So present a counter argument. We lose Shayok, Talley, and Weiler-Babb for sure. I hope we get Wigginton back, but he tested the NBA last year which showed that he wanted to leave last year. Among the reasons he came back was his inexperience and the fact that he was coming from a losing team. He will have more experience this year, and we are winning more games. Together, that gives me a 60% chance he leaves. As for Horton-Tucker, people are making a lot about his abilities and youth. When the season is over, a lot of people will be talking him up. Even if he wants to come back, I see a lot of people putting dollar signs in his ears. 60% chance he leaves. That's a lot of players to lose.
As for the recruiting class, it is ranked 44th. Texas's recruiting class is in the top 15. Almost all of our hopes in this class are pinned on Marcedus Leech, who was a top-50 player until he sustained a really bad injury. We are obviously hoping he gets back to his pre-injury form. Even if he does, one player (even a top-50 player) can't replace losing 5 players.
But, then, I am a stupid idiot moron, so none of this matters.