Analysis of the Bowl Situation

**ISUser** · 11-14-2009, 07:28 PM

I've been crunching the numbers on teams with bowl eligibility and the number of bowls/commitments, and here's what I've come up with if ISU finishes with 6 wins (the number of eligible teams is based on my own prediction based on the remaining schedule and likely BCS bids):

Bowl spots - Eligible teams - BCS bids

ACC: 8 - 8 - 1
Army: 1 - 0 - 0
Big 12: 7 - 9 - 1
Big East: 4 - 5 - 1
Big Ten: 6 - 7 - 2
C-USA: 5 - 7 - 0
MAC: 3 - 7 - 0
MWC: 5 - 6 - 1
Navy: 1 - 1 - 0
Notre Dame: 1 - 1 - 0
Pac-10: 5 - 6 - 1
SEC: 8 - 11 - 2
Sun Belt: 1 - 4 -0
WAC: 3 - 4 - 1

If this holds true it leaves:
Army's bid
One ACC bid
One Big Ten bid

This leaves one SEC team and one Big 12 team out looking for unfilled bowl games. But there are still the mid-majors left, and they could get a bid over a BCS team if the bowl is in the team's area.

So if I had to guess right now, I guess I'd say it's likely, but far from certain.

I had look at a lot of stuff to work this out so I apologize for any errors.

A seventh win seals it though, so let's not rest easy and root hard for them to beat Mizzou!!

**price26** · 11-14-2009, 07:38 PM

Best case scenario for ISU:

The league finishes out like this:

Texas: 12-0
OSU: 10-2
NU: 9-3
Tech: 8-4
ISU: 7-5
Mizzou: 7-5
OU: 6-6

Only 7 teams make the eligibility requirements. CU, Baylor, KU, KSU, and A&M don't make it.

Big 12 probably isn't going to get another team in the BCS outside of Texas, even if Texas makes the championship game.

I think if we win next week we are probably going to the Insight or Texas.

**hurdleisu24** · 11-14-2009, 07:40 PM

Only way I think Big 12 gets another team is if Texas gets beat in big 12 title game

**CyForPresident** · 11-14-2009, 07:44 PM

I posted this in another thread but as long as KSU loses next weekend, ISU will play in a B12 bowl. At worst ISU and KU both finish 6-6 and compete for the final B12 bowl spot, and I just can't see a bowl picking KU over ISU.

**ISUser** · 11-14-2009, 07:54 PM

Originally Posted by CyForPresident

I posted this in another thread but as long as KSU loses next weekend, ISU will play in a B12 bowl. At worst ISU and KU both finish 6-6 and compete for the final B12 bowl spot, and I just can't see a bowl picking KU over ISU.

I'm not so sure... I live in Kansas and there's a bigger following here than you might realize. Also, if the bowl game is in Texas, Kansas is closer.

If it comes to this, I think it could go either way depending on the bowl. Hopefully we get to seven wins and don't have to worry about it.

**Cyfan1843** · 11-14-2009, 08:03 PM

How does the big 10 get 2 BCS bids?
We need to win next week no questions asked. I don't want to go to Detroit.

**CyBelieve** · 11-14-2009, 08:04 PM

There is no way the Big Ten get's two in the BCS. They may bring fans but that doesn't translate into viewers. Besides there will be a meltdown on capital hill is a 2 team loss gets chosen over an undefeated TCU/Bosie State team.

**ISUser** · 11-14-2009, 08:10 PM

The Big Ten's 2 bids is just a guess, but unless an at large bid goes to the Big 12 it doesn't matter anyways. Just take the Big Ten's extra spot I listed and switch it with whatever BCS conference gets the bid.

By the way, I have TCU and Boise State in the BCS. They are the WAC and MWC BCS bids.

**2forISU** · 11-14-2009, 08:13 PM

It might come down to OSU or Iowa for the other spot in the BCS spot for the Fiesta Bowl.

**ripvdub** · 11-14-2009, 08:14 PM

Originally Posted by CyBelieve

There is no way the Big Ten get's two in the BCS. They may bring fans but that doesn't translate into viewers. Besides there will be a meltdown on capital hill is a 2 team loss gets chosen over an undefeated TCU/Bosie State team.

Jon just said that its gonna happen so it must be true! The Fiesta wants Iowa real bad. Because BCS games love teams that have lost 2 outta the last 3 at least.

**farewayfool** · 11-14-2009, 08:20 PM

Looking at the B12 North, WHEN we win next week we will have second place in the B12 North locked up. Finishes:

NU 6-2, 9-3 or 5-3, 8-4 (depends on CU game)
ISU 4-4, 7-5
KSU 4-4, 6-6 (assuming loss at NU)
MU 3-5, 7-5 or 2-6, 6-6 (depends on KU game)
CU 2-6, 3-9 or 3-5, 4-8 (depends on NU game)
KU 1-7, 5-7 or 2-6, 6-6 (depends on MU game)

I know we lost the head to head with KSU but with a better overall record, I put us in second. Even if we lose at Missouri, we have fourth place guaranteed above KU and CU. Assuming KU loses to Texas, the best they finish is 2-6 in league and unless CU shocks OSU next week, their best finish is 3-5 but with both head to head loss and worse overall record.

KSU is not a good road team, they have lost every true road game, most by large margins. Their only "road" win was Arrowhead against us.

**CyForPresident** · 11-14-2009, 08:22 PM

CBS has ISU in the Independence against Arkansas.

College Football Bowls - CBSSports.com

**nj829** · 11-14-2009, 08:31 PM

Originally Posted by CyForPresident

CBS has ISU in the Independence against Arkansas.

College Football Bowls - CBSSports.com

oh man....I already can't stand Arkansas fans living 15 minutes from the campus, I can't imagine having to listen to their crap leading up to the game....sure will be nice to fly my flag after an ISU victory however!!