Men's BB Team - this year and next

**mikeiastat** · 01-18-2010, 06:08 PM

9-7 would almost have to put us in the top 6 in the league and there is no way that less than 6 teams from the BIG XII are dancing this year. Everyone is going to argue that our non-conf is going to allow some fudging down of our status, but at 9-7 I can't see us having an rpi ranking worse than 40. I know the rpi isn't the end all be all, but 37-38 seems to be the majic number for not fudging off the bubble. And those are extreme cases. ISU's non-conf wasn't that bad. Only one quality win, but no bad losses eieth and 9-7 we're going to have plenty of wins that will mean something. Plus Iowa could pull our schedule out of the penalty area if they could get off the cupcake list. Which would give very little to complain about our non-conf schedule.

10 and 6 puts us at 5th or 4th and there is absolutely no way we don't go dancing in that case.

**Chitowncy** · 01-18-2010, 06:10 PM

Originally Posted by bawbie

The way I see it:
6-10 or worse: Staying home.
7-9 : NIT for sure
8-8 : Bottom side of the bubble
9-7 : top side of the bubble, most likely in
10-6 or better: in for sure.

I think this is about right, depending on our loses and wins.

The Committee has befuddled me in the past though. I think K-State was excluded one year with a 10-6 Big 12 record, but they conference definitely wasn't as strong that year and I don't know who they played out-of-conference.

With a 10 - 6 record this year, I think we're looking at a 8,9, 10 or 11 seed. You just never know with the Committee...

**CloneIce** · 01-18-2010, 07:54 PM

Originally Posted by nickcyv

We need 8 more wins in conference and 9 more likely. No way in hell we get in a 7-9 or in conference

This is correct.

**Clonehomer** · 01-18-2010, 07:57 PM

Originally Posted by Chitowncy

I think this is about right, depending on our loses and wins.

The Committee has befuddled me in the past though. I think K-State was excluded one year with a 10-6 Big 12 record, but they conference definitely wasn't as strong that year and I don't know who they played out-of-conference.

With a 10 - 6 record this year, I think we're looking at a 8,9, 10 or 11 seed. You just never know with the Committee...

A 10-6 record very well could get us a first round bye in the big12 tournament. With Texas and Kansas dominating the league each team will probably get 3 losses right there. The rest of the teams are going to be fighting for those last two spots and I don't think there are many teams that will go 10-3 against the rest of the league, including ISU. The home courts in this league are just too tough to consistently win on the road.

**Osoprimo** · 01-18-2010, 08:30 PM

Yeah, I agree, you guys will lose to us in Waco this year.

**cyclonenate** · 01-18-2010, 09:12 PM

I say 19-20 wins is in

**JCREEK** · 01-18-2010, 10:22 PM

If they go 8-8 with quality wins against Kansas and KSU who are top ten that prob gets you in the tourney.... First they need to get to 8 wins to talk about it...

**cstrunk** · 01-18-2010, 11:57 PM

The only way we get in at 8-8 is with a couple of huge upsets (and at least one big road win upset). 9-7 and a win in the 1st round of the Big 12 Tournament will most likely be what is needed from our team to get in the NCAA Tournament. 10-6 would be a lock.

**LindenCy** · 01-19-2010, 12:04 AM

Originally Posted by cstrunk

The only way we get in at 8-8 is with a couple of huge upsets (and at least one big road win upset). 9-7 and a win in the 1st round of the Big 12 Tournament will most likely be what is needed from our team to get in the NCAA Tournament. 10-6 would be a lock.

That sounds about right. I think 8-8 would be a long shot depending on how things shake out, but 9-7 or 10-6 should get us in if we have a couple quality wins in there.