Very Early 2/21 Weather Thread

**jmb** · 02-17-2013, 09:37 AM

Originally Posted by cloneluke80

forecast language getting stronger...

National Weather Service Text Product Display

also earl's 120hr map out there... Earl's GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

What does it look like for Chicago Friday? Supposed to be there Thursday-sat

**cytech** · 02-17-2013, 10:11 AM

Originally Posted by jmb

What does it look like for Chicago Friday? Supposed to be there Thursday-sat

I am sorry but Chicago will be gone.....

**Wesley** · 02-17-2013, 10:15 AM

Originally Posted by cytech

I am sorry but Chicago will be gone.....

Chicago is not on the map.

**isuno1fan** · 02-17-2013, 10:30 AM

Just read this article and it seems to indicate the track of the storm may be more focused on the Dakotas:

NWS: 'Everybody will see some kind of snow' | Local News - KCCI Home

**FDWxMan** · 02-17-2013, 10:45 AM

Originally Posted by scottie33

What has been the most consistent mid-range model this winter and in particular, this storm?

Typically the ECMWF (Euro) is the most reliable, especially at this range. The models are all in relatively good agreement for this storm, and have been for a couple days. That's unusual, so who knows what that really means.

Well, all agree except the GEM (Canadian). I don't really pay that one much attention. It's calling for a couple feet along/south I-80. Maybe that's why I ignore it.

**FDWxMan** · 02-17-2013, 10:52 AM

12Z GFS is calling for 9.8 inches of snow. The "Earl map" is showing 11" but that is not adjusted for compaction.

Here is why I'm not buying it yet:

Of that 9.8 inches of snow, the GFS is calling for 7.3" to fall from 9am to Noon on Thursday.

7.3" in three hours.

Impossible? No. Just not sure I want to jump into that end of the pool yet.

**clonedude** · 02-17-2013, 10:54 AM

Originally Posted by isuno1fan

Just read this article and it seems to indicate the track of the storm may be more focused on the Dakotas:

NWS: 'Everybody will see some kind of snow' | Local News - KCCI Home

Wow, that's the worst weather prediction I've ever seen.

"It could be an inch, or it could be more."

Really? Way to go out on a limb on that one!!

**cyfreddy** · 02-17-2013, 11:00 AM

Originally Posted by ISUAlum05

We live in Cedar Rapids and have tickets for a concert in Ames Thursday night. Do we need to try to sell those tickets?

Exactly, my two sons also have tickets to the Miranda Lambert & Dirks Bently concert in Hilton on Thursday night. Do you think they might have to end up cancelling this concert?

**hurdleisu24** · 02-17-2013, 11:53 AM

I hope its kinda in that 5-8 with no wind

**urb1** · 02-17-2013, 12:09 PM

Originally Posted by clonedude

Wow, that's the worst weather prediction I've ever seen.

"It could be an inch, or it could be more."

Really? Way to go out on a limb on that one!!

Wouldn't you love to have a job like that?
"When will the project be completed and what will it cost?"
"It could be done in a week or by the end of the year, and will cost somewhere between $300 and $300,000.
"OK. Good job!"

**aute19** · 02-17-2013, 12:50 PM

Originally Posted by clonedude

"It could be an inch, or it could be more."

Not a good way to pick up girls. Trust me.

**MNCYWX** · 02-17-2013, 12:59 PM

Originally Posted by urb1

Wouldn't you love to have a job like that?
"When will the project be completed and what will it cost?"
"It could be done in a week or by the end of the year, and will cost somewhere between $300 and $300,000.
"OK. Good job!"

Apples to Oranges. You're talking absolutes with a 'project'. There are no absolutes with weather.

Originally Posted by clonedude

Wow, that's the worst weather prediction I've ever seen.

"It could be an inch, or it could be more."

Really? Way to go out on a limb on that one!!

This storm is still 4 1/2 days out. WAYtoo early to be talking about specific amounts, hence why you aren't getting any answers on that yet.

**balken** · 02-17-2013, 01:56 PM

Originally Posted by urb1

Wouldn't you love to have a job like that?
"When will the project be completed and what will it cost?"
"It could be done in a week or by the end of the year, and will cost somewhere between $300 and $300,000.
"OK. Good job!"

If you prefer, we could eliminate weather forecasting. Personally, I will gladly take the information provided by meteorologists, knowing they have limitations based on the continually evolving, and improving, science of weather forecasting.

**AllIowaTeams** · 02-17-2013, 02:07 PM

Originally Posted by cyfreddy

Exactly, my two sons also have tickets to the Miranda Lambert & Dirks Bently concert in Hilton on Thursday night. Do you think they might have to end up cancelling this concert?

Honestly, anytime a country concert gets cancelled it's a small victory for humanity.

**chuckd4735** · 02-17-2013, 02:11 PM

Originally Posted by cyfreddy

Exactly, my two sons also have tickets to the Miranda Lambert & Dirks Bently concert in Hilton on Thursday night. Do you think they might have to end up cancelling this concert?

The only way the concert gets cancelled is if they cant make it in. That tour had a show last night, and its next show is in Ames. Im assuming they will get here OK. The next night is Champaign could be a problem though.