*** Official #14 IOWA STATE vs Texas (SAMSUBA) Game(Day) Thread ***

ZRF

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Jan 3, 2015
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You're a real piece of work. So now a kid known to be a good offensive player makes 3 high level offensive plays in the game and now he sucks because he should have been taking higher percentage shots?

Do you ever get tired of responded to my posts without even reading (or at least comprehending) them?

There were not THREE high level offensive plays. There was 1. The two others were ******** shots. Just because a player hits a bad shot doesn't mean it was a good basketball decision. It wasn't.

As I've stated multiple times, Pavs struggles because he's: small, not very strong, and lucks natural athleticism. This makes it hard for him to create his own shot on the offensive end and keep up on the defensive end. Simply put he is a liability EVERY time he's put on the floor against elite competition. That's not meant to be mean and it's not an opinion. It's facts backed up by a multitude of video evidence and advanced stats.

The reason why I bring up the shots is, assuming he has enough open space, it's the one thing his lack of physical ability doesn't inhibit. Outside of possibly the one lane move the 1-2 passed up threes were the best potential shots he could have taken the entire game. Instead, he passed them up.

So yes, when it comes to decision making I prefer high percentage shots over prayers. That doesn't just apply to Pavs but the rest of the team. Maybe you haven't noticed but we typically have better results and consistency when we do that.
 
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ZRF

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Jan 3, 2015
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That’s not the reason I don’t like your posts.

I don’t like your posts because your are the basketball equivalent to the Simpson’s Comic Book Guy. You’re a know it all *******. You think you know better than everybody including the staff and you attack everybody who thinks differently.

I don’t know what you get out of acting like this but I hope it at least makes you feel better.

Get out of it? That's the wrong question.

I like being challenged in life in general. When smart people pose the right questions it often forces you to re-evaluate your position. That's been done quite a few times on here by posters (Sigmopolis, Hines, and some of the better posters on here) and when it has I recognize it.

But when people attack my posts because they have a biased opinion of a player, don't like the take, etc and don't back it up (at all) it's crazy. The ultimate irony are the fool that ***** and complain, keep attacking the takes while providing little in the way of facts or evidence, then make it out like I'm the one continuing the conversation. Since conference has started have had 3 consistent opinions: Pavs is the worst player on the team, Ward should be playing more, and Watson (especially relative to some others) should be playing more. When doing so I've cited specific situations and advanced stats, particularly conference stats. Why? They are simply more relevant to the point and it's the easiest way to eliminate the meaningless stats/games against extremely inferior opponents.

For me it's a principle issue. If NOcreativity is going to attack the gist of my posts it's cool. In fact I welcome it. But for the love of christ, bring something other than anectdotal tripe and ******** to the table. If you can't, maybe acknowledge your position is faulty and likely lacks merit. Better yet, put me on ignore to begin with.

Blind homerism is a hell of a drug for some on here. I guess I just don't get that.
 
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3TrueFans

Just a Happily Married Man
Sep 10, 2009
63,241
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Ames
Get out of it? That's the wrong question.

I like being challenged in life in general. When smart people pose the right questions it often forces you to re-evaluate your position. That's been done quite a few times on here by posters (Sigmopolis, Hines, and some of the better posters on here) and when it has I recognize it.

But when people attack my posts because they have a biased opinion of a player, don't like the take, etc and don't back it up (at all) it's crazy. The ultimate irony are the fool that ***** and complain, keep attacking the takes while providing little in the way of facts or evidence, then make it out like I'm the one continuing the conversation. Since conference has started have had 3 consistent opinions: Pavs is the worst player on the team, Ward should be playing more, and Watson (especially relative to some others) should be playing more. When doing so I've cited specific situations and advanced stats, particularly conference stats. Why? They are simply more relevant to the point and it's the easiest way to eliminate the meaningless stats/games against extremely inferior opponents.

For me it's a principle issue. If NOcreativity is going to attack the gist of my posts it's cool. In fact I welcome it. But for the love of christ, bring something other than anectdotal tripe and ******** to the table. If you can't, maybe acknowledge your position is faulty and likely lacks merit. Better yet, put me on ignore to begin with.

Blind homerism is a hell of a drug for some on here. I guess I just don't get that.
I imagine life is very challenging for you.
 

bosco

Well-Known Member
Dec 21, 2008
9,843
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Des Moines
.
Do you ever get tired of responded to my posts without even reading (or at least comprehending) them?

There were not THREE high level offensive plays. There was 1. The two others were ******** shots. Just because a player hits a bad shot doesn't mean it was a good basketball decision. It wasn't.

