Agreed, I also think the regular season becomes a slog for some teams, almost get bored, then they get rejuvenated once the postseason hits. I think Iowa State with their experience and balanced roster has as good a shot as any to make a Final 4 run.
The one thing this year is that the top teams are really really good this year so it's going to be tougher to make a run than past years. Auburn, Alabama, Tennessee, Florida and Duke are all good to great teams, rare that you see College Basketball with so many elite teams but these 6 are really good, I don't remember the last time there was 6 teams this good at the top. Still, and maybe it's a bit of a homer thing, but I like Iowa State's chances against anybody on a netural floor. Gilbert HAS TO get healthy though, he's their engine.