I'd put Ward higher than that, since he's been wrestling on a bad knee all year.
One thing is for sure, the competition at 165/174 is going to be intense. I wouldn't be terribly suprised to see one of them try to cut down to 157 over the summer.
Sorenson, Spangler, and Moreno will all be on the mat next year one way or another. My guess is that one of them either cuts to 157 or bulks up to 184 over the summer.
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