My field Jan. 13

[cyclones500]

My first true go at it this season (re-copied post from the other bracketology thread). I probably won't do one every week, but I'll try to update with some frequency.

Thru Jan. 13:

America East (1): Stony Brook
Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, VCU, Temple, St. Louis, UMass
ACC (4): Duke, N.C. State, Miami, North Carolina
Atlantic Sun (1): Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12 (6): Kansas, Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Okla. State, Iowa State
Big East (6): Louisville, Syracuse, Marquette, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown
Big Sky (1): Montana
Big South (1): Charleston Southern
Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan State, Wisconsin
Big West (1): Long Beach State
Colonial (1): Northeastern
C-USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Wright State
Ivy (1): Harvard
MAAC (1): Niagara
MAC (1): Akron
MEAC (1): Norfolk State
MVC (2): Creighton, Wichita State
MWC (6): New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV, Colorado State, Wyoming, Boise State
Northeast (1): Bryant
Ohio Valley (1): Tennessee State
Pac-12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon
Patriot (1): Bucknell
SEC (5): Florida, Missouri, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Texas A&M
SoCon (1): Davidson
Southland (1): Stephen F. Austin
SWAC (1): Southern
Summit (1): North Dakota State
Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee
WCC (2): Gonzaga, BYU
WAC (1): Utah State

First out: Florida State, Tennessee, St. Joseph’s, Washington
Next out: Iowa, Stanford, So. Miss, Cal

(Plenty of others interchangeable at bubble end at this point).

[Wesley]

I think it will be hard to get 6 teams out of a ten team conference named B12.

[CyArob]

Big 12 will get 5 at most, and that's being generous.

[cyclones500]

Big 12 will get 5 at most, and that's being generous.

It may shake out that way at the end. Looking at resumes to a lot of other teams, Big 12 has 5 solid at the moment and 1 (ISU) that compares favorably to teams on the fringe. For the moment, some of the Big 12's bad losses aren't as damaging as they appeared (SFA over OU, for example).

One small thing helping Iowa State right now: No sub-100 losses. A few teams in bubble territory have better wins but multiple sub-100's.

[JP4CY]

Big 12 will get 5 at most, and that's being generous.

Yeah. KU, KSU, Baylor, and at best two of these: ISU, OSU, OU.

[cyclones500]

Yeah. KU, KSU, Baylor, and at best two of these: ISU, OSU, OU.

Could be. I don't know if I'd place Baylor in the "Shoulds" and OU in the "Coulds" just yet.

Baylor vs. OU comparison

[VeloClone]

Could be. I don't know if I'd place Baylor in the "Shoulds" and OU in the "Coulds" just yet.

Baylor vs. OU comparison

Oh come on! Home wins against 0-3 TCU and UT and a road win against 1-2 Tech doesn't put them solidly in the tourney?

[jaretac]

Big 12 will get 5 at most, and that's being generous.

I don't think either Oklahoma team will make it. Top 4 maybe.

Baylor is the team I'm watching. They haven't done anything great yet, but they have the talent that if things come together they could make things interesting late. I'm eager to see how they do against Kansas tonight. I think they will get in regardless, but I think they could be anywhere from a 5 seed to on the bubble at this point.

OSU is not going to make it. They are 1-3 since the last day of December and I foresee them going 2-2 the rest of January. That would put them at 13-6 and 3-5 going into February. That is a lot of ground to make up with only 11 games left in the regular season and games like Kansas, @Kansas, Baylor, @ISU, Kansas State and Oklahoma left.

Oklahoma has the record but they really haven't beat anyone yet. I guess the same can be said of us, but OU is even more untested. They had a blow out loss to a good Gonzaga team, a loss to a average Arkansas team. A win against a okay A&M team (who has played no one this year) and a loss to a average Stephen F Austin team that will probably make the tourney because of the conference they are in.

