CF Member Bracketology

[cyclones500]

Bracketed, instead of my usual listing. It doesn't reflect my true order, but probably more realistic going that route.

Regions are arranged 1v4, 2v3 So Final 4 is Midwest vs. West, East vs. South).

If I goofed on any basic bracketing procedures -- first try this season, so it wouldn't surprise me.

Midwest (Indianapolis)
Dayton

• 1. Indiana
• 16. Southern (SWAC)/Norfolk St. (MEAC)
• 8. UCLA
• 9. Colorado State

Austin

• 5. Pittsburgh
• 12. California/Charlotte
• 4. N.C. State
• 13. South Dakota State (SUMMIT)

Salt Lake City

• 6. Ohio State
• 11. Temple
• 3. Gonzaga
• 14. Harvard (IVY)

Kansas City

• 7. Cincinnati
• 10. Mississippi
• 2. Kansas
• 15. Stony Brook (AM EAST)

West (Los Angeles)
San Jose

• 1. Arizona
• 16. Niagara (MAAC)
• 8. Notre Dame
• 9. Kentucky

Philadelphia

• 5. Illinois
• 12. Baylor
• 4. Butler
• 13. Stephen F. Austin (SOUTHLAND)

Austin

• 6. VCU
• 11. Maryland/LaSalle
• 3. Louisville
• 14. Valparaiso (HORIZON)

Auburn Hills

• 7. Oklahoma
• 10. Creighton (MVC)
• 2. Michigan
• 15. Davidson (SOCON)

East (Washington, D.C.)
Lexington

• 1. Miami
• 16. High Point (BIG SOUTH)/Robert Morris (NORTHEAST)
• 8. San Diego State
• 9. St. Louis

Kansas City

• 5. Marquette
• 12. Belmont (OVC)
• 4. Wisconsin
• 13. Bucknell (PATRIOT)

Dayton

• 6. Oklahoma State
• 11. Memphis (C-USA)
• 3. Syracuse
• 14. Florida Gulf Coast (A-SUN)

Lexington

• 7. UNLV
• 10. Colorado
• 2. Florida
• 15. Long Beach St. (BIG WEST)

South (Arlington)
Auburn Hills

• 1. Michigan State
• 16. Northeastern (COLONIAL)
• 8. Missouri
• 9. North Carolina

Salt Lake City

• 5. Georgetown
• 12. Middle Tenn (SUN BELT)
• 4. Kansas State
• 13. Louisiana Tech (WAC)

San Jose

• 6. Minnesota
• 11. Villanova
• 3. New Mexico
• 14. Akron (MAC)

Philadelphia

• 7. Oregon
• 10. Iowa State
• 2. Duke
• 15. Montana (BIG SKY)

Last 4 in:
Maryland
LaSalle
California
Charlotte

First 4 out:
Wichita State
Arizona State
UMass
Boise State

Next 4 out:
St. John’s
St. Mary’s
Indiana State
Virginia

[IHavNoCyCash]

CyCash Bracketology

Indianapolis Region

Games in Dayton, OH
1. Indiana vs 16. Southern/ 16. Northeastern
8. Colorado vs 9. Memphis

Games in Philadelphia, PA
4. Butler vs 13. Bucknell
5. Pittsburgh vs 12. Belmont

Games in Dayton, OH
2. Louisville vs 15. Fla Gulf Coast
7. NC St. vs 10. Creighton

Games in Austin, TX
3. New Mexico vs 14. Stephen F. Austin
6. Oregon vs 11. Iowa State

Arlington Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1. Miami (FL) vs 16. Norfolk St./16. Charl Southern
8. Illinois vs 9. North Carolina

Games in Kansas City
4. Kansas State vs 13. Detroit
5. Marquette vs 12. Mid Tenn St.

Games in Auburn Hills, MI
2. Michigan vs. 15. Davidson
7. VCU vs 10. Missouri

Games in Kansas City
3. Kansas vs 14. Stony Brook
6. Cincinnati vs 11. Cal

Washington, DC Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1. Duke vs 16. Niagara
8. Oklahoma vs 9. Wichita St.

