Fair. I would say most P5 institutions get significant value from marketing provided by their athletic programs... their logo plastered on TV's every weekend is not a bad thing. So, even modest impact to enrollment brings in $M's.Sports fans and sports writers dramatically overstate and credit the value of sports to a university and credit enrollment.
I'm sure that Alabama's football success has a big impact on enrollment, but...
- I picked a random southern school in Georgia Tech, and despite going the other direction in football, over the past couple decades have grown faster
- Looking at enrollment trends at schools in general, there is typically no to weak correlation to football success, regardless of what lag you put on it.
- Alabama also is far and away the most extreme example of a school's identity being so thoroughly dominated by football.
Athletics revenues are typically a very small portion of an overall university's revenues. Usually <5%. So naturally people really into CFB want to attribute a large increase in enrollment in tuition to CFB. But when you look across CFB, that analysis just doesn't hold up. It certainly helps, and it's a great marketing tool that some schools definitely benefit from. But for most schools macro factors like job markets and regional/state demographic shifts correlate way better.
On top of this, the schools collect all of the tuition payments from the revenues brought in by the athletes. This is a transfer from Athletic revenue generated by athletics to the university.
In addition, the multi million dollar facilities that are owned by the university, are built by the revenue from the athletics dept.
You are right, Alabama is an out lier (that was the point of the article). However, to say there is no value to a school that is not winning the title every year is false. There is value that is much harder to determine. You are right, many things impact enrollment beyond athletics and that will make it hard to evaluate in many cases.
The point is, the whole deal comes at 0 cost to the university... so, whatever the marketing value is (much greater than "0" wherever you want to put it) is 0 cost to them.