Computer Rankings Update (thru 1/15)

[SvrWxCy]

So, how much did a good win over Baylor help us in the world of the computers, my post-game update on the KenPom, RPI and Sagarin ratings are below:


KenPom rankings update:

National Ranking: 33rd (+7)
Big 12 Ranking: 7th (+2)

Projected Conference Record: 8-8 (+1 W)
Projected Overall Record: 21-10 (+1 W)

SOS: 212th (+38)

Records: 0-1 vs Top 25, 1-2 vs Top 50, and 3-4 vs Top 100


The update from the ESPN RPI:

RPI Rank: 78th (+28)
Lunardi Preferred RPI Rank: 30th (+12)

SOS: 154th (+70)

Offensive Quotient: 36th (+1)
Defensive Quotient: 27th (-11)
Adjusted Scoring Margin: 18th (-6)

RPI Records: 0-1 vs Top 25, 0-2 vs Top 50, and 1-4 vs Top 100


Sagarin Computer Rankings
He features three rankings, an overall, an ELO which is based off the RPI formula that only winning and losing matters and does not take into account margin of victory/defeat, and a Predictor which does take into account margin of victory/defeat.

Overall: 48th (+7)
ELO: 73rd (+8)
Predictor: 36th (+1)

SOS: 300th (+19)

Records: 0-1 vs Top 25, 0-1 vs Top 50

[SvrWxCy]

How realistic is our projected 8-8 conference record from the KenPom rankings, lets take a closer look at what victories it projects for the team:

at Okla State W (Good Possibility, but have to consider an L has potential)
at Missouri L (Most Likely an L)
Texas Tech W (Good Possibility)
Oklahoma W (Most Likely)
at Colorado W (May be a loss if their momentum continues)
Kansas State W (Tough one if they get their act together, could be an L)
Kansas L (Most Likely)
at Texas A&M L (Probably an L, but could squeak it out for a W too)
Missouri W (It has potential, but could just as easily be an L)
Texas L (Good chance, but an upset victory isn't out of the question)
Nebraska W (Should be a W)
Colorado W (Once again seems like a toss-up at this point)
Kansas State L (Most likely an L, unless they really continue to falter)


So, how does it look? If the team can stay as healthy as it is now, if not improve, it would seem that we should be able to have at least 4 more conference wins on the low-end. Realistically, I have to think that the team garners another 5 or 6 wins in conference this season which will be far beyond earlier expectations. I wouldn't say it is out of the question to win another 7 conference games, but it is going to take a completely healthy team to do it.