I don't think it is unrealistic to hope ISU can win 8 or 9 conference home games either. However you said "I think its fair to expect to win all conference home games". Hoping =/= expecting.
I really don't have an issue with your other expectations either. I just think that a undefeated home slate in the Big 12 is a pretty big achievement and to flat out expect it, especially when your team is being picked mid to high mid conference at best, is a little unreasonable.
You can expect what you want, but I think expectations like that are what to lead to our classic CF meltdowns.
Fair enough. When I wrote that, for some reason I thought we ran the table last year in conference play at home...forgot about the Mizzou game. That being said, if its going to be a good season, at a minimum, ISU probably cant lose more then 2 home conference games and probably needs to win 3 or 4 conference road games. Last season ISU went 8-1 at home and 4-5 on the road.
I think its fair to expect no more then 2 loses in the non conference- 11-2
I think its fair to expect to win all conference home games, but lets just say 1 loss - 8-1
I think its fair to expect to win 3 of 9 conference road games -3-6
I went with 22 wins.
our non-conference is a lot tougher. Cincinnati is a good team and their top player is coming back. They were a sweet 16 team a year ago so we will be underdogs.
Oregon and UNLV are also 2 good teams. I expect UNLV to win that game. UNLV has one of the top recruits in Anthony Bennett plus they have been known to play well in these tourneys. (see North Carolina last year). Wouldn't be surprised to lose to Iowa or BYU. BYU has Davies back, a very good post player and will give us problems.
I'll be happy if we go 1-1 in that tournament and play those teams tough.
Wouldn't be surprised at all if we lose 4 games in non-conference. Think we will be similar to Texas last year. We will likely need a win in the conference tourney to go dancing.
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I don't expect the team to be as slow to gel, so non-conference could be 11-2. But, a little less comfort zone in NC -- could lose both those neutral tournament games, although I say 1-1; BYU at home is like UNI at home; Iowa game is in IC. Potential to help RPI among that set, but have to win some of those and can't afford clunkers elsewhere.
I expect Big 12 to be more challenging top-to-bottom than last season, although maybe not quite as strong at the top.
It's possible the record is similar/slightly lower than 11-12, but seeding could end up better.
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