predictionmachine.com doesn't like ISU at all

**synapticwave** · 09-02-2010, 12:36 PM

power rankings

Big 12 rankings

Supposedly uses statistics to predict schedules...imo, it clearly has problems.

seriously, ISU with the worst offense in the big12 == extremely unlikely => see Nebraska.

And, overall worst record in big12, what a dbag.

**QuickQuestion** · 09-02-2010, 12:40 PM

Originally Posted by synapticwave

power rankings

Big 12 rankings

Supposedly uses statistics to predict schedules...imo, it clearly has problems.

seriously, ISU with the worst offense in the big12 == extremely unlikely => see Nebraska.

And, overall worst record in big12, what a dbag.

Florida finishing #2 overall should be the the indicator of how inaccurate this is just from a prediction standpoint. While it's obvious that no one can know exactly what is going to happen, in terms of "prediction" accuracy, Florida should not finish #2.

**Wesley** · 09-02-2010, 12:43 PM

It must be broke. Iowa is only #11. That is not BCS material.

**NobodyBeatsCy** · 09-02-2010, 12:43 PM

With all the talk on how daunting our schedule is, and being hours from kickoff, I believe this clip is appropriate!

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eOkAyUmyQko]YouTube - Apollo 13 / Leadership, Conviction[/ame]

GO CYCLONES!!!

**atlantacyclone** · 09-02-2010, 12:46 PM

Well, the good news is that they think that ISU's defense will be better than the passing game! If that holds true the D will be pretty good = wins!

**jdoggivjc** · 09-02-2010, 12:55 PM

You know the saying "that's why they don't play games on paper"? Well, they don't play the games on the computer, either. That computer would be best using its time by hooking itself to the internet and finding a pay site...

**sdillon500** · 09-02-2010, 01:09 PM

I can't give this guy too much crap. From an outsider perspective, looking at ISU's history, young defense, and the schedule the Cyclones play, I would expect this kind of analysis. And Paul Bessire is one of the best sports stat analysts out there.

With that said, take this with a grain of salt. I used predictionmachine's recommendations last year for the NCAA basketball tourney, and failed miserably. I mean, out of the running by the second round.

**synapticwave** · 09-09-2010, 01:05 PM

The ISU - Iowa game is the free pick of the week at predictionmachine.com [free account required]

They predict Iowa to win 81.4% of the time and have Iowa beating the spread 56% of the time in their simulation. I still completely disagree with this site, but thought it was interesting that the ISU-Iowa game was their pick of the week.