This is why I no longer buy preseason previews. They do nothing but skim over the team and offer a poorly researched guess on what will happen. I suppose it works if you think they are just screwing up the assessment on your team, but I'm pretty sure it's half-***ed on most.
I liken preseason rankings to recruiting rankings. The recruitniks study the top 20 or so prospects at each position pretty well, but everything after that is pretty much a crap shoot.
Preseason pollsters study the top 25ish teams pretty well, but everything past that may as well be drawn out of a hat. Aside from that, the preseason top 25 polls they release invariably have so many failures each year that its a wonder that anyone pays any attention to them at all.
To go off on a tangent a bit, the main reason I don't like preseason polls is because it makes it very difficult to knock higher ranked teams from their perches even if they play poorly as long as they are still winning. This is why I don't think they should do any polls of ANY type until at least 4 weeks into the season.
Last edited by ISUAlum2002; 08-02-2008 at 11:12 PM.
I have always contended that the difference between the worst team in the country and the 50th team in the country is very very small. The difference is usually an un-known group of players being way better than they were thought to be, great coaching, or just plain dumb luck. (See ND in the '90's)
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