ISU won't stay in front of Louisville and St. Louis in this week's poll. You can't get blown out by an unranked team while the two teams immediately behind you win, and expect to stay in front of those teams. Iowa, Virginia and Creighton are all sure to move up (especially Creighton), and there's a good chance that they'll jump ISU. Texas and Wisconsin will also move up, but probably not enough to be of concern to ISU.
Michigan will drop for sure, but I could see Kentucky staying where they're at -- or even moving up a spot -- since they barely lost to the #3 team; they might drop a spot. MSU is also going to fall.
10. St. Louis
11. Louisville
12. Creighton
13. Kentucky
14. MSU
15. Iowa
16. ISU
I admit I'm biased on those last two. But Iowa and ISU will be in the 15 and 16 spots, IMO. Flip a coin on who gets which spot.
Agree with you on a lot of points, disagree elsewhere:
Iowa State won’t jump anyone that was ahead last week — San Diego State, Villanova and Michigan State lost, but so did ISU, and only SDSU’s loss was worse, but that’s not enough to make up six places.
(12) St. Louis and (13) Louisville will jump ISU (as you said) — neither lost this week. That’s 13th.
(14) Kentucky is likely to jump us, since its loss was vs. soon-to-be No. 2 Florida, ISU's loss to West Virginia. Each team's win was expected. Assume that’s 14th.
(18) Creighton will climb for pounding (6) Villanova — will it be more than 4 spots? Perhaps. That’s 15th.
(16) Iowa won at Penn State — will stay mostly steady.
(17) Virginia won twice. Wins aren’t worthy of elevating above Iowa State.
Michigan lost at home to UW, so those two just get closer together in the rankings. No way either rises above Iowa State this week.