I hate to say it but I don't think they deserve a bid based on their season but since they are hosting and usually make the tourney I think their reputation and the fact they will sell tickets may get them in since they are hosting 1st and 2nd rounds.
I can understand having the uneasy feeling about not getting in before the selection show, but I think they deserve to get in.
Remember when the Big East got 9 of 16 team's in the tourney when they were better than the rest of the country? The Big 12 this year is far and away the best conference...it isn't even close.
Finishing .500 and in 4th place is enough to get in as long as the entire non-conference schedule wasn't a cluster.
I think the biggest concern I have is no marquee win above Oklahoma. Had we beat Texas A&M or Penn St. earlier in the year, we would be lock solid. Of course a win today would have solidified it too probably.
Plus, the committee does strange things with mid-majors sometimes -- in both directions. It's just tough to make a comparison between an 18-12 team in the no. 1 RPI conference and a 26-3 team in the no. 11 conference.
Iowa State is in. The Big XII is the womens version of the Big East in mens basketball. ISU will receive their due preference by the selection committee based on the league's sterling reputation. End Thread.
Yep, I think they're in. I think if the committee looks at our conference season, from starting 0-5, then winning 9 of the next 13 (14), to finish 4th the in the best conferenc, and hosting the first 2 rounds - that volume of work gets us in.
Here is what the NCAA uses as part of the selection process:
Note - they look at the last 12 games on the women's side
Based on the history of the Big 12, any team that has finished .500 or better in the league has always made the tourney, and there have been teams below .500 that have made it (ISU 2008).
Things to remember:
#1 - Conference RPI and SOS (9 of 10 teams in the top 65 of the RPI)
#2 - Only power conference to play a double round robin
Finished fourth in the toughest womens conference, yes we are in. Our resume looks good to me as well, hope they stay at home in Ames count me in as attending!!
Creme's bracketology from late last night hasn't changed anything at the bottom. Iowa State's still the third-from-last in, and all the other bubble teams are in the same slot they were a couple days ago. No wonder, since practically all of the bubble teams lost in the past three days or had already finished their conference tournaments.
And since Delaware and UWGB and (of lesser importance) UTEP keep advancing in their conference tournaments, this is the perfect scenario for Iowa State to make the NCAAs. If UTEP and UWGB win their conference tourneys today, and Delaware wins the CAAs tomorrow, I'd put the Cyclones' chances of making the NCAA bracket at probably 85%-90%.
The women will be in the tournament.
I will even make the bold prediction that they will play at 5:30 on the 17th.
Mark it down.
If ISU is benchmarked by how well it competed against Baylor relative to other teams this year...
A&M lost to BU in the Big 12 title game by about the same margin as ISU did at Waco. ISU scored more points against BU than A&M did in those games.
Only 5 teams led or tied BU at the half ALL YEAR and only 6 teams led Baylor in the 2nd half of a game, and ISU was one of them.
Tennessee: 33-31 at the half and by 8 early in the 2nd
St. Johns: 32-30 at the half and by 6 early in the 2nd
UConn: 34-28 at the half and by 11 partway through the 2nd
TTU: 35-30 at the half
A&M: down at half, up by 1 early in 2nd
ISU: 32-32 at the half and by 4 early in the 2nd
ISU, A&M, and TTU were the only Big 12 teams to lead BU after the half. Other Big 12 teams either never led or led only in the early minutes of the game.
While those stats don't show up in RPI, it's an interesting benchmark going against the best team in the country.