What stood out more than anything from last year's game was the dominating performance by Baylor's pair of OT's and the incompetent coaching performance by ISU's staff. None of the relevant parties are around this year so it's a whole new ball game.
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I think this is a pretty valid point, however, what also really stood out to me last year was the drastic difference in overall team speed. I admit I haven't watched Iowa State play this year, but last year the speed of our defense was leaps and bounds above the team speed showed by your defense. Our D has done pretty well so far this year. The 33 we gave up against OU was the most we've given up so far this year. I really feel like we keep yall somewhere around 20 points. I think we definitely have to keep yall under 30 to win. Our offense was supposed to be our strength this year, but so far it is a big question mark (some of this due to injuries). But with the exception of Northwestern State and Kent State, your defense is definitely the weakest we will have faced yet. I like our chances if both teams play well, but I think this game will likely be decided by turnovers, penalties, and special teams. If we both execute equally well or poorly, I think Baylor wins. But this game is definitely not the for sure W that I saw it as before the season starts. I'm hoping the ISU team that showed up against Kansas does not show up Saturday. Also, if the BU turns in a performance like we did against Kent State, we probably lose.
I don't have a ton of confidence in this or any game this year. On the flip side I don't feel any game left on the schedule isn't winnable. Just gotta make the plays that matter and so far that's where we have struggled.
Thats exactly what I was thinking. We played close to KU and KSU last year for the most part, so we shouldnt be surprised we did this year too.
But Baylor was up on us 38-3 at one point in that game. It will be really interesting to see how we have closed the gap on them.
This could be the most exciting game in JTS all year.
We've gone 1-1 with our 3rd string QB, and our back-up RB.
Scoring Offense:
ISU: 26.8 ppg
BU: 30.4 ppg
Scoring Defense:
ISU: 23.5
BU: 22.4
If we're not very good, than neither are the Cyclones. Vegas seems to think we're exactly even, since home games are worth -3 pts.
Que osoprimo.......
Actually ISU at -1.5 is what it takes for the big money betters to dish it out on a Sunday afternoon. The people who bet on football for a living seem to think ISU can win this week in close one at home. -3 is normally what home field advantage gives you....meaning ISU @ Baylor would theoretically be +1.5 for ISU.