ISU -3 @ WVU
- Thread starter Al_4_State
- Start date
But it's not "true".
Anyhow, suffice it to say we've been good on the road lately.
Pretty much no reason to watch the SEC this week. 18.1pt AVERAGE? Wow
Yeah, Ole Miss-3.5 @ LSU is the only 1 score game and the next closest game is Vand @ UK-13.5
Because the public is putting way too much stock in the OSU-WVU game last week. spoiler alert, its fools gold.
ISU could ABSOLUTELY lose this game, but this is a somewhat one dimensional offense going against a Heacock defense. This is potentially the worst pass defense we've seen since Arkansas state. Yes their run defense is stout, but WVUs secondary does not have the athletes to go man on man vs anyone of our receivers, which in turn will allow ISU to run the ball.
WVU is Iowa with a true mobile QB and a MUCH worse defense, and we all saw how the Iowa game went right?
Fun fact, Greene's completion percentage on the season is worse than Mcnamara's.
*edit-the more I look at WVU's schedule this year, the better I feel about this game. Weve heard about their offense all week, but from a points allowed per game standpoint, they have only played 1 team with a defense worth a pulse, and PSU bullied them. Everyone else they have played has been 90th or worse
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I think the play is Iowa State team total o28.5
Against real teams WVU has given up 34, 38, 38, 14.
ISU has average 27 pts vs P5 schools with 2 against the the 21st and 24th ranked defenses.
Against real teams WVU has given up 34, 38, 38, 14.
ISU has average 27 pts vs P5 schools with 2 against the the 21st and 24th ranked defenses.
I'd much rather have a good QB who operates from the pocket and has the ability to run for positive yards when available. Greene is an athlete playing QB. He's an above average player, but I think you'd change your tune if he was our QB. He is inconsistent and probably makes WVU fans want to pull their hair out. I like the steady play and leadership of Becht in comparison.
I would just like to see Becht running the ball more than what he is, either off a scramble or a designed run. Purdy looked very good running the ball last night for the 9ers, picked up some big first downs. It does not have to be an either/or situation, you can do both. Look at the kid from KSU, runs the ball a lot and still a very good passer.
Patton is built to be more physical but still lacks some tackling fundamentals. That's not a good matchup with WVU's physical run game
Purdy and especially Johnson are faster than Rocco. Johnson at KSU has been anything but a very good passer lol.
Rocco's not a running QB. He's an elusive QB who is sufficiently athletic to get some yards. I definitely wouldn't want him running more than he needs to, which is the occasional keep on read option and scramble for first downs. It feels like they've struck a nice balance on this.
We have 3 RBs who have shown positive abilities this year and two of the best receivers in school history. We absolutely do not need Rocco to be running more designed runs for the sake of.....what exactly?
On the contrary, I was actually thinking of signing up somewhere and making my first bet ever. That’s how certain I am we cover.
No idea where to start, though. I’ll survive.
The public is on Iowa State. I looked at draft kings last night and ISU had 76% of the bets.
It's more likely that the public bets enough to get the spread to 3.5 and then the pros take the 3.5 which knocks the line back to 3.
I think I'll bet ISU this week, the WVU pass defense does not match up well with ISU's passing game. That said, if you think this game is a 50/50 game, getting the home team at better than a field goal is usually a good bet.
edit to add: if I can't get ISU -3, I think I'll just live bet the game. My ideal scenario is WVU gets up like 14-0 in the first quarter and I can get ISU +10 or so. I'd probably dabble on the money line in that scenario as well (probably get something like 3-1)
Just checked. The Consensus Big Board had Milum at #73. Maybe my math is off, but that seems like an awfully long first round.
(Jalen Travis is currently 774, with a high of 212. They’ll learn)
Their grades are wildly inflated by played against OSU’s. They’re actually 13th in the conference in sacks allowed, with 11.
ISU has given up three, for second place.
Agreed, the semi's and the Natty will definitely be the toughest!
