2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections

Cyclone Pfan

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Where do we sit in the three-way tie-breaker if KSU wins out, BYU loses one, and our only loss is to KSU?

if KSU and BYU win out, we're sitting out the CCG.
Ksu has 1 loss. Unless they find a second loss along the way, Farmageddon is a semifinals type of matchup.
 

every_yard

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Where do we sit in the three-way tie-breaker if KSU wins out, BYU loses one, and our only loss is to KSU?

if KSU and BYU win out, we're sitting out the CCG.
It would most likely be us and K State. The tie breaker in that scenario is which two teams have the strongest conference strength of schedule based on opponents win percentage.
 
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CascadeClone

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Where do we sit in the three-way tie-breaker if KSU wins out, BYU loses one, and our only loss is to KSU?

if KSU and BYU win out, we're sitting out the CCG.
Thats what im afraid of. Really was hoping WV could upset them. Reat of their schedule is gravy besides us
 

SolarGarlic

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Thats what im afraid of. Really was hoping WV could upset them. Reat of their schedule is gravy besides us
Obviously 12-0 is the goal, but I think we need to start cheering against BYU. They look more susceptible to a loss than KSU at this point.

@ UCF
@ Utah
vs KU
@ ASU
vs UH

Those road games will be tough, but winnable. I'm very interested in that game @ UCF next week. I think UCF has found something with that QB. At least I hope so.
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
I’m just concerned that there won’t be enough students around. We can’t just sell those tickets to the general public because they’ve already been sold to the students. It will be a sell out, but I’m not convinced it will be full. I’m probably just getting into semantics about 61,500 there vs 60,000.
Remember they oversell student tickets so there is a good chance that most seats will be filled. I will make sure 2 are there.
 

Hoggins

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Obviously 12-0 is the goal, but I think we need to start cheering against BYU. They look more susceptible to a loss than KSU at this point.

@ UCF
@ Utah
vs KU
@ ASU
vs UH

Those road games will be tough, but winnable. I'm very interested in that game @ UCF next week. I think UCF has found something with that QB. At least I hope so.

I honestly think they go 3-2 in those 5 games.
 

Cyched

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Obviously 12-0 is the goal, but I think we need to start cheering against BYU. They look more susceptible to a loss than KSU at this point.

@ UCF
@ Utah
vs KU
@ ASU
vs UH

Those road games will be tough, but winnable. I'm very interested in that game @ UCF next week. I think UCF has found something with that QB. At least I hope so.

I'll pick ASU to win in Tempe.

They *should* beat Utah, but all bets are off in a rivalry like that. Especially in SLC.
 

jctisu

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Obviously 12-0 is the goal, but I think we need to start cheering against BYU. They look more susceptible to a loss than KSU at this point.

@ UCF
@ Utah
vs KU
@ ASU
vs UH

Those road games will be tough, but winnable. I'm very interested in that game @ UCF next week. I think UCF has found something with that QB. At least I hope so.
We need to cheer for every team outside of us in the top 5 to lose games. Amazed at the number of fans that want BYU and even K State a bit to keep winning so we have a better SOS for an at large if we drop a game.

If anyone thinks the Big 12 is getting an at-large spot in the CFP you haven’t been paying attention.

Just get us to the Big 12 Championship so we can try and win our way in. That and I want to win the damn conference in general.
 
Last edited:

CascadeClone

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Oct 24, 2009
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If anyone thinks the Big 12 is getting an at-large spot in the CFP you haven’t been paying attention.
Hate to say it but this is 100% right. Perception is Big12 is G5 since its ISU and BYU on top. Even if both go undefeated, loser of ccg will drop to 15th or worse and have no chance.

We all need to root for clemson and miami to lose out, that would help, maybe.

Caveat: idk what the playoff ranking formulae will be. Maybe, MAYBE they will use some SOR metrics and that will help. But not optimistic. Its more likely that TV ratings projections based on brand will be a higher weighted criterion than SOR.
 

jctisu

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Hate to say it but this is 100% right. Perception is Big12 is G5 since its ISU and BYU on top. Even if both go undefeated, loser of ccg will drop to 15th or worse and have no chance.

We all need to root for clemson and miami to lose out, that would help, maybe.

