Okay - this is more for the VA lurkers - and also for our fanbase. Those that know me know that i love to pour over stats to view seasonal data to view which team has a hidden advantage and how to exploit it.
Here's some statistical numbers for our VA and ISU - incredible when you look at the two teams that the stats truly become nearly interchangeable. Scoring defense is somewhat misleading as there are actually four ACC teams that score below Virginia - they do it intentionally as a part of their system. The others do it because of totally inept offenses!
Considering these stats and UVA's seven losses its pretty easy to see how to beat them. Their defense although very stingy is not the best at defending the three. Of those loses, highest score they've given up is 73 and only twice gave up 70. Conversely, we were only held below 70 puts three times this season and all three were wins.
This truly comes down to a few key points.
1. Our FG and 3 PT shooting - if we hit our season shooting averages - no bad shooting night, IMO they will not keep up with our scoring. Even though our defense is not the best, it played better against Ark Lil Rock then all year.
2. Although both teams drive to the paint, neither team fouls a lot or shoots a lot of free throws - that helps us.
3. Rebounding - the two teams are very comparable sized - so we need to win the rebounding challenge by +8. If we lose the rebounding challenge - they will get some easy looks with their back cuts and screens - we need to limit their possessions.
We actually had a common opponent this season - Virginia Tech (rivalry game).
We won 99-79.
Tech actually beat Virginia 70-68 and lost at Virginia 67-49. So comparing, their offense scored 67 and 68 on a team that we nearly dropped a hundred on.....
Even game - who performs..... Cant wait!!!!!