Who makes the CFP in the nightmare scenario?

[AppleCornCy]

Say LSU wins the SEC and none of the other top teams lose. Which four of these teams make the CFP?

13-0 Ohio State/Michigan winner (Big Ten champ)
13-0 TCU (Big 12 champ)
12-1 Georgia
12-1 USC (Pac-12 champ)
12-1 Clemson (ACC champ)
11-1 Ohio State/Michigan loser
11-2 LSU (SEC champ)

 

[Acylum]

The two undefeateds, USC , Georgia.

 

[jctisu]

The two undefeateds, USC , Georgia.

This. It would be a lot harder if you broke it out as Michigan or Ohio State being the winner of that game. I think that makes a difference as Michigan's non-conference was so pathetic they are going to be punished for it.

So what happens if it's this?

13-0 Michigan winner (Big Ten champ)
13-0 TCU (Big 12 champ)
12-1 Georgia
12-1 USC (Pac-12 champ)
12-1 Clemson (ACC champ)
11-1 Ohio State
11-2 LSU (SEC champ)

I think those top three are in and then it gets crazy between USC, Ohio State and LSU. Even with 2 losses are they REALLY going to leave out the SEC champion? And then USC v. Ohio State is blue blood city.

 

[CyCrazy]

The two undefeateds, USC , Georgia.

USC lost to Utah

 

[jctisu]

Or (and yes this is insane) but WHAT IF the West Champ actually pulls a stunning upset in the Big Ten title game? LOL!

 

[Acylum]

USC lost to Utah

And? Everybody in the given scenario has a loss other than Georgia and TCU. You think a one point loss on the road to Utah eliminates them?

 

[KidSilverhair]

Or (and yes this is insane) but WHAT IF the West Champ actually pulls a stunning upset in the Big Ten title game? LOL!

Then Iowa makes the CFP, duh.

(Let me just say, I’m actually strongly in favor of winning the conference championship being a requirement for the playoff. If a an 8-4 team upsets an undefeated somebody in the CCG, well, that’s how it goes, you win the ‘ship you’re in the playoff. Don’t like it, then don’t lose, lol. Anyway, that’s just my opinion and I know it’s not the way it works, but no playoff system actually finds the “best” team anyway, you just get a winner of the tournament. Remember, nobody put a gun to the B1G’s head and told them they have to have a CCG, they chose to do that with divisions they set up themselves, if that gives Ohio State an extra chance to lose a game, thats the way the CCG crumbles.)

 

[CyCrazy]

And? Everybody in the given scenario has a loss other than Georgia and TCU. You think a one point loss on the road to Utah eliminates them?

I never said that.

 

[NickTheGreat]

Obviously Georgia, OSU, LSU and Clemson. Maybe Bama, just because ESPN

 

[Nothingman]

USC lost to Utah

That post meant that the two undefeated teams and USC and Georgia would be the four teams in. I read it as USC and Georgia were undefeated at first too.

 

[Clonehomer]

I think a 1 loss USC gets in over any non-conference champ, even if that is Georgia. It's one thing to take a non-champ when the field is weak, but there's a lot of deserving resumes in there.

 

[Gonzo]

Michigan
Ohio St.
Iowa
Bama

 

[Drew0311]

Oklahoma fan are going to lose their crap watching their old coach and a bunch of players from last years team make the championship. I might root for USC just for that reason. Even though I think Riley is a weasel

 

[JP4CY]

Oklahoma fan are going to lose their crap watching their old coach and a bunch of players from last years team make the championship. I might root for USC just for that reason. Even though I think Riley is a weasel

All of this is correct. OU fans have been incredibly butthurt. Incredibly.

 

[AppleCornCy]

USC lost to Utah

That’s not a bad loss, and they would also have wins over ranked UCLA, Oregon State, Notre Dame, and either Oregon, Washington, or a rematch with Utah.

 

[AppleCornCy]

The two undefeateds, USC , Georgia.

For the record, that’s who I would pick too.

 

[madguy30]

That group would be a solid rationale for 8 teams in the CFP.

Can't recall if it's been that way before or not.

 

[everyyard]

I’d take two undefeateds and LSU and USC (or Clemson). Conference championship should mean something. Obviously, I’m in the minority opinion.

 

[AppleCornCy]

I’d take two undefeateds and LSU and USC (or Clemson). Conference championship should mean something. Obviously, I’m in the minority opinion.

I give preference to conference championships and head to head when all else is equal, but it’s hard for me to take a two-loss team with a four touchdown home loss on their resume over a one loss team that’s been dominant all season just because the two-loss team won on the right Saturday.

On the other hand, if LSU were to blow Georgia out, then it might be a different conversation.

 

[besserheimerphat]

I'm about ready to say **** it and root for Iowa in the B1G championship. They'll play either OSU or Michigan, and it would put both of them at 11-1 and hopefully shut the B1G out of the CFP. I don't know how realistic it is to keep the B1G out, but I'm all for non-Big 12 chaos the rest of the year.

OSU has had a stranglehold on the #2 spot for a long time. Probably need them to lose to Michigan, and then for Michigan to lose to Iowa. Michigan has been less dominant than OSU so far this season - not that OSU has looked great every week either, but SP+ has a large difference between the two.

ETA: not to mention, a B1G championship this year would drive their fans crazy and cement the BF position as OC for the next few years. "In case you weren't aware, we were conference champs last year and won 10 games the year before that."