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  1. Number Monkey

    Tyrese Hunter Entering the Transfer Portal - NIL Speculation

    A more realistic option like this is UVA, which has an obscene money base to draw from, and I think they're starting to flex their financial muscles. It wouldn't shock me at all if Manning ended there nor would it if Hunter did as well.
  2. Number Monkey

    Big XII to add schools within days?

    They already self promote their own interests. The change in stance is noticeable though. These quick moves are likely driven by a deal with ESPN and Fox. The Big 12 owns two cards: 1) OU/TX are going to owe AT LEAST $80m a piece. There is a clause in the bylaws that state how...
  3. Number Monkey

    Big XII to add schools within days?

    If people watch them. The best way to make this work is: 1) Keep your Autotomy Five status, which seems like a done deal 2) Secure access into expanded playoff 3) Win in OOC match ups 4) Win in the post season 5) Go back to next deal with lots of wins.
  4. Number Monkey

    If the B12 remains intact and moves forward

    When you hear those numbers those are just regular season and CCG, what they sell to media partners, not full conference payouts. So things like sponsor ships, NCAA money, conference networks, etc, will all add to that. There are a few moving pieces and all of the conferences do it slightly...
  5. Number Monkey

    If the B12 remains intact and moves forward

    I actually think this is the hidden silver lining in all of this mess. It is clear now that the post season, in an expanded format, is worth more than the combined regular seasons of the conferences, especially if it is allowed to be shared with multiple networks. With access the teams in...
  6. Number Monkey

    If the B12 remains intact and moves forward

    I would assume they'll split Texas up, since there are four teams and most of the teams in the conference recruit heavily out of there so they'll want games there regularly. Its all for fun, but if I were doing it, I think I'd mix it all up and go with regional pods, mostly because the...
  7. Number Monkey

    If the B12 remains intact and moves forward

    Looks like they cut a deal with ESPN. Grab 4 teams, get to 12, keep P5 designation, keep a foothold in TX for recruiting, while strengthening it in Ohio and Florida, likely get a bump in TV revenue to allow TX/OU out early, oh, and they still get the buyout amount. All in all, probably not...
  8. Number Monkey

    How much could the remaining Big 12 schools theoretically get from a settlement with UT/OU/ESPN?

    It is a super majority of disinterested directors to dissolve the assets of the conference, however, one change they made from the last round of realignment is that the moment you announce your intention to withdraw, you're no longer a director. The remaining schools would need to dissolve...
  9. Number Monkey

    How much could the remaining Big 12 schools theoretically get from a settlement with UT/OU/ESPN?

    There are two pieces at play: Buyout - The rules in the bylaws are you pay out 2 years of revenue, so it changes per year. The Big 12 can withhold payment and the team can make up the rest. So, at a minimum, you're talking about $75-80m per team. However, there are rules to the withdraw...
  10. Number Monkey

    Report: OU & Texas reach out to join SEC

    Yeah, if the premise is you reform and don't all go separate ways, then there are not a lot of options available. Definitely none that are as good as what you lost or even halfway sexy. You're kind of building from scratch or basically doing the ACC approach of adding the Big East schools...
  11. Number Monkey

    Report: OU & Texas reach out to join SEC

    Contrary to popular belief, Boise and BYU don't command a lot of eyeballs either. The concept of Memphis/Houston/Tulane/Temple, whatever, pick your poison, is central/east timezones, bridging the gap between the 7 and WVU, who do or have played competitive ball, in markets you can increase...
  12. Number Monkey

    Report: OU & Texas reach out to join SEC

    If you're going that route, I'd cut out Boise/BYU and bring in Memphis and either Houston or Temple or even Tulane The people are out east, not west.
  13. Number Monkey

    Report: OU & Texas reach out to join SEC

    oh I agree, but that doesn't stop people from saying they're going after UVA/UNC
  14. Number Monkey

    Report: OU & Texas reach out to join SEC

    What stands out to me is that any thought of the Big Ten poaching the ACC or Pac 12 has basically just evaporated.
  15. Number Monkey

    Pac-12 to decide whether to expand within a couple weeks

    Media revenues have everything to do with home games. You can only sell your home games to your media partner. For the Iowa/Iowa State series, the Big 12 gets the revenue one year and the Big Ten gets it the next. Additionally conference games are worth more than non-conference games...
  16. Number Monkey

    Pac-12 to decide whether to expand within a couple weeks

    One, I don't think they're not going to play the SEC any more. They're just going to agree on the rules they want. If the SEC doesn't like them they can negotiate or go it alone. I don't think anyone here is trying to distance themselves from the SEC, just ensure the playing field stays...
  17. Number Monkey

    Pac-12 to decide whether to expand within a couple weeks

    Its hard to track down USC's revenues, because they are private, so I dug through their Title IX filings. Reading it one way could show USC does have a bit of a money problem. When looking at football revenue, at $53M reported in a pandemic year, they were barely above Iowa State ($52m), and...
  18. Number Monkey

    Expansion Candidates

    This needs more love. In a year they were in the NY6 conversation most of the year, when they played some games against the AAC and a huge game against Coastal as undefeateds, they drew less than UCF/Houston/Cincy/Memphis
  19. Number Monkey

    Report: OU & Texas reach out to join SEC

    This, that's why it exists the way it does. There are two aspects of the Big Ten's revenue at play; BTN and their T1/2 deals. BTN: This is an ownership stake payout. So if the channel makes $500m, figure about half of that is being paid to the schools. This value increases over time due...
  20. Number Monkey

    Expansion Candidates

    If you want the above choices by average audiences: UCF Cinci Memphis Houston UCF and Cinci have some respectable numbers, averaging around what TCU/Tech did last year. They'd probably increase with better competition. Memphis and Houston were closer to Baylor/Kansas numbers. The only...
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