As I've stated multiple times, Pavs struggles because he's: small, not very strong, and lucks natural athleticism. This makes it hard for him to create his own shot on the offensive end and keep up on the defensive end. Simply put he is a liability EVERY time he's put on the floor against elite competition. That's not meant to be mean and it's not an opinion. It's facts backed up by a multitude of video evidence and advanced stats.

The reason why I bring up the shots is, assuming he has enough open space, it's the one thing his lack of physical ability doesn't inhibit. Outside of possibly the one lane move the 1-2 passed up threes were the best potential shots he could have taken the entire game. Instead, he passed them up.

So yes, when it comes to decision making I prefer high percentage shots over prayers. That doesn't just apply to Pavs but the rest of the team. Maybe you haven't noticed but we typically have better results and consistency when we do that.
I recall 2 shots that Pav made in the lane that I thought were prayers but they came off clean. He took them I think later in the shot clock so I don't have issue with him taking those in that situation.

Pav has shown pretty good ability to get into the lane and his Wolford highlight reel is alot of him taking shots there. I feel he's comfortable doing that and maybe it's been/going to be an acclimation to the higher level of competition with him to get where he can be more consistent with it.

I do agree there are times he has a 3pt look and passes it up when he should take it. But those looks are often early in the shot clock and maybe he defers to more established players. I think as he gets more playing time he'll get more comfortable and take those shots.
 

AuH2O

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Sep 7, 2013
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I wouldn't use Miya and would say it's impossible to adjust for the opponent played. Why use theoreticals when you can simply look at the entire season, or noncon for that matter, then compare to in conference performance? While the season matters in some context, as in the games WERE played, the conference games are of far more relevancy. Why? We are currently in that part of the season, the play in said season is more reflective of the players current performance, and said competition is the level we will be playing the rest of the way.

Basically, why use Miya when you can use Torvik and isolate those conference stats? This isn't to hate on BRE but the world knows, even Rob knows, athleticism isn't his attribute. When you consistently perform stronger against weaker competition and comparatively drop performance against stronger competition it says something. Just as it does with guys like Ward and Watson improving.

The in-conference advanced metrics HEAVILY favor Ward, just as they did for Osun last year. I can't say for certain, as I don't know, but the data does suggest Otz might not be the most objective when it comes to BREs playing time. There could be other (plausible) reasons, but without knowing them while also seeing a similar trend repeat itself it's a fair thought.
When you have a lot of games and data points, Miya is a superior measurement with the one flaw that I agree - inability to split out the conference games. But the actual measurements are a WAY better indicator of how well the team plays when the player is on the court. It is more sample size dependent, though.

BT has really dumb aspects in ORTG and DRTG, most notably way too much emphasis on an offensive or defensive stat defining a personal possession or stop.

Simple example, BT ORTG says Watson is our best offensive player in conference play. It's completely a factor of having a major portion of his rating being weighted with something that accounts for usage. His individual possessions that factor into his ORTG are ridiculous because he has super low usage, because he's basically making a wide open dunk or nothing. He doesn't shoot, dribble, or really even pass other than a safe pass that doesn't set someone up for a good shot. Our half court possessions with him on the floor increase the pressure and degree of difficulty for the other offensive players. He's an elite defender and rebounder, but he absolutely does not make ISUs offense better.

DRTG has a boner for blocking shot or getting a steal. These are stats that are largely coming off the ball as help defenders. Important and great, but many coaches will tell you a very poor indicator of a defender. As a comparison, forcing a bad pass that is stolen by someone else, a bad shot that is rebounded by someone else or preventing a top scorer from getting the ball not so much. It's all opinion, but Coach K thinks steals have zero indication of good defense. Larry used to call blocked shots the most worthless stat ever.

I think you have to look at both systems for that reason. I think BTs team metrics are great, but the individual ORTG and DRTG formulas have serious flaws. The ORTG in particular favors low usage dunkers and garbage men. McKay had a significantly better ORTG than Niang in conference play. In fact Niang was our second to worst offensive player per ORTG that season. And the DRTG factors way too much into individual defensive stats of questionable merit in judging actual defense.
 
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NoCreativity

Well-Known Member
Nov 12, 2015
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Des Moines
Do you ever get tired of responded to my posts without even reading (or at least comprehending) them?

There were not THREE high level offensive plays. There was 1. The two others were ******** shots. Just because a player hits a bad shot doesn't mean it was a good basketball decision. It wasn't.

As I've stated multiple times, Pavs struggles because he's: small, not very strong, and lucks natural athleticism. This makes it hard for him to create his own shot on the offensive end and keep up on the defensive end. Simply put he is a liability EVERY time he's put on the floor against elite competition. That's not meant to be mean and it's not an opinion. It's facts backed up by a multitude of video evidence and advanced stats.

