Their resume is way better than most bubble teams. I have them not only in the field, but in clearly - not in Dayton. Lunardi seems fixated on the overall record there. Gotta look under the hood for more details in the resume.
*** Official Selection Sunday Thread 2023 ***
- Thread starter CoachHines3
- Start date
I know nothing about Yale but I assume they're a team that isn't overly big or athletic so I think we match up well
If OK State doesn't get in that's bull ****
It would be way better to be a 4 seed than a 5. In most years, that’s the case - this year, even more so. It’s likely that Oral Roberts, Drake, and Charleston will be on the 12 line. All three of those teams will be trendy first round upset picks and you’d rather face them in the 2nd round when they might be more tired. The 13s this year don’t look as dangerous.I know nothing about Yale but I assume they're a team that isn't overly big or athletic so I think we match up well
It's like Basketball Christmas Eve and two Basketball Christmas days.
Just because a team is a trendy first round Upset pick, doesn't mean it is going to happen. However, I do agree that being a 4 is better than being a 5 for general first round survival health - regardless of trendy Upset picks.
Bracket Matrix has us close, but our numbers aren’t really much lower than they were in the Top 16 reveal, when we were a 3 seed and #11 overall. The committee isn’t strictly going to use NET. It will be for ranking teams with basically the same resumes. We have 10 Q1 wins including 6 over teams that will be a 1 or 2 seed.
I feel confident we’ll not only be a 4 seed, but we won’t be the lowest one. Our resume is much better than either Indiana or Virginia, who a lot of bracketologists seem to have ahead of us (based on name recognition, IMO).
Nope. I posted earlier today on here a couple of times I think all these experts are wrong. The committee showed they loved the big 12 with their top 16 reveal weeks ago. I think they get in.
For me the team I want to avoid in our bracket is Kentucky. They're hitting their stride and going to be a dangerous 6 seed for whatever 3 seed gets them.
We will see in the tourney, but it seems to me like this year, multiple things may be true about the field to make it unique from past years:
- There isn’t a dominant team, but not only that, realistically there are 20+ teams that could win it all - much more parity among the 1-6 seeds than normal
- Starting with the low 6 to 7 seeds, there is a huge dropoff - there are really only two categories of at-large teams this year, the good and the mediocre, where there is often a third group
- There are fewer elite mid-majors (effects of NIL?), although still a few but this group isn’t as deep on paper (fewer Q1 wins/big upsets in the non-con)
Having said this, I look forward to everything I wrote above being proven wrong next week…because the tourney rarely makes sense (at least at first) and because we love the chaos it brings.
Yeah its the beauty (or pain) of this tournament. We could go out and dominate the first weekend and be back to the sweet 16, or have our hearts broken by the little guy. Neither will surprise me.
Kentucky is closer to a 5 than a 6, and with us likely as a 4 there’s a decent chance we get paired with them. I agree, we don’t want them if possible.
4th seed vs Yale is a better scenario than 5th seed vs Drake imo.
