Purdue is the one seed I would love to see! We are built to give them fits and the odds of them making it to that point are slim.
Bracketology 2024
- Thread starter CoachHines3
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Purdue is the one seed I would love to see! We are built to give them fits and the odds of them making it to that point are slim.
Coaches First
AP released after.
I will certainly take a double asterisk
#6 ranking in BOTH polls.
The easy path to Omaha is to jump ahead of Kansas and Baylor. Cheering against Alabama and Auburn would also help. Baylor is closer to Memphis, so if that spot freed up, that would help.
Looking at how the committee valued Kansas in the top 16 release they are damn near a lock for Omaha.
really needed oklahoma to not go full helen keller in the 2nd half on saturday
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
I really thought Boomer was gonna beat them at home but KU pretty much man handled them in the second half.
Big 12 as of 2/19/2024
Locks: Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor
Probably in: Texas Tech, BYU, Oklahoma, TCU, Texas
Coin flip: Cincinnati
Probably Out: Kansas St
No Shot: UCF, West Virginia, Ok State
Cincinnati stayed alive with a must have road win at UCF. They are really the only Big 12 true bubble team unless Texas fades enough down the stretch. Cincy's home game vs Ok State Wednesday night is must win before trips to TCU and Houston. They are going to need to win out at home and flip a road game. 8-10 with that non-conference schedule isn't going to cut it.
KState's tournament hopes are all but crushed after the Jameer Nelson Jr dagger in MHK. A must win road game in Austin tonight for Tang. A loss and they are basically eliminated from at-large contention.
UCF is cooked unless they win like 5 of 6 down the stretch. Just not gonna happen in the Big 12.
Locks: Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor
Probably in: Texas Tech, BYU, Oklahoma, TCU, Texas
Coin flip: Cincinnati
Probably Out: Kansas St
No Shot: UCF, West Virginia, Ok State
Cincinnati stayed alive with a must have road win at UCF. They are really the only Big 12 true bubble team unless Texas fades enough down the stretch. Cincy's home game vs Ok State Wednesday night is must win before trips to TCU and Houston. They are going to need to win out at home and flip a road game. 8-10 with that non-conference schedule isn't going to cut it.
KState's tournament hopes are all but crushed after the Jameer Nelson Jr dagger in MHK. A must win road game in Austin tonight for Tang. A loss and they are basically eliminated from at-large contention.
UCF is cooked unless they win like 5 of 6 down the stretch. Just not gonna happen in the Big 12.
Big 10 as of 2/19/2024
Locks: Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois
Probably in: Michigan St, Northwestern
Coin flip: Nebraska
Probably Out: Iowa
No Shot: Ohio St, Indiana, Minnesota, Maryland, Penn St, Rutgers, Michigan
Northwestern got some bad news losing Ty Berry for the season. Lowers their ceiling considerably. They did pick up a decent road win at Indiana yesterday and now get Michigan at home. As long as they win the games they're supposed to they'll be fine and be close to an 8/9.
Nebraska picked up two straight wins at home over bad teams. They have a huge opportunity to finally get a road win at Indiana on Wednesday and solidify their standing. A loss puts them directly on the cut line.
Michigan State took care of business in Ann Arbor on Saturday. Sparty is a metric darling (#15 on KP) and should be safe as long as they don't completely collapse down the stretch. They welcome the Hoks to East Lansing on Tuesday night.
Wisconsin has lost 5 of 6 after failing to win in Iowa City. 3 of those 5 losses have came to non-tourney teams. Yikes. They have fallen from 2 seed consideration to a 5 seed.
Iowa extended their season at least temporarily with a win over Wisconsin Saturday. The first Quad 1 win of the season for Iowa and first win over a ranked team in any sport for the Iowa athletic program this year. They have a tough schedule down the stretch visiting East Lansing and Champaign this week. Have to at least steal one to stay alive.
Locks: Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois
Probably in: Michigan St, Northwestern
Coin flip: Nebraska
Probably Out: Iowa
No Shot: Ohio St, Indiana, Minnesota, Maryland, Penn St, Rutgers, Michigan
Northwestern got some bad news losing Ty Berry for the season. Lowers their ceiling considerably. They did pick up a decent road win at Indiana yesterday and now get Michigan at home. As long as they win the games they're supposed to they'll be fine and be close to an 8/9.
Nebraska picked up two straight wins at home over bad teams. They have a huge opportunity to finally get a road win at Indiana on Wednesday and solidify their standing. A loss puts them directly on the cut line.
