78.7% chance of a 10 win season, even before any postseason play
2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections
- Thread starter Dale
- Start date
Two conference losses already, and they still have tough games remaining hosting BYU and ISU and at Colorado. Running the table is going to be hard, and it won't even guarantee them a spot in the championship game. Also dropped a lot in Massey's ratings the past couple weeks.
The great thing is we are in control. We are not counting on any other team to make it happen except ourselves. Half way there baby!
Part of me is loving all of this talk.
And another part of me says "we haven't done **** yet".
And another part of me says "we haven't done **** yet".
These large conferences with no divisions means that losses are going to hurt more than normal. The unbalanced schedules will mean that you won’t always play the teams you are competing for a CCG spot.
Look at the Big10. tOSU still has to play PSU and Indiana where those two don’t play each other or Oregon. So tOSU is now going to have a difficult path to the CCG compared to a school like Indiana that has a soft schedule.
This is what Massey says, which is what I use:
UCF: 84%
Texas Tech: 77%
at-ish Kansas: 71%
Cincinnati: 83%
at Utah: 60%
Kansas St: 57%
That's nearly a 40% chance of being 10-0 before the final two regular season games.
Last edited:
Seems like the fans still have it out for him, so a home win against a ranked KSU would be great for him.
Looking at their board, they have a lot of fans that are ready too move on from Brown. Lot of their fan base still thinking they are playing in the old Big East, but while decent, they have won a few seasons, they have been nothing special since joining the league.
I mean… if my coach didn’t know the difference between pass interference and holding then I’d want him gone too.
Hopefully this ends the “Utah with Rising is by far the best team in the league” comments. Maybe the Rising of old, but the Utes appear to have more issues than QB play at this point.
Are we at the point of the season yet where we can start discussing who we'd prefer to play in the championship?
Are there teams we should be pulling for or against to give us even better odds? To this point I have generally been pulling against teams we don't get a chance to beat ourselves and pulling for teams we've beaten.
Are there teams we should be pulling for or against to give us even better odds? To this point I have generally been pulling against teams we don't get a chance to beat ourselves and pulling for teams we've beaten.
Wow surprised we are at 90% odds of playing in Big 12 title game with a 10-2 record. Just dont see this team going worse than 4-2 down the stretch. Especially if we get a little healthier on defense after the bye.
I look at it simply. If we end up undefeated in the regular season and play undefeated BYU there's a somewhat realistic chance both end up in the play-offs regardless of the result; especially if the game is close.
he is 3-16 against Top 25 in his 6 years at WVU.
They have never been ranked in Brown's tenure.
Listening to Between the 'Eers this morning, they were calling him out for blaming the refs.
His seat will be scorching if they don't beat KSU, fair or not.
Massey thinks there's a lot of parity in the league this year -- it expects almost three more losses for TT, 2.5 for BYU, 2 more for KSU (who already has 1), etc. In most scenarios, 2 losses for any team is probably -- but not certainly -- going to good enough. (BYU might be the exception, because of a likely poor strength of schedule.)
That was the most nauseating talking point of the offseason to me. So many analysts and commentators were so flippant about Utah instantly running the Big 12. They weren't good last year. Yes, Rising was out, but if your whole program is being carried by one old QB, how good of a program are you really? I know they've won a lot of games in the Pac 12, but they had cracks forming last season, and Whittingham's retirement is starting to add up.