Games in Salt Lake City, UT
4. Wisconsin vs 13. Louisiana Tech
5. Oklahoma St. vs 12. Kentucky/12. Temple

Games in Austin, TX
2. Florida va 15. Long Beach St.
7. Minnesota vs 10. LaSalle

Games in Philadelphia
3. Syracuse vs 14. Harvard
6. Ohio St. vs 11. Ole Miss

Los Angeles Region

Games in Auburn Hills, MI
1. Michigan St. vs 16. Robert Morris
8. San Diego St. vs 9. UCLA

Games in San Jose, CA
4. Georgetown vs 13. Akron
5. Colorado St. vs. 12. Maryland/12. Villanova

Games in Salt Lake City, UT
2. Gonzaga vs 15. Montana
7. Notre Dame vs. 10. St. Louis

Games in San Jose, CA
3. Arizona vs 14. South Dakota St.
6. UNLV vs 11. Baylor

Last 4 In
Kentucky
Maryland
Villanova
Temple

First 4 Out
Boise St.
Southern Miss
Virginia
St. John's

Next 4 Out
Alabama
Iowa
UMASS
St. Mary's

Others:
77. Arizona St.
78. Charlotte
79. Indiana St.
80. BYU

[cyclones500]

I typically find yours more convincing than mine, especially in the seedings.

Fun thing about this exercise is, it shows why the committee comprises multiple people.

[CycloneNation18]

My slightly more detailed version of Bracketology/Bubble Watch(2/21/13-Before Thursday's games)

America East(1)-Stony Brook: The Seawolves appear to be in the driver's seat for the America East regular season crown after beating Vermont last Friday.

Atlantic 10(5)-Butler, VCU, Saint Louis, La Salle, Temple: Saint Louis joins Butler as a lock into the tourney after routing VCU at home. VCU should still get in as long as they don't fade down the stretch. La Salle is squarely on the bubble with no huge wins since Butler and VCU in January. Temple is in for now with other bubble teams losing. Charlotte is fading with 4 losses in 6 games. UMass has zero signature wins, and a couple of questionable conference losses so they are in trouble right now.

ACC(5)-Miami(FL), Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Virginia: NC State will get into the field with strong computer numbers and very few bad losses. North Carolina has strong computer numbers but only one RPI top 50 win(UNLV) so they're still on the bubble for now. Virginia is the exact opposite of North Carolina with good wins, but poor computer numbers due to some ugly losses. They're squarely on the bubble right now. Maryland falls out after following up a huge home win against Duke with a baffling road loss to Boston College.

Atlantic Sun(1)-Mercer: The Bears of Mercer stay ahead of Florida Gulf Coast in a two-team race for the A-Sun regular season crown.

Big 12(6)-Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State, Baylor: The top three are locks as of now. Oklahoma is in great shape with strong computer numbers and those wins against Oklahoma State and Kansas. Iowa State picked up a huge road win against Baylor and appears in decent shape to make the tourney with or without wins at home against Kansas and Oklahoma State. Baylor might have to steal a game against the Kansas teams and win a game in the Big 12 tourney to make the Dance.

Big East(7)- Syracuse, Louisville, Marquette, Georgetown, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh: All seven of these teams are locks or should be in the field. Villanova is still squarely on the bubble with wins vs. Syracuse and Louisville and at UConn, but also that loss vs. Columbia and getting swept by an improving Providence team. St. Johns is all but out right now with not enough great wins and way too many questionable losses.

Big Sky(1)- Montana: Montana still leads the Big Sky though Weber State will be a factor in the conference tourney for sure.

Big South(1)- High Point: The Panthers lead this mess of a conference, but the winner of the conference will likely be in the play-in game for a 16 seed.

Big Ten(7)- Indiana, Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Illinois, Minnesota: The Fighting Illini are in decent shape with four straight victories and a strong resume. The Golden Gophers should still get in even with their current slump. Iowa is winning some games right now, but with no top 100 wins away from home and poor computer numbers, they are out.

