I've read most of the bowl game discussion and all the projections I can find. All make the (very safe) assumption that West Virginia wins against Kansas. But what if that doesn't happen? Are we back in the running for the Holiday Bowl? Or did we need that 7th win regardless of what happens in West Virginia this weekend?
Bowl game projection - What if Kansas wins?
- Thread starter JayV
- Start date
If that happens, and OU and KSU win, here is what I would predict.
If the Big 12 gets 2 BCS:
Fiesta: KSU
Sugar: OU
Cotton: UT
Alamo: OSU
BWW: TT
Holiday: TCU
Meineke: BU
Pinstripe: WV
HOD: ISU
If the Big 12 only gets 1 BCS:
Fiesta: KSU
Cotton: OU
Alamo: UT
BWW: OSU
Holiday: TT
Meineke: TCU
Pinstripe: WV
HOD: BU
At-large: ISU
If the Big 12 gets 2 BCS:
Fiesta: KSU
Sugar: OU
Cotton: UT
Alamo: OSU
BWW: TT
Holiday: TCU
Meineke: BU
Pinstripe: WV
HOD: ISU
If the Big 12 only gets 1 BCS:
Fiesta: KSU
Cotton: OU
Alamo: UT
BWW: OSU
Holiday: TT
Meineke: TCU
Pinstripe: WV
HOD: BU
At-large: ISU
I think that makes them a stone cold lock for pinstripe.
And i wouldnt be surprised by a KU win. They have a strange 'down week, up week, down week, up week' pattern. Each up week has gotten progressively closer to a win. If the pattern holds, either this goes to 3OT or KU wins. KU has shown flashes of ability. And WVU is a team that's shown its very beatable
And i wouldnt be surprised by a KU win. They have a strange 'down week, up week, down week, up week' pattern. Each up week has gotten progressively closer to a win. If the pattern holds, either this goes to 3OT or KU wins. KU has shown flashes of ability. And WVU is a team that's shown its very beatable
Well KU is a 20 point dog, so you better be finding your local bookie. At this point in their season, and on the road it would take some big ones to pick Kansas.
Here are some numbers that the Bowl comitties will be looking at when comparing teams.
This table is sorted by % Capacity.
Add the fact ISU has doubled its number of season tickets sold in the last 5 years and JP has some good numbers to work with when pitching us to a bowl game.
This table is sorted by % Capacity.
| Team | Capacity | Games | Toal | High | Average | % |
| Oklahoma | 82,112 | 6 | 511,460 | 86,031 | 85,243 | 103.81% |
| TCU | 45,000 | 5 | 228,780 | 47,894 | 45,756 | 101.68% |
| Texas | 100,119 | 6 | 605,304 | 101,851 | 100,884 | 100.76% |
| Iowa State | 55,000 | 7 | 386,917 | 56,800 | 55,273 | 100.50% |
| K-State | 50,000 | 6 | 301,031 | 50,781 | 50,171 | 100.34% |
| Texas Tech | 60,454 | 6 | 343,251 | 60,879 | 57,208 | 94.63% |
| WVU | 60,000 | 6 | 340,297 | 60,101 | 56,716 | 94.53% |
| OSU | 60,218 | 7 | 395,895 | 57,799 | 56,556 | 93.92% |
| Baylor | 50,000 | 5 | 207,962 | 44,856 | 41,592 | 83.18% |
| Kansas | 50,071 | 6 | 247,971 | 46,601 | 41,328 | 82.54% |
Add the fact ISU has doubled its number of season tickets sold in the last 5 years and JP has some good numbers to work with when pitching us to a bowl game.
Your chart is also very very deceptive. TCU sells tickets but any shot of the stadium will show lots of empty seats. Additionally, some fan bases travel well, others tend to stay home by the fire and watch games on TV.
The way I'm reading dark star's table, if we finish the SEZ and end with a capacity of just over 60,000, that puts us behind only Texas and Oklahoma in the statistical category of stadium capacity. Talk about sleeping giant possibilities! Especially if we can continue to sell out the stadium.
If we can just get an 8 or 9 win season(s) in the next few years, we could easily have the type of momentum to climb out of the hole left from the many previous decades of indifference. Imo the growth we are currently seeing is from the "powers that be" slowly committing to athletics so that ISU can finally capitalize on being a large state university. We are still capable of much more- the type of momentum in ISU passion that comes with substantial sustained success.
If ISU had a run like KSU under Synder in the past 10 years, imo we would be talking about filling up a 65-70k stadium.
