One thing I thought of in the middle of the night.
IF Iowa State beats K-State soundly and finishes 10-2,
IF Iowa State somehow loses out on the tie-breakers and misses the Big XII CCG,
IF CHAOS continues to happen with Ore. State winning @ BSU, GT winning @ GA, Vandy beating Tennessee, Syracuse beating Miami (Fla.), Cal winning @ SMU, Purdue winning @ Indiana, Miss. State beats Ole Miss, Alabama loses to Auburn (Lord forgive me!), etc. - with the Big XI Champion (ASU for example) getting the #4 seed BYE - Iowa State could slip in as the #11 or #12 seed as an at-large team just because they would be hunting for a final at-large team, and the Cyclones are currently #18 with Tulane already losing and Ariz. State not a threat (since they could win and move into the #4 slot). Therefore, ISU is a de facto #16 in this scenario as I type...
That would take a lot of CHAOS (like 2007), but it could happen until it doesn't. I'd prefer for ISU to make the Big XII CCG, win it and go to the CFP, but just thinking that CHAOS with a 10-2 Iowa State team not in the Big XII CCG could be interesting.
One step at a time.
Let's Go State!