Big West(1)- Long Beach State: The 49ers should win the Big West regular season title again, and they should be the heavy favorites to win the Big West tournament title.

CAA(1)- Northeastern: The Huskies have fallen back to the pack in the post-VCU CAA, but still reign as the teams behind Northeastern beat up on each other.

Conference USA(1)- Memphis: The Tigers reign supreme in their final year in C-USA. It's very hard to take Southern Miss seriously in the at-large discussion when they barely have two top 100 wins.

Horizon(1)- Valparaiso: Valpo still leads the Horizon League(post-Butler), but take Detroit very seriously as we head towards tourney time.

Ivy(1)- Harvard: The Crimson are the heavy favorites for the auto NCAA bid after beating Princeton on Saturday.

MAAC(1)- Niagara: Niagara is the leader, but they may not be the best team in that league with Iona underachieving and teams like Loyola(MD) nipping at their heels.

MAC(1)- Akron: The Zips could make the tourney with a loss in the conference tourney with how weak the bubble is, but they would rather win the conference tourney to be safe. Ohio will likely be a factor in the MAC as well.

MEAC(1)- Norfolk State: Last year tournament darlings, the Spartans of Norfolk State are the favorites again even though North Carolina Central and Savannah State are both factors this year.

Missouri Valley(2)- Wichita State, Creighton: The Shockers and the Bluejays have appeared to have righted the ship and should both make the tournament albeit as lower seeds. Indiana State's at-large hopes are probably dead with three straight losses in MVC play.

Mountain West(4)- New Mexico, Colorado State, UNLV, San Diego State: Boise State is out as of now even with a win vs. Air Force which eliminated Air Force from at-large contention. Wyoming's chances are probably dead now as well with a 4-8 conference record.

Northeast(1)- Robert Morris: It's anybody's guess who's going to win this conference. The only guarantee: the winner of the Northeast Conference will likely be a 16 seed.

Ohio Valley(1)- Belmont: The Bruins will have to win the OVC conference tourney to be assured a bid into the tourney. Murray State could get hot, and Eastern Kentucky is right there as well.

Pac-12(6)- Arizona, UCLA, Oregon, Colorado, Arizona State, California: UCLA and Colorado both should be fine to make the tournament as long as they don't collapse down the stretch. Arizona State is squarely on the bubble, but they have a sweep against Colorado under their belt. California barely stayed in after getting a scare against USC. Stanford's hopes are dead for now with three straight losses.

Patriot(1)- Bucknell: The Bison regained control of the Patriot League with their win at Lehigh on Monday. Lehigh, if they get C.J. McCollum back, can still throw a wrench into Bucknell's hopes.

SEC(3)- Florida, Missouri, Alabama: Besides the Gators and the Tigers, no one in the SEC is safe. Alabama is barely in the field right now with six top 100 wins, but some ugly losses as well. Ole Miss is on the wrong side of the bubble after an ugly loss to South Carolina on the road. With no great wins that's bad news for the Rebels. Kentucky is out for now after getting blown out by Tennessee and barely squeaking out a home win against Vanderbilt. Tennessee might be working their way back into at-large consideration with a big opportunity vs. Florida on Super Tuesday. Arkansas has picked up some huge home wins, but they have to start winning road games to seriously be considered for an at-large bid.

Southern(1)- Davidson: Bob McKillop's Wildcats should be getting into the Dance as they are the best team in this conference by far.

Southland(1)- Northwestern St.: Northwestern St. leads based on their head-to-head win over Stephen F. Austin, but the rematch on March 2nd will determine the regular season title and the #1 seed in their conference tourney.

SWAC(1)- Southern: The Tigers lead, but in all reality, anyone beside winless Grambling State can win this conference tourney.

Summit(1)- South Dakota State: The Jackrabbits(by far the best nickname in all of college sports by the way) lead a tightly contested Summit league where Western Illinois and North Dakota State also are in contention.

Sun Belt(1)- Middle Tennessee State: The Blue Raiders can still make the tourney if they lose early in the conference tourney, but they should still win to be safe.

