With our non-conference schedule, I think we'd need 24 wins to make the NCAA tourney and 20 (at least) to make the NIT.
If we assume we go 1-1 on the two tough non-con games left, we'll finish the non-con sked at 12-3. Which means we need 12 conference wins (including the conf tourney) to get to the NCAA and 8 to get to the NIT. You can decide for yourself how likely those number are.
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