We shut down one of the best receivers in the country when we played Iowa. I think ISU will come ready to play this game and is capable of doing the same against Baylor.
1- I agree that you will come ready to play and will have a very good chance at beating us.
2- Shutting down McNutt was a great effort by your D but to a certain extent played into utilizing your strongest personnel. You had one elite corner in LJ to match with one elite WR in McNutt. Their formations rarely used multiple WR and their running game didn't really utilize the option run plays we do. This makes it apples to oranges. If LJ is shutting down our outside WR thats fine and good but what happens to your safeties and nickel defender? Shutting down a WR in a 2 wr power handoff offense is quite different than stopping a spread pass & option run team in terms of how you defend them.
Your best personnel is 4 line, 3 backers, and 4 dbs. Your backers are great taking on blocks and having them and your safeties near the line takes some pressure off your smaller DEs in the run game.
A team attacking you with 4 WR changes things as now your DEs have less help in the run game and you either have 1 LB on the field or give up coverage flexibility with 2 LBs as the 2nd won't run with Wright or Reese.
3- Your base defense is probably better at defending Iowa than TCU would be. However their DL and safeties probably match up better against us. If RG3 had simply missed his difficult deep throws for TDs against man coverage you would have had similar results to what TCU did to several teams last year. If you also take away the 2 WR passes that we tricked them with for 55 yards you get the following:
58.6%
5.33 per play and more pedestrian results.
Take our game against them last year and give us the 3 bad drops for 30 yards to start off. Then give us the wide open deep route where our slot had burned their safety on what would have been a 73 yard bomb RG3 flat out missed.
It goes from 263 yards and less than 5 per play to 366 and 6.5 a pop.
The TCU D is still very good. Both BU and SMU had guys open last year and protected the QB pretty well in 2010 vs the Frogs but simply kept missing the throws. RG3 is much improved throwing it and SMU has a more accurate QB and the results are pretty self explanatory. They replaced 2 safety starters and 2 DL who with experienced backups who were semi starters recently. They replaced 1 corner with a top JUCO guy. The overall talent is still very good and their best DL guys are still there with Maponga and Yendrey.
June Jones on TCU's defense compared to last year before their game:
To outsiders, TCU looks vulnerable this year. Not so for SMU head coach June Jones, who said the Horned Frogs look as tough as ever.
"They look exactly the same to me," Jones said. "They've done a great job with their schemes [on] both sides of the ball, and just recruiting and plugging in new bodies."
SMU and TCU to renew old rivalry Saturday | wfaa.com Dallas - Fort Worth
4- Our offense is probably the first offense you will see this year that will attack you in a similar fashion to how Tech and Utah went after you. UConn and Iowa use power run mainly, UNI doesn't throw it much, and Texas will only occasionally go with the spread plays as they do a little of everything with Harsin.