Caveat: idk what the playoff ranking formulae will be. Maybe, MAYBE they will use some SOR metrics and that will help. But not optimistic. Its more likely that TV ratings projections based on brand will be a higher weighted criterion than SOR.
You get it. This is correct. Notre Dame taking a loss would be nice too. The only way the Big 12 gets an at-large is if the committee has no choice because it’s our conference champ and the loser’s only loss was the conference title game in OT AND the Big Ten and SEC just start beating each other up so it’s a bunch of 3 and 4 loss teams.
 

harimad

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Obviously 12-0 is the goal, but I think we need to start cheering against BYU. They look more susceptible to a loss than KSU at this point.

@ UCF
@ Utah
vs KU
@ ASU
vs UH

Those road games will be tough, but winnable. I'm very interested in that game @ UCF next week. I think UCF has found something with that QB. At least I hope so.
That QB is Cam Newton if Cam Newton had never thrown a football before.
 

RagingCloner

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Kansas has a very good coach and they're starting to play back to their preseason expectations. Utah may very well do the same once this backup QB gets some game reps. It isn't an easy road to the biggest game in ISU history.

Nov. 9th @Kansas
Nov. 23rd @utah
lol wut? They beat Houston…in no way shape or form is Kansas “back”
 

HFCS

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Exactly. First rule of the P2 superleague is they do not talk about the steps taken to build the superleague.

You didn’t believe Sankey when he said it’s impossible for more than two people to have a meeting?
 

AuH2O

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We need to cheer for every team outside of us in the top 5 to lose games. Amazed at the number of fans that want BYU and even K State a bit to keep winning so we have a better SOS for an at large if we drop a game.

If anyone thinks the Big 12 is getting an at-large spot in the CFP you haven’t been paying attention.

Just get us to the Big 12 Championship so we can try and win our way in. That and I want to win the damn conference in general.
The only chance the league gets two in is if BYY and ISU are undefeated in the CCG.
 
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AppleCornCy

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We need to cheer for every team outside of us in the top 5 to lose games. Amazed at the number of fans that want BYU and even K State a bit to keep winning so we have a better SOS for an at large if we drop a game.

If anyone thinks the Big 12 is getting an at-large spot in the CFP you haven’t been paying attention.

Just get us to the Big 12 Championship so we can try and win our way in. That and I want to win the damn conference in general.
Yeah, at this point we can just figure the Big Ten and SEC get eight combined spots. The Big 12, ACC, and best G5 get three more spots. The last spot likely goes to either an ACC school, a Big 12 school, Notre Dame, or a fifth SEC school.

I say root against teams like Miami, Clemson, Notre Dame, LSU, Ole Miss, Alabama, and Texas A&M. Root against the other teams at the top of the Big 12 to improve our odds of getting to the conference title game. Root for Boise State to lose a game and fall out of contention for a bye in the playoff.

Things will evolve as the season goes on, but that’s how I see it right now.
 
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HFCS

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You get it. This is correct. Notre Dame taking a loss would be nice too. The only way the Big 12 gets an at-large is if the committee has no choice because it’s our conference champ and the loser’s only loss was the conference title game in OT AND the Big Ten and SEC just start beating each other up so it’s a bunch of 3 and 4 loss teams.

ND is going to probably have better wins but worse losses than us. Who knows how they’ll sort that.

They also lack 13th data point that should be considered a loss like it was for TCU, but then that other year they said 6 data points is ideal so who knows.
 

jctisu

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ND is going to probably have better wins but worse losses than us. Who knows how they’ll sort that.

They also lack 13th data point that should be considered a loss like it was for TCU, but then that other year they said 6 data points is ideal so who knows.
Yeah their loss to Northern Illinois has basically been treated as though it didn’t happen in the eyes of the AP. Now let’s see what the CFP committee does with it.
 
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ForeverIowan

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Obviously 12-0 is the goal, but I think we need to start cheering against BYU. They look more susceptible to a loss than KSU at this point.

@ UCF
@ Utah
vs KU
@ ASU
vs UH

Those road games will be tough, but winnable. I'm very interested in that game @ UCF next week. I think UCF has found something with that QB. At least I hope so.
For BYU...3 of their next 4 games on the road. Ill be surprised if they make it through that without a loss.
 
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