Here comes the doomsday thread, sorry

Marcelason78

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I read it as no one is forbidden. There’s a minimum amount of $$ that you need to invest in to “get in the door” once you’re in the door it’s up to you to decide how much you want to spend. There’s not going to be a cutoff at this is the 40 teams we want and the rest of you can rot.….
Agree, they’re not saying you are forbidden if you can meet the $100 million threshold (or whatever number it ultimately is) but how many schools will decide they can afford to go down the never ending rabbit hole? IMO, it won’t be much past the top 40.
 

Cfinnerty16

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Again, you can’t compare the NFL to cfb, they are fundamentally totally different in every way except both playing football.
I still always wonder how you have time to be on here being an ER physician lol.
I'm a data scientist, so it makes sense how I just scroll CF forums throughout the day
 

simply1

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Is this going to impact basketball? Seems football focused comments thus far.
 

MugNight

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I see a 50-80 break off more viable than a 30 break off at this point because of the potential of a class action suit with the medium/small sized P4 programs against the others. I’m sure many of these TV execs and ADs would be worried about what might come out during the discovery portion if it got to that.

At some point this plays out in a courtroom right? How does it not if we get to the “doomsday” point?

Edit: a typo
 
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FriendlySpartan

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I still always wonder how you have time to be on here being an ER physician lol.
I'm a data scientist, so it makes sense how I just scroll CF forums throughout the data
I only work 2-3 days a week. When I’m working I also am forced to have my phone in my hand all day due to mobile heartbeat. I also have an insanely good class of residents this year so most of my day is paperwork unless there is a trauma or unusual presentation. On average I only actually see 6-8 patients, I wish I practiced medicine more it’s mostly just boring checking the mid level provider charts and approving nonsense.
 
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CycloneVet

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As an ISU fan, alumni, sons soon to be alumni we have no illusions as to being included in the playoff on a regular basis. I love ISU sports and the university.

What concerns me about all of this crap is if we do have an extra special season here and there we won’t have a chance at the big prize.

I feel terrible for FSU. I wish their qb would have stayed healthy which would have prevented the current excuse as to why they weren’t chosen. But would would have been amazing is the absolute drama that would have happened if Texas or Alabama would have been left out. If anyone thinks it wouldn’t have been Texas getting the short end I don’t know what to tell you. There would have been absolutely no way in hell that the SEC would have been left out.
 

AuH2O

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I read it as no one is forbidden. There’s a minimum amount of $$ that you need to invest in to “get in the door” once you’re in the door it’s up to you to decide how much you want to spend. There’s not going to be a cutoff at this is the 40 teams we want and the rest of you can rot.

They want schools to invest more because that means they will ultimately get a better tv product. Look at how the Big 10 is operating with their new financials. You think Indiana would have paid a $20 million buyout 10 years ago.

If I’m the Big 10 I’m saying: look we got you the big payday but you better use it for a better product on the field to help us out.

And this makes total sense for everyone. You want to be in the club, there's a minimum you need to invest and bring to the table. And it's not like they are going to hold on this fantasy of equal media revenue sharing.

People need to let go of this as a marginal adjustment to the equal revenue sharing conference model. The marginal value of a team into a conference based on media $/# of teams is irrelevant in this context.

The best business model for the big boys is this:
- The floor of investment/payment is $X - if you can do that, you can be in
- There are no or few limits to what you pay athletes
- Revenues are largely going to be merit-based

That way they are getting the marginal difference in viewership that having a team "in the club" brings, but not heavily subsidizing them. ****, Ohio State and Michigan are subsidizing everybody in the big 10 save for PSU and MAYBE Wisconsin. It isn't like the Big 10 teams are all a few degrees of difference around the per team average in value. Hell, Michigan, Ohio State and whatever other 10-12 teams you want to throw in there is a P2 league in value.
 
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Cyched

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And thinking long-term, they may not expect solid ISU fans to go become Iowa fans overnight, but they'll expect the next generation of casual fans to pick the only relevant option. Schools like ISU will simply develop fewer new fans over time and schools like Iowa more fans.

I'd also have little interest in this whole model though. I can do other things with my saturdays if ISU isn't at all relevant. I've been gaining more interest in the NFL the last couple years anyway, maybe that's just where I end up.

