If we won out we would 100% “deserve” a 1 seed. Would we get it though? Doubtful. We aren’t jumping Houston no matter what. UConn and Purdue are virtual locks as well on the 1 line. I think Tennessee gets the last 1 seed when it’s all said and done. Only chance would be to have Arizona and Tennessee lose out. UNC losing would be ideal too.
This. As long as we take care of business the rest of the way we should stay a 2 seed. Getting to a 1 at this point would be really really hard.
It’s very unlikely anything that Houston, UCONN, or Purdue do the rest of the way knock them off the 1 line. The last 1 seed seems to be going to Tennessee or AZ, so we’d need some bad results from them. We also have to worry about the teams currently ahead of us like Marquette and UNC, and surging teams behind us like Duke.
The committee has been pretty clear that they won’t overvalue conference tournaments. Looking ahead to the Big 12 torment, we’d potentially have 3 games to resume build, but outside of beating Houston how many of those pop out? The first 2 games would be us winning games were expected to. To get to the 1 line we’d need a lot of teams ahead of us (UNC, Marquette, Tennessee, AZ) to hurt their current resumes, and thats just not enough time left in the year to really happen enough for us to move up another line.