The reason why I bring up the shots is, assuming he has enough open space, it's the one thing his lack of physical ability doesn't inhibit. Outside of possibly the one lane move the 1-2 passed up threes were the best potential shots he could have taken the entire game. Instead, he passed them up.

So yes, when it comes to decision making I prefer high percentage shots over prayers. That doesn't just apply to Pavs but the rest of the team. Maybe you haven't noticed but we typically have better results and consistency when we do that.
I get it man, hes small and not as athletic as our other guards. I even said early in the year myself he didn't look like a Big 12 player.

He averages exactly 6 minutes a game in Big 12 play. As far as I know he hasn't cost us any games yet. TJ seems to know the spots and situations to put him in. We won at historically one of toughest venues for Iowa St and here you are 3 days later still upset he got 9 productive minutes.

What exactly is the problem here? You're obsessed with ripping on the 10th guy who barely plays spot minutes. You did the exact same thing last year with BRE.
 

trevn

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SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 10, 2006
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Get out of it? That's the wrong question.

I like being challenged in life in general. When smart people pose the right questions it often forces you to re-evaluate your position. That's been done quite a few times on here by posters (Sigmopolis, Hines, and some of the better posters on here) and when it has I recognize it.

But when people attack my posts because they have a biased opinion of a player, don't like the take, etc and don't back it up (at all) it's crazy. The ultimate irony are the fool that ***** and complain, keep attacking the takes while providing little in the way of facts or evidence, then make it out like I'm the one continuing the conversation. Since conference has started have had 3 consistent opinions: Pavs is the worst player on the team, Ward should be playing more, and Watson (especially relative to some others) should be playing more. When doing so I've cited specific situations and advanced stats, particularly conference stats. Why? They are simply more relevant to the point and it's the easiest way to eliminate the meaningless stats/games against extremely inferior opponents.

For me it's a principle issue. If NOcreativity is going to attack the gist of my posts it's cool. In fact I welcome it. But for the love of christ, bring something other than anectdotal tripe and ******** to the table. If you can't, maybe acknowledge your position is faulty and likely lacks merit. Better yet, put me on ignore to begin with.

Blind homerism is a hell of a drug for some on here. I guess I just don't get that.

The hypocrisy in this is laughable. You continually pose anecdotal evidence as facts, but then point the finger at nearly all of your opposition for not bringing facts. I'm not sure if you're being intentionally obtuse or if it's a genuine blind spot.

You're absolutely entitled to an opinion and have all rights to express that here. The way you go about expressing your opinion matters though. It's one thing to think a player needs more development. It's another thing to just say they suck and shouldn't see the floor ever. Stating your opinions the way that you do ensures that not many people will take your opinions seriously, no matter how many paragraphs you write or advanced stats you use. I think you know all of that though.
 

Statefan10

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May 20, 2019
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The hypocrisy in this is laughable. You continually pose anecdotal evidence as facts, but then point the finger at nearly all of your opposition for not bringing facts. I'm not sure if you're being intentionally obtuse or if it's a genuine blind spot.

You're absolutely entitled to an opinion and have all rights to express that here. The way you go about expressing your opinion matters though. It's one thing to think a player needs more development. It's another thing to just say they suck and shouldn't see the floor ever. Stating your opinions the way that you do ensures that not many people will take your opinions seriously, no matter how many paragraphs you write or advanced stats you use. I think you know all of that though.
The ridiculous thing is flat out not accepting reality, and that's that Pav played solid minutes in the Texas game. Saying "oh he just got lucky" is so ignorant imo.
 

VeloClone

Well-Known Member
Jan 19, 2010
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Brooklyn Park, MN
The hypocrisy in this is laughable. You continually pose anecdotal evidence as facts, but then point the finger at nearly all of your opposition for not bringing facts. I'm not sure if you're being intentionally obtuse or if it's a genuine blind spot.
How I now picture him.

3bd0c519-3bfd-4d70-8b9f-1f16d950b1dd_text.gif
 
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t-noah

Well-Known Member
Feb 2, 2007
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The hypocrisy in this is laughable. You continually pose anecdotal evidence as facts, but then point the finger at nearly all of your opposition for not bringing facts. I'm not sure if you're being intentionally obtuse or if it's a genuine blind spot.

You're absolutely entitled to an opinion and have all rights to express that here. The way you go about expressing your opinion matters though. It's one thing to think a player needs more development. It's another thing to just say they suck and shouldn't see the floor ever. Stating your opinions the way that you do ensures that not many people will take your opinions seriously, no matter how many paragraphs you write or advanced stats you use. I think you know all of that though.
Many of us have tried, 1-3x or more.
 
