Conference Start

[NENick]

Assuming a win over Omaha, I think following with a 3-1 start to the conference is attainable. Baylor in Hilton will be tough, obviously, but not impossible. At OU, IMO, is one of the handful of realistically winnable conference road games. TCU on the road is the one I expect to lose. Then beat a TTech team that seems in a bit of chaos, at home.

Crazy? It would be an awesome start!

 

[ClonesFTW]

I think we’re gonna learn a lot on New Years Eve about how conference might go. Win or lose, if we battle to the end with Baylor I’ll feel pretty good about getting to that 7 conference win mark we typically need for a NCAA bid.

 

[madguy30]

I think we’re gonna learn a lot on New Years Eve about how conference might go. Win or lose, if we battle to the end with Baylor I’ll feel pretty good about getting to that 7 conference win mark we typically need for a NCAA bid.

Have other B12 teams gotten in with 7 wins in the past?

I'd guess 8 or 9 are needed including road wins.

 

[ClonesFTW]

Have other B12 teams gotten in with 7 wins in the past?

I'd guess 8 or 9 are needed including road wins.

We went 7-11 in conference last year.

 

[NoCreativity]

I expect it to go like last year. We'll probably lose a few while scoring about 45 points, we'll probably win 2 or 3 road games, and problby get swept by Texas, Kansas, and Baylor.

 

[madguy30]

We went 7-11 in conference last year.

Yeah but that's not typical.

The undefeated non-con plus B12 strength was the reason.

 

[clonedude]

We went 7-11 in conference last year.

But this year that will only give us 17 wins total. Not sure that gets us in? We need UNC to really step up for us.

 

[Pharmacy99]

I expect it to go like last year. We'll probably lose a few while scoring about 45 points, we'll probably win 2 or 3 road games, and problby get swept by Texas, Kansas, and Baylor.

I am not impressed with Texas. They only have one good win against Gonzaga at home.

 

[gocy444]

Yeah but that's not typical.

The undefeated non-con plus B12 strength was the reason.

This and the Big 12 was better last year. We’ll likely need to go 9-9 to get in or 8-10 and a couple wins in KC.

 

[dukeebear]

But this year that will only give us 17 wins total. Not sure that gets us in? We need UNC to really step up for us.

Two more non conference games 11-2. 18 13 would get us in. Win one in big 12 hopefully also

 

[ClonesFTW]

But this year that will only give us 17 wins total. Not sure that gets us in? We need UNC to really step up for us.

7-11 in conference could leave us 18-13 overall (Mizzou?) this would likely be another bid. The bracketology folks have always said four games above .500 is typically the at-large requirement.

 

[cyclones500]

Yeah but that's not typical.

The undefeated non-con plus B12 strength was the reason.

Yep, cannot count on 7-11 (or any conference record) as being "minimal requirement" ... all depends on context within body of work, in and out of league.

 

[awd4cy]

We went 7-11 in conference last year.

Did we have as good of a non conference this year? We’re going to need more than 7.

 

[cyclones500]

Looking at first half of schedule, I can see extremes of 1-7 to 6-2 ... probably 3-5 is realistic.

I'd like to start by beating Baylor, for a change, esp. at home, start 1-0. What is our record vs. BU the past 6 or so seasons?

 

[madguy30]

Looking at first half of schedule, I can see extremes of 1-7 to 6-2 ... probably 3-5 is realistic.

I'd like to start by beating Baylor, for a change, esp. at home, start 1-0. What is our record vs. BU the past 6 or so seasons?

Aside from the 2019 Big 12 tourney I'd guess ISU has beaten Baylor once over the last 6 seasons.

 

[Gunnerclone]

Looking at first half of schedule, I can see extremes of 1-7 to 6-2 ... probably 3-5 is realistic.

I'd like to start by beating Baylor, for a change, esp. at home, start 1-0. What is our record vs. BU the past 6 or so seasons?

Not good.

 

[cyclones500]

Not good.

You are correct. Even worse than I remember:

Iowa State University Athletics Men's Basketball History vs Baylor University

Iowa State University Men's Basketball History vs Baylor University

cyclones.com

 

[ClonesTwenty1]

18-0 or bust

 

[mikeiastat]

I think with our league sos, 18 wins gets us in. Our holiday tourney showing was fairly good. The iowa game was on the road. Every game after the Omaha game is projected tier 2 or better except the home game with TCU.

Nova and st johns are going to flirt with that tier 2 status all year. But assuming one is and one isn't, that would give us 9 tier 2 or better wins and at least 2 tier 1 wins. That should be in.

 

[DSM4Cy]

I think with our league sos, 18 wins gets us in. Our holiday tourney showing was fairly good. The iowa game was on the road. Every game after the Omaha game is projected tier 2 or better except the home game with TCU.

Nova and st johns are going to flirt with that tier 2 status all year. But assuming one is and one isn't, that would give us 9 tier 2 or better wins and at least 2 tier 1 wins. That should be in.

Yep, if we get to 7 wins in the league with at least 2 Quad 1 wins, we will be in Dayton at worst.