***Official 2013 Bracketology Thread***

[cloneteach]

Here is our resume (another excerpt from my blog)--We are in a lot better shape than most people around these boards seem to think.



Current Resume:


Overall Record: 14-5
Conference Record: 4-2
Big Wins: #11 Kansas State
Bad Losses: @Texas Tech
RPI: 39
BPI: 36


Ken Pomeroy:


The Cyclones today stand at #41 in KenPom's rankings. Last week at this time they stood at #30. The Texas Tech loss really did a number to their status at kenpom.com. Last week at this time Pomeroy had the Cyclones predicted at 12-6 in the conference based on both probability and straight up picks. This week probability has them at 10-8 and straight up at 11-5.


Bracket Matrix:


The Bracket Matrix has ISU in the field in 47 of the 58 (81%) brackets. This is fairly consistent with the 82 percent they were at last week. You will notice that as we get closer to March more and more bracket predictions are revealed. Although these brackets don't guarantee a spot in the field there is something to be said for an increase in sample size. Bracket Matrix still has them on the 12 seed line.

[cloneteach]

And here are my predictions....

My Prediction (1/27) **This is based on what I predict will happen, not their resume to date**


I think Iowa State is in a very good spot. To me, their formula to make the dance centers around protecting their home court, which is something I see them doing. At most I think they will lose one conference game at home. They are just going to need to earn a couple of road wins at some point.


Predicted:


Overall Record: 22-7
Conference Record: 12-6 (Losses: @OSU, @OU, @BU, @Kansas, @Texas Tech vs Kansas)
Big Wins: Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma St., Oklahoma, @Kansas St.
Bad Losses: Texas Tech
Overall Seed: 10 (I think they will sit around the 10-12 seed line for awhile unless they go 3-1 in their next four)


Once again we will know much, much more about not only Iowa State but also their competition after this upcoming week. The next four games ( @OSU, vs Baylor, vs Oklahoma, @KSU) are opportunities to add to the resume. Going 2-2 in those four games keeps them in the same spot. Going 3-1 would really go a long way to solidifying their spot in the dance.

[gocubs2118]

Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN

Lunardi has us as an 11 seed against UCLA in Auburn Hills. Winner gets Michigan State. Sound familiar?

[cyhiphopp]

Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN

Lunardi has us as an 11 seed against UCLA in Auburn Hills. Winner gets Michigan State. Sound familiar?

**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!

[State43]

[dahliaclone]

Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN

Lunardi has us as an 11 seed against UCLA in Auburn Hills. Winner gets Michigan State. Sound familiar?

He has us as moving 'down' from last week but I don't think we were an #11 seed last week. I thought we were a play in game as a #12 right?

[mjhavlo76]

Yes. We have quite the storied past with UCLA in the NCAA Tournament..
And Michigan State in the Elite 8.

**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!

[State43]

He had us as a 10 seed last week. 12 the week before

[erikbj]

Lot of basketball left. Win 3 of 4 coming up and take down KU at home will do wonders!!! If ISU can find a way to finish in 2nd place, we should be looking at 4/5 seed.

Big week coming up.

[cyclones500]

He had us as a 10 seed last week. 12 the week before

Correct.

Although strangely, it's actually a slight increase -- he had ISU at a 10 seed last week, but it was one of the play-ins. This is the first time ISU wasn't in his "First Four."

So even an 11 seed with "down arrow" is a slight upward swing, especially with 4 straight chances to improve the resume. Let's do it!

[State43]

Guess where the Hoks are?
NIT! NIT! NIT!

[wonkadog]

Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN

Lunardi has us as an 11 seed against UCLA in Auburn Hills. Winner gets Michigan State. Sound familiar?

Even funnier is that you have Syracuse over there on the other side of the bracket as well. For a hypothetical situation that spot in the tournament would blow.

[carvers4math]

**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!
**** MICHIGAN STATE!

Wonder where Paul Shirley is now.

[Cyclonesince78]

KU vs ISU in the elite 8.

[CyFan61]

At this point I think 11 would be a great seed to have. Especially if the 6 we faced in our first game was a team that hadn't really faced our style of offense yet. If we could win that round we would get a 3 in the next round and anything can happen. Then we could become the Cinderella story of the tournament.