Williams Blog: Odds analyst tabs ISU at 3-9

**ChrisMWilliams** · 06-13-2012, 09:46 AM

Chris Williams' Blog on Iowa State Football: Beyond the Bets isn't optimistic about the Cyclones | Cyclone Fanatic

**2020cy** · 06-13-2012, 09:53 AM

That would make for a long and depressing season. It certainly is possible, we were only a handful of plays away from that last year. I would predict a few more wins than that.

**State43** · 06-13-2012, 09:59 AM

I love how everyone but us get's a homefield advantage in their spread. Hacks that will be proven wrong again.

**Cycsk** · 06-13-2012, 10:05 AM

Originally Posted by ChrisMWilliams

Chris Williams' Blog on Iowa State Football: Beyond the Bets isn't optimistic about the Cyclones | Cyclone Fanatic

We need to have more than 7-6 (or 6-7) seasons to get more favorable reactions from the betting world. A few big wins are helping us, but we need some big seasons to take us over the hump.

Now, where can I make a bet on the season based on these guys predictions? I would love to make them put their money where their mouths are.

**CLONECONES** · 06-13-2012, 10:15 AM

Originally Posted by Cycsk

We need to have more than 7-6 (or 6-7) seasons to get more favorable reactions from the betting world. A few big wins are helping us, but we need some big seasons to take us over the hump.

Now, where can I make a bet on the season based on these guys predictions? I would love to make them put their money where their mouths are.

Might take awhile for that since we're in the BigXII

**dualthreat** · 06-13-2012, 10:18 AM

Puts the head coaches job in perspective. Fans want 6, 7 wins, media can only find 3 wins on the tough schedule.

**Doc** · 06-13-2012, 10:19 AM

Being favored in 3 games isn't the same as a 3-9 prediction. Theoretically, take team that's a 2-point underdog in every single game. That's not an 0-12 prediction.

That being said, is there an over/under on our wins? I think it would be 4.5 based on those lines, but maybe 3.5.

**Knownothing** · 06-13-2012, 10:19 AM

Can you bet on the over under on 3 wins? Just curious. I am not a betting man but this would be a bet I would take the over. I would slap 50 bucks down on this one. I have never bet on a football game but this would be the first.

**Tedcyclone** · 06-13-2012, 11:21 AM

Tulsa = ISU Win
@ Iowa = ISU Win
Western Illinois = ISU Win
Texas Tech = ISU Win
KState = ISU Win
Baylor = ISU Win
Oklahoma = ISU Win
Thats 7 wins in my book

**erikbj** · 06-13-2012, 11:29 AM

Oklahoma a win????

**acgclone** · 06-13-2012, 11:30 AM

I can see how we get to 7 wins. I can also see how we win 4. I see the odds of us winning less than 4 about the same as winning 8+

**Incyte** · 06-13-2012, 11:31 AM

Originally Posted by Doc

Being favored in 3 games isn't the same as a 3-9 prediction. Theoretically, take team that's a 2-point underdog in every single game. That's not an 0-12 prediction.

That being said, is there an over/under on our wins? I think it would be 4.5 based on those lines, but maybe 3.5.

Exactly. I wish more people would realize this (including Mr. Williams). There is no 3-9 prediction here.

**nwiafan** · 06-13-2012, 11:33 AM

Originally Posted by Tedcyclone

Tulsa = ISU Win
@ Iowa = ISU Win
Western Illinois = ISU Win
Texas Tech = ISU Win
KState = ISU Win
Baylor = ISU Win
Oklahoma = ISU Win
Thats 7 wins in my book

lose to Kansas, but beat Oklahoma???

**cyclones500** · 06-13-2012, 11:34 AM

I think if you laid equal money on each of the following games and took ISU to beat the spread, you'd come out ahead:

Tulsa
Tech
TCU
KSU
Baylor
OU
WVa

Iowa, Texas and Western Illinois are all possibilities, too, but factors in each case makes me think it'd reduce the overall take.