THE SUNDAY AFTER: TCU

Al_4_State

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Manning never found the points to beat Iowa and only beat TCU once with how many points again last year?

Manning put up 41 points on Iowa, and the offense was more functional against TCU last year.

I'm not saying Tom Manning was the OC GOAT, I'm just saying his offense was better than anything we've seen this year, and this year's offense would be better with him on staff.
 
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FinalFourCy

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Our offense isn't going to be fixed by the things he mentioned. Well, I mean it could be by coincidence if those things were done to get a desired reaction out of the defense. The point is that running from under center, running jet action, and having the QB keep the ball. An offense isn't just a collection of these things lumped together. It should be a system where a play leads to a desired reaction from the defense where the next play, or maybe even later on, can use that defensive reaction to open something else. This offense doesn't feel like it's trying to do that. If feels like we are just trying to out execute people, but at the end of the day, that's hard for all but about 1 team in the country to rely on. We certainly aren't in a position to do that. When's the last time we had someone running wide open because the defense screwed up mentally? Have we had one this year? Had we had guys running open through zones? It just feels like everything is so hard.
You’re saying the same thing. Beyer isn’t implying that a collection of those plays randomly lumped together would fix it imo.

Nevertheless, your point is spot on imo. The timing and feel for context in our play calling is what you typically expect from a team with a big talent advantage.


If our goal is ball control because we feel good about our defense and think our margin for error is small, do we really achieve ball control by intentionally being easy to defend? If we’re so limited in talent, is it more likely we’ll have success repeatedly executing transparent, optionless plays for long drives? I think we’d have better luck getting lucky from a mistake/slip by the defense. If the defense slips up in our current approach, it results in 5 more yard
 

madguy30

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This is going to be posted every week isn't it? :D

I could buy being conservative against Akron at home. But TCU on the road??? :confused:

Yeah....it's conference play a month into the season.

Let it rip or at least get things going downhill to stress the defense.
 

HardcoreClone

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Can we have a series like this for basketball...?

Maybe something JS could write because he used to play at a relatively high level...?

Maybe not after every game, but weekly or something?

Not a bad thought. BB is much more simple and less scheming compared to FB. It's a game of back and forth runs. FB has a lot more moving parts and nuances to analyze, but you can still pinpoint some things after a couple BB games.
 

jbhtexas

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Yes, that is the frustration, that it’s intentional futility due to the staff going for conservative and ending up with unproductive.

I would hope not. Ideally, we gameplan to have the gas pedal down until the game is safely out of hand. Playing conservative from the start is just asking for a close game and/or close loss.

Case in point -- we forced 3 turnovers, yet still lost

These quotes sum up my feelings pretty well. And, once again, excellent analysis by Jay.

Some here are saying that Campbell wants to make ISU an "Iowa 2.0", or some version of a team that undertakes long, grind-it-out 10-15 play time consuming drives to take pressure off the defense. I can understand the philosophy in some circumstances.

Because of the high offensive precision required to pull this off, I personally think this scheme is better suited to a team playing in a weak division, and in a conference where you miss 1 or 2 (or sometimes more) of the best teams every year (like the Big 12 North of the mid 2000s, or where Iowa is now), rather than in a conference where most teams have an above-average functional offense, and where you have to face the best teams every year. We'll see.

In any case, the bottom line is that the game is won by scoring more points than the opponent. When the opponent's defense can anticipate or successfully defend a significant percentage of your plays because those plays are too predictable and don't challenge the defense, ISU is simply not going to score enough points to win.

For the past two years, ISU has not consistently achieved those those long grind-it-out drives to keep the opponent's offense off the field. Yet, the defense has managed to do well in containing the other Big 12 offenses in games where the ISU offense has not produced. Maybe the (what often seems) extreme offensive conservatism isn't necessary to enable the defense to be successful???

There should be some way to balance the long-term (implementing an offensive philosophy) with the short-term (making in-game adjustments that can lead to a few more points being scored to win games). Winning, especially in a coach's early tenure, does matter.
 
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ArgentCy

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That and a Delorean and he would be golden. It’s infinitely easier to look intelligent after the fact.

He's been noting the same problems every week. This isn't rocket science. The fact is that we come with very basic playbook and conservative play calling. We haven't had a designed run outside the tackle, what, maybe three times all year?
 

Sigmapolis

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These quotes sum up my feelings pretty well. And, once again, excellent analysis by Jay.

Some here are saying that Campbell wants to make ISU an "Iowa 2.0", or some version of a team that undertakes long, grind-it-out 10-15 play time consuming drives to take pressure off the defense. I can understand the philosophy in some circumstances.

Because of the high offensive precision required to pull this off, I personally think this scheme is better suited to a team playing in a weak division, and in a conference where you miss 1 or 2 (or sometimes more) of the best teams every year (like the Big 12 North of the mid 2000s, or where Iowa is now), rather than in a conference where most teams have an above-average functional offense, and where you have to face the best teams every year. We'll see.

In any case, the bottom line is that the game is won by scoring more points than the opponent. When the opponent's defense can anticipate or successfully defend a significant percentage of your plays because those plays are too predictable and don't challenge the defense, ISU is simply not going to score enough points to win.

For the past two years, ISU has not consistently achieved those those long grind-it-out drives to keep the opponent's offense off the field. Yet, the defense has managed to do well in containing the other Big 12 offenses in games where the ISU offense has not produced. Maybe the (what often seems) extreme offensive conservatism isn't necessary to enable the defense to be successful???

