Gonna go with two scenarios.
Scenario one (most likely): Virginia's defense unnerves the Cyclones. Brogdon is as good as advertised, Nader and Matty Ballgame get off to a cold start and Gill gets McKay in early foul trouble. Niang does his thing, scores a career-high 32 but needs 24 shots to do it. Virginia wins 67-59. ISU fans give the boys a standing ovation before they leave the arena and drink every last drop of alcohol in Chicago.
Scenario two: Monte and Matty have the game of their lives, and they've had some good ones already. Monte 4/5 from 3, 22 points, 12 assists, 6 steals. Matty 6/9 from 3, career-high 26 points, including six free throws in the final minute to ice it as ISU upsets Virginia 71-67. Those two make up for a bad night by Nader and Niang, who combine for just 16 points being hounded by Brogdon and Co. Afterward, ISU fans give the boys a standing ovation before they leave the arena and drink every last drop of alcohol in Chicago.