Michigan State took care of business in Ann Arbor on Saturday. Sparty is a metric darling (#15 on KP) and should be safe as long as they don't completely collapse down the stretch. They welcome the Hoks to East Lansing on Tuesday night.
Wisconsin has lost 5 of 6 after failing to win in Iowa City. 3 of those 5 losses have came to non-tourney teams. Yikes. They have fallen from 2 seed consideration to a 5 seed.
Iowa extended their season at least temporarily with a win over Wisconsin Saturday. The first Quad 1 win of the season for Iowa and first win over a ranked team in any sport for the Iowa athletic program this year. They have a tough schedule down the stretch visiting East Lansing and Champaign this week. Have to at least steal one to stay alive.
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5 seed doesn't get geographic protection. Perfectly reasonable to place them there.
The higher seeds (Iowa State and Kansas) can't be dealt a geographic disadvantage. Nebby won't get Omaha.
Wtf? Has the women’s team not beaten a ranked team this season ?
Also, that Wisconsin team at home is about as asterisk worthy of win over a ranked program as possible.
Big East as of 2/19/2024
Locks: UConn, Marquette, Creighton
Probably in:
Coin flip: Butler, Providence, Villanova, Seton Hall
Probably Out: St John's, Xavier
No Shot: Georgetown, DePaul
Creighton is now a lock after a nice road win at Butler. They are flirting with 4 seed consideration. Tuesday's home tilt with UConn will be a big one.
Things look very bleak for St John's. They have lost 8 of their last 10 and Pitino went scorched earth on his players in the postgame. They really need a 2-0 week. They play at Georgetown and then host Creighton.
Seton Hall had a nice week picking up wins over Xavier and at St John's. They have a really good Big East record (10-5) but their non-conference performance was a nightmare. Seton Hall played the #240 non-conference SOS and went 0-4 vs the NET top 140. That said, their wins over UConn, Marquette, Butler, St John's (2x) put them squarely on the bubble for now. They really need to take care of business against Butler at home next weekend before back to back road games at Creighton and UConn.
Villanova held serve by winning at Georgetown. They now get Butler at home before an away trip to UConn. Probably fair to place Nova in "next 4 out" territory as of now. It would be pretty funny to see them miss the tournament as they are fielding one of the most expensive rosters in the sport.
Xavier is pretty much toast. They are 2-9 in Quad 1 after falling on the road at Seton Hall. The committee isn't going to like having ample opportunities for big wins but always losing. They still play Marquette twice so need to at least split that and probably win every other game on the schedule. Tall, near impossible task.
The Big East has by far the most bubble teams of any conference.
Locks: UConn, Marquette, Creighton
Probably in:
Coin flip: Butler, Providence, Villanova, Seton Hall
Probably Out: St John's, Xavier
No Shot: Georgetown, DePaul
Creighton is now a lock after a nice road win at Butler. They are flirting with 4 seed consideration. Tuesday's home tilt with UConn will be a big one.
Things look very bleak for St John's. They have lost 8 of their last 10 and Pitino went scorched earth on his players in the postgame. They really need a 2-0 week. They play at Georgetown and then host Creighton.
Seton Hall had a nice week picking up wins over Xavier and at St John's. They have a really good Big East record (10-5) but their non-conference performance was a nightmare. Seton Hall played the #240 non-conference SOS and went 0-4 vs the NET top 140. That said, their wins over UConn, Marquette, Butler, St John's (2x) put them squarely on the bubble for now. They really need to take care of business against Butler at home next weekend before back to back road games at Creighton and UConn.
Villanova held serve by winning at Georgetown. They now get Butler at home before an away trip to UConn. Probably fair to place Nova in "next 4 out" territory as of now. It would be pretty funny to see them miss the tournament as they are fielding one of the most expensive rosters in the sport.
Xavier is pretty much toast. They are 2-9 in Quad 1 after falling on the road at Seton Hall. The committee isn't going to like having ample opportunities for big wins but always losing. They still play Marquette twice so need to at least split that and probably win every other game on the schedule. Tall, near impossible task.
The Big East has by far the most bubble teams of any conference.
Geographic disadvantage protection only extends to the first round, it's fair game after that.
That said, the chances of their being a 4/5 pod in Omaha are about as close to zero as you can realistically get.
Oh you mean the Wisconsin team that recently lost to Michigan and got blown out by Rutgers? Yeah I'm not sure what all the excitement is about there.
