Bracketology 2024

twincyties

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Dec 12, 2009
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UNC’s resume is not really impressive. They’ve played one ranked team in the last 90 days. They’ve got Duke to end the season. I think they’d have to win at Duke and then win conference tourney to be considered for a one seed and still think that would be less impressive than us winning our.

But, of course, they’re UNC so all bets are off.
 
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Cyforce

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Nov 24, 2009
17,265
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Des Moines
Doubtful...those usually go to mid-major teams that either won their smaller conference outright with a glittery record or won a conference tournament even though they didn't finish 1st in their regular season and would not otherwise been selected.
Sarcasm detection not your strong point?
 

cyclones500

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Jan 29, 2010
38,861
26,903
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Michigan
basslakebeacon.com
The top 3 yes, the 4th spot seems up in the air between Arizona, Tennessee and UNC. If ISU wins out and wins the big 12 tourny we would be right there analytics wise for a 1 seed but I don't see it happening either. I would guess 5 or 6 overall.

Yep, ISU is probably near its ceiling at its current position. There's a slender chance to get a 1, but a bunch of details would have to unfold perfectly (many of them outside ISU's control). It's possible, but unrealistic.
 
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singsing

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Nov 2, 2007
2,303
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I think Kansas fans are now coming around to they just aren’t what they are used to being.
Nice to get on the internet and not having to listen to their fans being arrogant db's. Seem to have climbed in the same hole as the Kstaters lately.
 

jctisu

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Jun 11, 2017
8,726
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Looks like Palm is needing more clicks, has ISU as the last 3 seed this morning, ISU went from 10 to 12 overall after a Q1 road win, Baylor went from 11 to 6 overall after a home win vs Kansas. Don't take the bait everyone, it's what he wants
I actually don’t think it’s bait. I think he actually is that stupid and bad at this. No joke if you look at his history.
 

jctisu

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Jun 11, 2017
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If we won out we would 100% “deserve” a 1 seed. Would we get it though? Doubtful. We aren’t jumping Houston no matter what. UConn and Purdue are virtual locks as well on the 1 line. I think Tennessee gets the last 1 seed when it’s all said and done. Only chance would be to have Arizona and Tennessee lose out. UNC losing would be ideal too.
 

chuckd4735

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Mar 29, 2006
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Lee's Summit, MO
If we won out we would 100% “deserve” a 1 seed. Would we get it though? Doubtful. We aren’t jumping Houston no matter what. UConn and Purdue are virtual locks as well on the 1 line. I think Tennessee gets the last 1 seed when it’s all said and done. Only chance would be to have Arizona and Tennessee lose out. UNC losing would be ideal too.
This. We would definitely be deserving of. I just don't think we would jump teams in front of us without some help.
 

HouClone

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Sep 3, 2011
2,829
2,197
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Houston
If we won out we would 100% “deserve” a 1 seed. Would we get it though? Doubtful. We aren’t jumping Houston no matter what. UConn and Purdue are virtual locks as well on the 1 line. I think Tennessee gets the last 1 seed when it’s all said and done. Only chance would be to have Arizona and Tennessee lose out. UNC losing would be ideal too.
If we win the Big 12, I think we get the #1 seed ahead of Houston.
 

jctisu

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Jun 11, 2017
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If we win the Big 12, I think we get the #1 seed ahead of Houston.
Regular season? Perhaps. But Houston probably isn’t losing their last two games coupled with us winning our last two games. Those odds have to be incredibly low.
 

Allikat

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Jan 20, 2018
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If we won out we would 100% “deserve” a 1 seed. Would we get it though? Doubtful. We aren’t jumping Houston no matter what. UConn and Purdue are virtual locks as well on the 1 line. I think Tennessee gets the last 1 seed when it’s all said and done. Only chance would be to have Arizona and Tennessee lose out. UNC losing would be ideal too.
I think it all depends upon who we would beat in the Big 12 tourney to win out.

The championship would need to be ISU - Houston and we would be helped if Houston lost one of the next two games making us co-champs in the regular season.