West Coast Conference(2)- Gonzaga, Saint Mary's: The Gaels are on the bubble with no marquee wins and some questionable early season losses. Sweeping BYU would help them out and eliminate BYU in the process. Saturday's game vs. Creighton is huge.

WAC(1)- Louisiana Tech- Louisiana Tech's in the same situation as Middle Tennessee State: they could still make it in with a loss in the conference tourney, but should still win to feel safe.

Last Four In:
California
Baylor
Alabama
Temple

First Four Out:
Ole Miss
Kentucky
Villanova
Arkansas

Next Four Out:
Tennessee
Iowa
Charlotte
Maryland

[cyclones500]

A few teams that have helped resume this week (thru Wednesday)
Notre Dame
Missouri
St. Louis

Teams that haven't:
Mississippi
Maryland
Minnesota
Indiana State

[IHavNoCyCash]

Indianapolis Region

Games in Dayton, OH
1. Indiana vs 16. Southern/16. Mercer
8. North Carolina vs 9. Cincinnati

Games in Philadelphia
4. Syracuse vs. 13. Bucknell
5. St. Louis vs 12. Boise St./Ole Miss

Games in Austin, TX
2. Florida vs 15. Montana
7. Illinois vs 10. LaSalle

Games in Austin, TX
3. New Mexico vs 14. Stephen F. Austin
6. Memphis vs 11. Iowa St.

Washington, DC Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1. Duke vs 16. CSouthern/Norfolk St.
8. VCU vs 9. Wichita St.

Games in Salt Lake City
4. Marquette vs 13. Akron
5. Oklahoma St. vs. 12. Belmont

Games in Dayton, OH
2. Louisville vs 15. Davidson
7. Oregon vs 10. Missouri

Games in Auburn Hills, MI
3. Michigan St. vs 14. South Dakota St.
6. Pittsburgh vs 11. Temple

Arlington Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1. Miami (FL) vs 16. Robert Morris
8. Oklahoma vs 9. Minnesota

Games in San Jose
4. Ohio St. vs. 13. Louisiana Tech
5. UNLV vs 12. Mid Tennessee St.

Games in Kansas City
2. Kansas vs 15. Niagara
7. Notre Dame vs 10. Colorado

Games in Philadelphia, PA
3. Georgetown vs 14. Harvard
6. Butler vs 11. Kentucky

Los Angeles Region

Games in Auburn Hills
1. Michigan vs 16. Northeastern
8. NC St. vs 9. UCLA

Games in Kansas City
4. Kansas State vs 13. Valparaiso
5. Wisconsin vs. 12.St. Mary's/Villanova

Games in Salt Lake City
2. Gonzaga vs 15. Long Beach St.
7. San Diego St. vs 10. Cal

Games in San Jose, CA
3. Arizona vs. 14. Stony Brook
6. Colorado St. vs 11. Creighton

Last 4 In:
St. Mary's
Ole Miss
Villanova
Boise St.

First 4 Out:
Baylor
S Miss
Maryland
Virginia

Next 4 Out:
Arkansas
Arizona St.
Tennessee
St. John's

[cmjh10]

I would love the Memphis match up...

[cyclones500]

Indianapolis Region

Games in Dayton, OH
1. Indiana vs 16. Southern/16. Mercer
8. North Carolina vs 9. Cincinnati

Games in Philadelphia
4. Syracuse vs. 13. Bucknell
5. St. Louis vs 12. Boise St./Ole Miss

Games in Austin, TX
2. Florida vs 15. Montana
7. Illinois vs 10. LaSalle

Games in Austin, TX
3. New Mexico vs 14. Stephen F. Austin
6. Memphis vs 11. Iowa St.

Washington, DC Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1. Duke vs 16. CSouthern/Norfolk St.
8. VCU vs 9. Wichita St.