We will see what they are made of toward the end of January when they have to go on the road to Kansas and Kansas St. I just don't think they are that good, however the bottom of the Big 12 is terrible I predict the top 5 feeding up on the bottom 5 unlike we have seen in a while. I doubt the bottom 5 will win more than a game or two against the top 5.

[cyclones500]

OSU is not going to make it. They are 1-3 since the last day of December and I foresee them going 2-2 the rest of January. That would put them at 13-6 and 3-5 going into February. That is a lot of ground to make up with only 11 games left in the regular season and games like Kansas, @Kansas, Baylor, @ISU, Kansas State and Oklahoma left.

Like many other teams, OSU can make or break --- that stretch of 2 vs. KU, BU, ISU, KSU, OU, plenty of opportunities there (for wins and losses, obviously).

OSU is still OK for the time being. That VT loss looks worse and worse, but the win over NC State is a good counter-weight — top-25 RPI netural court win vs. sub-100 road loss.

In summary, only KU is in near-lock status thus far. Everyone but WVa and UT are in decent shape (TT & TCU is a pretty much dead for postseason). Doesn't mean all of those will make it, I just wouldn't count any out.

[jaretac]

Like many other teams, OSU can make or break --- that stretch of 2 vs. KU, BU, ISU, KSU, OU, plenty of opportunities there (for wins and losses, obviously).

OSU is still OK for the time being. That VT loss looks worse and worse, but the win over NC State is a good counter-weight — top-25 RPI netural court win vs. sub-100 road loss.

In summary, only KU is in near-lock status thus far. Everyone but WVa and UT are in decent shape (TT & TCU is a pretty much dead for postseason). Doesn't mean all of those will make it, I just wouldn't count any out.

I would agree, there is still a lot of season left. However, at this point for OSU to pull it out they will have to turn it around and play at a even higher level then they were. For ISU, KSU, Baylor and Kansas; right now if they win the games they should win they will probably make it in. That is the place you want to be, not in OSU shoes. Without a doubt OSU could still make it, but probabilities say unlikely..

[cyclones500]

I would agree, there is still a lot of season left. However, at this point for OSU to pull it out they will have to turn it around and play at a even higher level then they were. For ISU, KSU, Baylor and Kansas; right now if they win the games they should win they will probably make it in. That is the place you want to be, not in OSU shoes. Without a doubt OSU could still make it, but probabilities say unlikely..

OSU definitely has fallen off the radar. On the other hand, there were some semi-lofty expectations early in the season. Sometimes, comparatively, teams that are higher-profile that fall into average-tournament-team area seem like they're less-worthy than teams with less hype that creep up the ladder.

[IHavNoCyCash]

my big 12 power rankings are:

1) Kansas
2) Kansas St.
3) Iowa St.
4) Oklahoma
5) Baylor
6) Oklahoma St.
7) West Virginia
8) Texas
9) Tech
10)TCU

Getting a 2 seed for the big 12 tourney would be huge as ISU would avoid a bubble team and play Texas or WVU, both winnable.

Is there any way to post excel sheets on here? I have a pretty cool bracketology sheet but don't know how to post it.

[cyclones500]

my big 12 power rankings are:

1) Kansas
2) Kansas St.
3) Iowa St.
4) Oklahoma
5) Baylor
6) Oklahoma St.
7) West Virginia
8) Texas
9) Tech
10)TCU

Getting a 2 seed for the big 12 tourney would be huge as ISU would avoid a bubble team and play Texas or WVU, both winnable.

Is there any way to post excel sheets on here? I have a pretty cool bracketology sheet but don't know how to post it.

Seems about right. I might put OU over ISU for the time being.

You should be able to post the spreadsheet — I've done it before, but it's been a while. Possibly save it as a PDF and attach as an image (??)

I'd like to see your bracket.

[IHavNoCyCash]

I've been working on this for quite awhile. The resumes aren't up-to-date, but aren't that old.

Right now I'm working on adding a graph to show the week by week difference between the RPI and Pomeroy changes of the teams.

[mkadl]

I read the thread title. Thought it was a thread about farming.