There should be some way to balance the long-term (implementing an offensive philosophy) with the short-term (making in-game adjustments that can lead to a few more points being scored to win games). Winning, especially in a coaches early tenure, does matter.

Let me know if this is a fair simplification --

Our best game plan of the season was Oklahoma, even if we lost.

Try and do that more.
 

TacoCorp

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If we averaged 23 points per game thus far, we'd be 3-1.

I'd be willing to bet that we'll surrender 23 points or more only once the rest of the season, unless the wheels completely come off (and I don't think Matt Campbell HC lets that happen).

But we haven't averaged 23 points per game. And there's a reason why we haven't.
 

norcalcy

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Our offense isn't going to be fixed by the things he mentioned. Well, I mean it could be by coincidence if those things were done to get a desired reaction out of the defense. The point is that running from under center, running jet action, and having the QB keep the ball don't just fix it. An offense isn't just a collection of these things lumped together. It should be a system where a play leads to a desired reaction from the defense where the next play, or maybe even later on, can use that defensive reaction to open something else. This offense doesn't feel like it's trying to do that. If feels like we are just trying to out execute people, but at the end of the day, that's hard for all but about 1 team in the country to rely on. We certainly aren't in a position to do that. When's the last time we had someone running wide open because the defense screwed up mentally? Have we had one this year? Had we had guys running open through zones? It just feels like everything is so hard.

Yup. I think that was Jay's and Beyer's point. We play to easily diagnosed tendencies. Jay's been advocating for running to the edge since last year (he's finally given up). All off season he talked about utilizing Kene and others on the perimeter. Jeez, Noland broke tendency and took off to convert a 3rd and 25. I'm still laughing about his run, but it was an ugly thing of beauty. It feels like there's some stubborness and some perfectionism at play in trying to build the "right" kind of offense. Our defense has tried a lot of stuff and is constantly evolving. There's some room for the offense to take a similar approach and stay within the overall Plan.
 

Tre4ISU

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Yup. I think that was Jay's and Beyer's point. We play to easily diagnosed tendencies. Jay's been advocating for running to the edge since last year (he's finally given up). All off season he talked about utilizing Kene and others on the perimeter. Jeez, Noland broke tendency and took off to convert a 3rd and 25. I'm still laughing about his run, but it was an ugly thing of beauty. It feels like there's some stubborness and some perfectionism at play in trying to build the "right" kind of offense. Our defense has tried a lot of stuff and is constantly evolving. There's some room for the offense to take a similar approach and stay within the overall Plan.

That's the shocking thing. Our defense is wildly multiple and constantly doing different things. There was more than one staff last year that said we didn't do anything they had seen on tape. Then we have the offense that almost refuses to use the middle of the field. Yeah, you can find instances of throws in the middle, but it's amazing how often no ones doing anything there. Don't get me started on the 10+ yard routes to the outsides with no one coming into the middle on 3rd and 4.

You mentioned Kene. I'll mention Milton. That guy, when he's had the chance, looks to have some real juice. Run some middle screens or try to get him on a LB across the middle.
 

titleist

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At this point, I feel we need a QB that can scramble and extend our plays. The scramble by Zoland for 28 yards was surprising but it would be nice if it wasn't.
 

isucy86

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I understand Campbell's desire to play things conservatively, keep the game close and hope to get the critical crunch time scoring drive. Problem is Zeb Noland isn't an accurate possession passer that can consistently put together 10 play drives. That is Kyle Kempf's strength.

Zeb has a strong (although not accurate) arm. Campbell needs to stretch the field vertically with a lot more 15+ yard routes than we are currently seeing. I realize the pass blocking has be mediocre, but there are ways to scheme around that. Max protect by keeping a TE or RB or both to provide pass protection. Also roll Zeb out to move the pocket. Right now we are an easy team to blitz because Zeb WILL be standing on a spot.

The staff should break tendency - we are close to 100% reliant on the QB zone read runs by Montgomery. For it to be effective, Zeb has to run some. Not a lot but maybe 4-5x per game to keep defenses honest. As Jay mentioned we need to attack with perimeter runs. Great spread teams use jet sweeps and reverses as a staple of their run game. I would also think Montgomery would be a great screen RB.

Also we had great success with the Lanning run package the last few years. Not sure why we wouldn't use Mitchell at QB or even Montgomery. Wasn't Montgomery a QB in HS?

Our defense has been solid, but teams are adjusting and learning to attack with off tackle/perimeter runs. I think we will need to use 4-2-5 alignments to stop the run and also get more pressure on opposing QB's.
 
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SCarolinaCy

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I'd like to see Zeb keep it some too. He showed on that scramble that he's a decent runner. Just needs to keep a couple times a game to keep the defense honest.
I wish this were true. This run used the sideline as a protector. I do not believe Noland can safely run the ball.
 

SCarolinaCy

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Just throwing this out as a possibility: is it possible that the offensive game plan was intentionally very conservative, with the thought that we are playing a young back up QB?, and have a great defense? Limit mistakes, try to force some mistakes from them. Maybe he thought that was our absolute best opportunity to win? While the offense was very frustrating, and we did lose, the strategy did result in a tie game going into the final minute.
Noland is in his 3rd year. He simply does not have the it factor, and the sooner we come to that realization the better.