I could see this happening with the next generation of local fans, but the casual fans that live in a pro sports city/not in Iowa or insert state, that will be a tougher sell. Alumni of the left behind schools in those markets will probably be less passionate about passing down their fandom to their kids.
 

spierceisu

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If Iowa State isn't involved, I just don't give a **** when it comes to college sports. I've actually become pretty meh on the whole Iowa State thing in reality. I used to give my simple donation, buy my season tickets and have a good time at the games. Now it seems like it's just a constant barrage of how I need to give more money for this, more money for that and being told I'm not doing enough. I'm more concerned about paying for one daughter at ISU and one at Loyola than I am about giving a more money to the AD/NIL so we can keep players.

Don't get me wrong, I want ISU to succeed, but reality is, I'm already throwing a ton of money at college and I want to make sure my daughters are happy and have the resources they need before I get concerned with throwing more money at college athletics that my kids aren't involved in.

College athletics have really lost their shine since my kids have gotten older and other priorities have taken over my life. The B1G and SEC can do whatever they want and just like the last 10 years, I still won't watch many of their games.
I completely agree. I have 2 young kids and don't have a lot of discretionary income. I really don't get much time to watch sports like I used to. Even ISU games are hard to get time to watch, so watching other games really doesn't happen. I am being told that both the university and collective need my money to be competetive, but I really don't have the money to spend on this. The cost of everything is going up (tickets, donation levels, parking, etc) and I am also being asked to pay more.
 

TXCyclones

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As an ISU fan, alumni, sons soon to be alumni we have no illusions as to being included in the playoff on a regular basis. I love ISU sports and the university.

What concerns me about all of this crap is if we do have an extra special season here and there we won’t have a chance at the big prize.

I feel terrible for FSU. I wish their qb would have stayed healthy which would have prevented the current excuse as to why they weren’t chosen. But would would have been amazing is the absolute drama that would have happened if Texas or Alabama would have been left out. If anyone thinks it wouldn’t have been Texas getting the short end I don’t know what to tell you. There would have been absolutely no way in hell that the SEC would have been left out.

FSU got completely FU**ED. The only way to remove the SEC-bias is to eliminate a committee. Put rules in place that say "conference champion gets in" or "top 3 conference spots get in". Otherwise we will forever see the BS we saw this year.
 

Die4Cy

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Yep.

It also keeps alumni engaged and brings people back to town. Opens up great fundraising opportunities. There's a reason small schools are fighting for the chance to join the lower rungs of FBS, and there's a reason SMU ponied up close to $100 million to join the P4.

Honestly, if $6 mil/year is the price to play, I imagine it's well worth it and should be doable for a power 4 budget.
The economics of it might be interesting.

Say lower level pays $25M in media rights per school, but upper level pays $50M. If it only costs you $6-10M to be a part of the upper division, virtually everyone would try to be. The math says you must.

There's just not much meat on the bones of this proposal, if you can even call it one.
 
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MugNight

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FSU got completely FU**ED. The only way to remove the SEC-bias is to eliminate a committee. Put rules in place that say "conference champion gets in" or "top 3 conference spots get in". Otherwise we will forever see the BS we saw this year.
The sad thing is, we got 4 conf champs in: Michigan, Washington, Texas, and Bama. Undefeated FSU as a P5 champ shouldn’t have been excluded in any universe. Very disappointing.
 

Freebird

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Apr 11, 2006
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Hopefully they go take the top 30 schools and they can go **** themselves and ISU gets in the next league with the next 30-40 power schools and we can be a power there. I've grown really excited about the Big 12 and how even the playing field is. I used to want to be in the Big10 but honestly that sounds not fun. I have zero envy of the MN, Illinois, Indianas and heck even Iowas of the world. They have almost no hope of ever winning anything meaningful
The fatal flaw in the SEC/Big Ten going on their own is that it will turn college football from a national sport to a regional sport. Their audience will be the Midwest and the south and virtually no one else will have an interest. I won’t give a **** about it if ISU isn’t playing.
But. By that time the big money will all be in sports betting anyway and they won’t care that they destroyed college football for money.
 
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WhoISthis

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Oct 6, 2010
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Yeah I think ISU is fine with this development. Again anything could change but based on the info we have it shouldn’t be an issue.
Agree.

The Big 12 as the “3” in a P3 setup has been the goal and most plausible outcome since OUT occurred.

In reality it’s a P2+1, but being the less affluent “other guy” at the top is a role, and frankly not a step back for nearly a 24 school Big 12 that encompasses the bottom of the P5.

It’s better the transition of P5 to P3 and the new era of paying players be a step-change while there’s still any notion left from the previous era that these schools are peers. That will fade quickly.

The worst case scenario was/is this occurs slowly, suffocating out programs until it’s a top 40
 

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