Games in Salt Lake City
4. Marquette vs 13. Akron
5. Oklahoma St. vs. 12. Belmont

Games in Dayton, OH
2. Louisville vs 15. Davidson
7. Oregon vs 10. Missouri

Games in Auburn Hills, MI
3. Michigan St. vs 14. South Dakota St.
6. Pittsburgh vs 11. Temple

Arlington Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1. Miami (FL) vs 16. Robert Morris
8. Oklahoma vs 9. Minnesota

Games in San Jose
4. Ohio St. vs. 13. Louisiana Tech
5. UNLV vs 12. Mid Tennessee St.

Games in Kansas City
2. Kansas vs 15. Niagara
7. Notre Dame vs 10. Colorado

Games in Philadelphia, PA
3. Georgetown vs 14. Harvard
6. Butler vs 11. Kentucky

Los Angeles Region

Games in Auburn Hills
1. Michigan vs 16. Northeastern
8. NC St. vs 9. UCLA

Games in Kansas City
4. Kansas State vs 13. Valparaiso
5. Wisconsin vs. 12.St. Mary's/Villanova

Games in Salt Lake City
2. Gonzaga vs 15. Long Beach St.
7. San Diego St. vs 10. Cal

Games in San Jose, CA
3. Arizona vs. 14. Stony Brook
6. Colorado St. vs 11. Creighton

Last 4 In:
St. Mary's
Ole Miss
Villanova
Boise St.

First 4 Out:
Baylor
S Miss
Maryland
Virginia

Next 4 Out:
Arkansas
Arizona St.
Tennessee
St. John's

Coincidence: That exactly matches my bracket this week!

Seriously, I lagged this week and didn't get mine done. Field looks solid. (Anything unique I would have contributed would have made it less-accurate).

Excellent. One aesthetic request (nitpicky/inflexible on my part) --- for next week's, could you flip the 6-11/3-14 with 7-10/2-15? I've become so accustomed to seeing 2 seed subregion at the bottom, it throws me off.

[IHavNoCyCash]

Coincidence: That exactly matches my bracket this week!

Seriously, I lagged this week and didn't get mine done. Field looks solid. (Anything unique I would have contributed would have made it less-accurate).

Excellent. One aesthetic request (nitpicky/inflexible on my part) --- for next week's, could you flip the 6-11/3-14 with 7-10/2-15? I've become so accustomed to seeing 2 seed subregion at the bottom, it throws me off.

thanks. And sure thing, I can do that. Not sure if anybody besides you and me read this anyways.

Tennessee is in if I did mine later. Probably first four game and take out Boise St.

I might throw up my lock and bubble list shortly.

[cyclones500]

Tennessee is in that "seemingly comes out of nowhere" group that tends to show up in late-February/early-March.

The win over Florida was the high-end win to gain serious consideration (possibly the biggest thing lacking in that resume until now).

I was going to choose Memphis as a side-by-side, but I didn't want to appear big-conference bully.

Here's a different bubble-tilt:

Tennessee vs. Arizona State

[Mumbai1986]

Bubble scores:
Charlotte getting blown out by Dayton. Jerry Palm, time to get them out of your damn bracket!
Akron got a nice win over Ohio. Working on that At Large bid.
Indiana State is out with that loss to Drake. No outside chance other than winning the conference tournament.

[cyclones500]

I can't recall a season that had so much revolving-door for the 1 seeds.

[IHavNoCyCash]

CyCash Bracketology(After March 2 games)

Indianapolis Region

Games in Dayton, OH
1) Indiana vs 16) Southern/Mercer
8) North Carolina vs 9) Missouri

Games in Kansas City
4) Marquette vs 13) Akron
5) Oklahoma St. vs 12) Kentucky/Virginia

Games in Auburn Hills, MI
3) Michigan vs 14) Stephen F. Austin
6) Colorado St. vs 11) LaSalle

Games in Lexington, KY
2) Louisville vs 15) Princeton
7) Memphis vs 10) Boise St.

