConn
4) K St

Show up and chances are we are in it:

5) Tech
6) Iowa
7) Texas
8) Baylor
9) Ok St
10) Mizzou
11) A&M

No way, no how:

12) OU

Haven't picked the season game-by-game yet, but will likely end up with 4 or 5 W's; mostly due to schedule.

[IcSyU]

Need one more category and I pretty much agree with j4state.

Unlikely but small chance:
Oklahoma State
A&M
Missouri

[j4state]

Need one more category and I pretty much agree with j4state.

Unlikely but small chance:
Oklahoma State
A&M
Missouri

Started out that way then combined them. Those three are tough but they don't scare me as much as they maybe should.

For the Okie St game the x-factor is going to be Jack Trice Stadium. I could actually see us pulling it off.

[im4cyclones]

If we don't win it's going to be a looong season:

1) UNI
2) KU

Roughly a coin toss:

3) UConn
4) K St

Show up and chances are we are in it:

5) Tech
6) Iowa
7) Texas
8) Baylor
9) Ok St
10) Mizzou
11) A&M

No way, no how:

12) OU

Haven't picked the season game-by-game yet, but will likely end up with 4 or 5 W's; mostly due to schedule.

Agreed. This is how I would rank our chances.

[Istate]

Should wins
Northern Iowa
Kansas

Toss-ups

UCONN
KSU

Will need a break
TTech
Baylor
OSU
Iowa
Texas

Will need more than a few breaks
Missouri
aTm
Oklahoma

I'll be thrilled with 6-6, but think 5-7 is more likely.