I'd be equally surprised. To go 2-10 we'd likely have be winless in the Big 12. This is after winning 3 games, and being extremely close to winning 2 more. Honestly, we have enough talent that if our coaches are halfway as good as many on this board think, 2 wins would be ******* pathetic. I'm not saying it isn't possible, because it definitely is. I'm saying it would be pathetic. If A-Rob, AA and KO all went down, I could accept that record, but that's about what it would take.
To go 8-4 we'd have to only lose to beat one of OU, UT, NU, Iowa, and Utah, and beat everyone else. This is borderline impossible. That said, at this time last year I would have said that 7 wins was borderline impossible.
I think we should be right at 6 wins, with 5 more likely than 7. I'll be fine with 5 wins, with a healthy roster. All in all, 8-4 and 2-10 are probably good bench marks for best and worst case scenarios. We need an equal amount of luck in both the good and bad categories to achieve those respective records.