Washington, DC Region

Games in Lexington, KY
1) Duke vs 16) C Southern/Norfolk St.
8) Illinois vs 9) Cincinnati

Games in Salt Lake City
4) Kansas St. vs 13) Belmont
5) St. Louis vs 12) Villanova

Games in Philadelphia
3) Georgetown vs 14) Stony Brook
6) Butler vs 11) Wichita St.

Games in Auburn Hills, MI
2) Michigan St. vs 15) Niagara
7) Notre Dame vs 10) Cal

Los Angeles Region

Games in Salt Lake City
1) Gonzaga vs 16) Northeastern
8) San Diego St. vs 9. Oklahoma

Games in San Jose
4) Arizona vs 13) Bucknell
5) Ohio St. vs 12) Mid Tenn St.

Games in Philadelphia
3) Syracuse vs 14) Davidson
6) VCU vs 11) St. Mary's/Iowa State

Games in Austin, TX
2) New Mexico vs 15) Montana
7) Oregon vs 10) Creighton

Arlington Region

Games in Kansas City
1) Kansas vs 16) Robert Morris
8) UCLA vs 9) NC St.

Games in San Jose
4) Wisconsin vs 13) Valpo
5) UNLV vs 12) LA Tech

Games in Dayton, OH
3) Florida vs 14) South Dakota St.
6) Pitt vs 11) Temple

Games in Austin, TX
2) Miami (FL) vs 15) Long Beach St.
7) Minnesota vs 10) Colorado

Last 4 In
Virginia
St. Mary's
Iowa St.
Kentucky

First 4 Out
Baylor
S Miss
Maryland
UMASS

Next 4 Out
Ole Miss
Arkansas
Tennessee
Alabama

Baylor is my first team out, so while ISU is barely in, there's a large gap between ISU being in and out.

[cyclones500]

Looks pretty solid.

Working on my update, should have it by this evening.

[cyclones500]

Here's mine, March 3. I was going to swap ISU & Virginia on bubble position, but it caused too much bracket hassle at that point.

MIDWEST | Indianapolis
Dayton
1. Indiana
16. Charleston So. (BIG SOUTH)/Robert Morris (NORTHEAST)
8. Missouri
9. California
Salt Lake
5. St. Louis
12. Belmont (OVC)
4. Kansas State
13. Bucknell (PATRIOT)
Philadelphia
6. Oklahoma State
11. Wichita State
3. Georgetown
14. South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
Austin
7. Oregon
10. Temple
2. Miami
15. Long Beach State (BIG WEST)

WEST | Los Angeles
Salt Lake
1. Gonzaga
16. Mercer (A-SUN)
8. N.C. State
9. Oklahoma
San Jose
5. Pittsburgh
12. Middle Tenn. (SUN BELT)
4. Ohio State
13. Louisiana Tech (WAC)
Auburn Hills
6. Colorado State
11. Creighton
3. Michigan State
14. Stony Brook (AM EAST)
Dayton
7. VCU
10. Memphis
2. Louisville
15. Montana (BIG SKY)

EAST | Washington, D.C.
Philadelphia
1. Duke
16. Texas So. (SWAC)/Norfolk St. (MEAC)
8. Minnesota
9. Cincinnati
San Jose
5. UNLV
12. Kentucky/Villanova
4. Arizona
13. Akron (MAC)
Kansas City
6. Butler
11. Virginia
3. Marquette
14. Princeton (IVY)
Lexington
7. Illinois
10. Boise State
2. Florida
15. Niagara (MAAC)

SOUTH | Arlington
Kansas City
1. Kansas
16. Northeastern (COLONIAL)
8. UCLA
9. San Diego State
Lexington
5. Wisconsin
12. Iowa State/St. Mary’s
4. Syracuse
13. Stephen F. Austin (SOUTHLAND)
Austin
6. Notre Dame
11. LaSalle
3. New Mexico
14. Valparaiso (HORIZON)
Auburn Hills
7. North Carolina
10. Colorado
2. Michigan
15. Davidson (SOCON)

Last four in: Iowa State, Kentucky, Villanova, St. Mary’s
First four out: Maryland, Baylor, Tennessee, UMass
Next four out: Arizona State, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Alabama