Who do we have a chance to beat?

We have a chance:
North Dakota State- Home
Kent State- Home
Army Home
Kansas State
Baylor- Home
Texas A and M
Colorado- Home
Little chance
Iowa- Home
Nebraska
Oklahoma State- Home
Mizzou
Kansas

We have a chance:
North Dakota State- Home
Kent State- Home
Army Home
Kansas State
Baylor- Home
Colorado- Home
Iowa- Home---due to the fact that we have not lost here since '03 and it is our rivalry game, teams sometimes have more motivation here than during the rest of the season.

We Maybe have a chance:
Texas A and M

Little chance
Nebraska
Oklahoma State- Home
Mizzou
Kansas

i see us beating nebraska

Good chance:
North Dakota State- Home
Army - Home
Kansas State - KC
Colorado- Home

50/50 chance:
Iowa - Home
Kent State- Away
Baylor - Home
Texas A&M - Away

Little chance
Nebraska - Away
Oklahoma State- Home
Mizzou - Away
Kansas - Away

Play the odds on the 50/50 and that's 6-6. I'd take it. Right now it's easy to say I know better than to expect it, but we'll see how grounded I am mid-August when the summer won't end fast enough.

I'm not sure what gives ISU better than a 50% chance against KSU. They return almost everyone except their QB from a team that was better than ISU a year ago, and lost an incompetent coach for one of the better coaches historically. I assume KSU will be favored.

Also, I'm not sure ISU would be favored over Colorado either. They should be solid.

Great chance:
North Dakota State - Home (win)
Army - Home (win)

Good chance:
Kent State - Away (win)
Kansas State - Neutral (home) (win)
Colorado - Home (win this or Iowa)

50/50 chance:
Iowa - Home (win this or Colorado)

Little chance:
Baylor - Home (loss)
Missouri - Away (loss)
Texas A&M - Away (loss)

Slim chance:
Nebraska - Away (loss)
Kansas - Away (loss)
Oklahoma State - Home (loss)

I think we'll win 4 games... maybe 5. More is possible but can not be expected with a new staff.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kucyclone

I'm not sure what gives ISU better than a 50% chance against KSU. They return almost everyone except their QB from a team that was better than ISU a year ago, and lost an incompetent coach for one of the better coaches historically. I assume KSU will be favored.

Also, I'm not sure ISU would be favored over Colorado either. They should be solid.

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Considering we were 3 yards (twice) from beating them at CU this year, I like our chances next year. Our players will have massive chips on their shoulders, and our coach will still have both feet in the door. Can't say KSU scares me that much either, but it would be better at home.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kucyclone

I'm not sure what gives ISU better than a 50% chance against KSU. They return almost everyone except their QB from a team that was better than ISU a year ago, and lost an incompetent coach for one of the better coaches historically. I assume KSU will be favored.

Also, I'm not sure ISU would be favored over Colorado either. They should be solid.

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I agree about KSU. I don't know how we would be favored to win. About Colorado though... they were supposed to be "solid" this year. We almost beat them in Boulder. That's saying something.

We have a chance to beat everybody. Whether we will or not is an entirely different question.

The only games I see as nearly sure losses are Ok St and at KU. I think we will have a decent chance at the rest of the games. I predict we probably won't even win a majority of the games, but I don't view any of those other games as certain losses.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Clones21

i see us beating nebraska

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agreed. Call me crazy, but I'm just not a believer that they're as far as everyone seems to think yet.

Anybody ready to go to Shreveport? Have a new Dir of football Operations that sounds good.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kucyclone

I'm not sure what gives ISU better than a 50% chance against KSU. They return almost everyone except their QB from a team that was better than ISU a year ago, and lost an incompetent coach for one of the better coaches historically. I assume KSU will be favored.

Also, I'm not sure ISU would be favored over Colorado either. They should be solid.

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According to their last depth chart they appear to lose 3 offensive linemen and 2/3 of their defensive linemen. Plus a starting WR. From my count they lose 8/22 starters. I wouldn't say they return almost everyone.

Watch Nebraska to be a 6 and 6 team next year at best. They'll be minus their only two offensive threats in Nate Swift and Joe Gantz.

I see Nebraska having more than they can handle from ISU next year...:yes:

Quote:

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Originally Posted by CubsnClones

Watch Nebraska to be a 6 and 6 team next year at best. They'll be minus their only two offensive threats in Nate Swift and Joe Gantz.

I see Nebraska having more than they can handle from ISU next year...:yes:

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Also gone are Marlon Lucky (underutilized), Todd Peterson, 2 o-linemen (Slauson and Murtha), maybe 3 d-linemen in Steinkuhler, Potter, and Suh (if he goes pro).

Pelini inherited a decent amount of talent from Callahan. That's a ton of production to replace for next year. I think it's pretty likely they take a step back next season.