Beating Baylor or Kansas in the semis would not hurt although if we face Kansas earlier than the finals it means they are a 6 or 7 seed and beating them is not as impressive.
 

jctisu

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Jun 11, 2017
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I think it all depends upon who we would beat in the Big 12 tourney to win out.

The championship would need to be ISU - Houston and we would be helped if Houston lost one of the next two games making us co-champs in the regular season.

Beating Baylor or Kansas in the semis would not hurt although if we face Kansas earlier than the finals it means they are a 6 or 7 seed and beating them is not as impressive.
I could be wrong if that were to happen, but people every year tend to REALLY overestimate and overvalue wins in the conference tournaments. The committee has shown they are not that volatile on any one win or loss there for the most part. I think we would have to outright win the Big 12, which isn’t going to happen, AND win the Big 12 Tournament.
 

Allikat

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Jan 20, 2018
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Regular season? Perhaps. But Houston probably isn’t losing their last two games coupled with us winning our last two games. Those odds have to be incredibly low.
While I think the chance is low it is not impossible for us to win the Big 12 (as the #1 seed in the Big 12 tourney).

We win out (should happen although not a gimme).
Kansas beats Houston (likely not happening but Kansas is not a pushover)
Baylor loses one of its two remaining games vs. Texas or Texas Tech.
Kansas beats K-State (should happen although it is a rivalry).
 

dafarmer

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Mar 17, 2012
7,252
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SW Iowa
Duke, North Carolina, Auburn, and Alabama will all jump us. even if they lose out. Blue Blood ACC teams have the analysts bragging them up. Love to see us play either one, those pansy### players.
 

jctisu

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Jun 11, 2017
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While I think the chance is low it is not impossible for us to win the Big 12 (as the #1 seed in the Big 12 tourney).

We win out (should happen although not a gimme).
Kansas beats Houston (likely not happening but Kansas is not a pushover)
Baylor loses one of its two remaining games vs. Texas or Texas Tech.
Kansas beats K-State (should happen although it is a rivalry).
The committee won’t care that we are the 1 seed in the Big 12 Tournament via tiebreaker over Houston. If we share the regular season title with them, they are getting the 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament over us no matter what imo. Conference standings play almost zero role in whether you are seeded higher than someone else from your conference.
 
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cyinne

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Sep 4, 2009
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Looks like Palm is needing more clicks, has ISU as the last 3 seed this morning, ISU went from 10 to 12 overall after a Q1 road win, Baylor went from 11 to 6 overall after a home win vs Kansas. Don't take the bait everyone, it's what he wants
While, yes, Palm is an idiot just pay attention how he has that website layed out. Baylor didn’t jump from 11 to 6 and we didn’t drop from 10 to 12. The optics of it sucks but Palm put them in order by seed and region- 1E, 1MW, 1S, 1W, 2E, 2MW, 2S, 2W, 3E, 3MW, 3S, 3W.
 

alenz95

Well-Known Member
Apr 16, 2015
873
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Bettendorf/ Ames
If we won out we would 100% “deserve” a 1 seed. Would we get it though? Doubtful. We aren’t jumping Houston no matter what. UConn and Purdue are virtual locks as well on the 1 line. I think Tennessee gets the last 1 seed when it’s all said and done. Only chance would be to have Arizona and Tennessee lose out. UNC losing would be ideal too.

This. As long as we take care of business the rest of the way we should stay a 2 seed. Getting to a 1 at this point would be really really hard.

It’s very unlikely anything that Houston, UCONN, or Purdue do the rest of the way knock them off the 1 line. The last 1 seed seems to be going to Tennessee or AZ, so we’d need some bad results from them. We also have to worry about the teams currently ahead of us like Marquette and UNC, and surging teams behind us like Duke.

The committee has been pretty clear that they won’t overvalue conference tournaments. Looking ahead to the Big 12 torment, we’d potentially have 3 games to resume build, but outside of beating Houston how many of those pop out? The first 2 games would be us winning games were expected to. To get to the 1 line we’d need a lot of teams ahead of us (UNC, Marquette, Tennessee, AZ) to hurt their current resumes, and thats just not enough time left in the year to really happen enough for us to move up another line.