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xboxfever

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Nov 4, 2008
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Your points are invalid. Even when you do make a valid point, such as Texas is a guard heavy lineup, it doesn't nothing to counter my point which is we don't NEED Pav's minutes. Watson played 7 minutes to Pavs' 9. So not only did Pavs play 9 minutes (which is ludicrous in and of itself), Watson only played 7. When looking at the body of work in conference there just isn't a justification to play Pavs at all, let alone only play Watson 7. There's ample evidence to back that up.

You want the guards to get their rest? Easy, play Watson 13-15 minutes, which he is completely capable of doing. It's also preposterous Ward only got 14 minutes, especially in having a large lead for most of the 2nd half. There are plenty of available combinations that allow for rest and keep Pavs on the bench.

The reason you don't like my posts is because I make a specific point, which you poorly refute, and you refuse to cede ground. You've been dying on the we "can play Pavs hill" when I've shown, repeatedly, that he can't. Thta's not my fault buddy, that's yours.
I just re watched the game and Pav was just fine. During his run in the second half, Rob Jones missed two easy layups, Curtis Jones missed two wide open threes, including one in transition that resulted in Texas running it back for two points, Keshon missing an open three, and Abmas hit a jumper over Pav when he was playing excellent defense. It was a tough shot. Pav actually played very well during his time. Your hatred for him is not warranted and completely wrong.
 

NorthCyd

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Aug 22, 2011
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I just re watched the game and Pav was just fine. During his run in the second half, Rob Jones missed two easy layups, Curtis Jones missed two wide open threes, including one in transition that resulted in Texas running it back for two points, Keshon missing an open three, and Abmas hit a jumper over Pav when he was playing excellent defense. It was a tough shot. Pav actually played very well during his time. Your hatred for him is not warranted and completely wrong.
All right everyone, the over/under on the number of paragraphs for the response to this is 3. You taking over or under?
 
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t-noah

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Feb 2, 2007
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I just re watched the game and Pav was just fine. During his run in the second half, Rob Jones missed two easy layups, Curtis Jones missed two wide open threes, including one in transition that resulted in Texas running it back for two points, Keshon missing an open three, and Abmas hit a jumper over Pav when he was playing excellent defense. It was a tough shot. Pav actually played very well during his time. Your hatred for him is not warranted and completely wrong.
But, but, but...
 

madguy30

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Nov 15, 2011
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Get out of it? That's the wrong question.

I like being challenged in life in general. When smart people pose the right questions it often forces you to re-evaluate your position. That's been done quite a few times on here by posters (Sigmopolis, Hines, and some of the better posters on here) and when it has I recognize it.

But when people attack my posts because they have a biased opinion of a player, don't like the take, etc and don't back it up (at all) it's crazy. The ultimate irony are the fool that ***** and complain, keep attacking the takes while providing little in the way of facts or evidence, then make it out like I'm the one continuing the conversation. Since conference has started have had 3 consistent opinions: Pavs is the worst player on the team, Ward should be playing more, and Watson (especially relative to some others) should be playing more. When doing so I've cited specific situations and advanced stats, particularly conference stats. Why? They are simply more relevant to the point and it's the easiest way to eliminate the meaningless stats/games against extremely inferior opponents.

For me it's a principle issue. If NOcreativity is going to attack the gist of my posts it's cool. In fact I welcome it. But for the love of christ, bring something other than anectdotal tripe and ******** to the table. If you can't, maybe acknowledge your position is faulty and likely lacks merit. Better yet, put me on ignore to begin with.

Blind homerism is a hell of a drug for some on here. I guess I just don't get that.

Things you can't dispute:

You make concrete statements about TJ's decision making without knowing why he makes the decisions that he does. And you have nothing to dispute that or back up with. And it's ****ing weird that you think you do. Because you don't.

You think it is not negative to call a player terrible or say they suck.

Each season you put the light on one player to obsessively go after like they're ruining your life by not producing like they're supposed to be in some video game or alternative universe scenario in order to appease whatever issues you have in relation to a college basketball team winning or losing.
 
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CySmurf

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Jul 14, 2011
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Disu got hot but that was compounded with Otz sticking with BRE over Ward. With BRE missing bunny after bunny he had little value on the floor once Disu got hot. Ward is a much better defender, especially a flash defender, and should have been on the floor more given the situation. Only 13 minutes with 3 O boards (5 total), 2 blocks, a steal, and ZERO TOs. Makes zero sense.
You're like a reoccurring migraine.