The most impressive thing about our 2015 football recruiting class....

Wesley

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Apr 12, 2006
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...is how many guys have multiple P5 offers. Most notable is how many guys we grabbed who have offers from Kansas State (5), which is important because we all know that nobody evaluates talent better than old Snaggletooth. That said, we beat out Missouri, Louisville and West Virginia multiple times for players, and even reeled in guys with elite offers from places like Ohio State, Texas A&M and Wisconsin.

Stars are a notoriously inaccurate way to evaluate recruiting, but examining which kids had offers from other P5 schools is a much better indicator of talent and potential (because coaching staffs in general are far better at talent evaluation than recruiting services...and they do intensive research/review before making offers). Using that as a primary criteria, I think the class we're about to bring in has to be seen as the best one in the past decade in terms of potential. I say "potential" because that's all that can be looked at on signing day in any given year. There's no telling if this...or any... class will meet its potential, but I think it is clear that we have much reason for optimism when looking at the impact of this group.



Early Signees

Jay Jones - Illinois, Indiana
Demond Tucker - Texas A&M, TCU, West Virginia, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Kansas State, Arizona State
Jomal Wiltz - California

Commits
Josh Coleman - Missouri, Penn State, Wake Forest
Julian Good-Jones - Louisville, Kansas State, Indiana
Denver Johnson - Washington State
Bobby Leath - Illinois
Bryce Meeker - Kansas State
Seth Nerness - Kansas State, Louisville, North Carolina, West Virginia
Jaypee Philbert - Arizona State, Kansas
Marcel Spears - Kansas State, Kansas, Missouri
Josh Thomas - Georgia Tech, Illinois, Missouri, Mississippi State, Ohio State, Purdue, North Carolina State, Syracuse, Tennessee, Virginia, Wisconsin


The offer lists used for this analysis come from rivals, so any imperfections are related to their background work.

What about the other five or six or are we at 13?
 

swiacy

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Apr 9, 2009
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This is pretty stout. Hoping for a surprise or two in our direction. Color me impressed with all the adversity here.

I agree that offers from other P5 schools carries more weight than "Rival Stars" and I, too, am inpressed. After CPR's first three years, several major upsets and bowl appearances, he was unable to build off of the success with recruiting. I attribute the current class upgrade to several combination of events: much improvement of physical facilities, evidently a staff that recruits better (Ayeni & Mangino), consistent good attendance even with below par success on the field, realizing that the K-State model of JC recruitment has been successful (and getting some of those offered by K-State by stating the obvious that Snyder could "go down" at any time), being able to legitimately put the "carrot" out there and guarantee a real opportunity to get on the field quickly and finally just maybe CPR and the rest of the staff have a little more pressure to get competitive right now.
 

coolerifyoudid

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Feb 8, 2013
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I think this staff may be the best bunch of recruiters we have ever had. Can you imagine selling this turd to HS prospects? Our history is terrible, our climate isn't much better, our geography offers nothing unless you are excited about corn, we are located in a small city with no real excitement, our record the past two years has been horrid. And to top it off, the head coach is on the hot seat.

How we signed ANYONE with a P5 offer is beyond me. Makes you wonder what the staff can do when (if?) they have some success...

Excuse me. Does the word "hooray" ring a bell?
 

Luth4Cy

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Sep 19, 2012
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Kansas State and Texas are prime examples that recuiting rankings are so overrated.....in opposite ways of course

I'd say they are examples that one staff is great at developing talent and another staff as of recently has been awful at developing talent.
 

Jer

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Feb 28, 2006
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I would argue against this class looking "stout" and impressive when you compare it against previous years. Last year we ranked 56, this year we rank 66 according to Yahoo/Rivals.com. That isn't the worst we've done (2nd worst of the past 6 recruiting cycles), but every year about this time people start rewriting history to make it seem like we've turned a recruiting corner, almost exactly to the tune of this thread.

Again, I love CPR and want him to succeed, but let's not start revising history to create an aura of accomplishment on the recruiting trail.

ClassRivals Rank6-Year Trend Rank
201060th4th
201151st1st
201288th6th
201358th3rd
201456th2nd
201566th5th
 

Mesaclone1

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I would argue against this class looking "stout" and impressive when you compare it against previous years. Last year we ranked 56, this year we rank 66 according to Yahoo/Rivals.com. That isn't the worst we've done (2nd worst of the past 6 recruiting cycles), but every year about this time people start rewriting history to make it seem like we've turned a recruiting corner, almost exactly to the tune of this thread.

Again, I love CPR and want him to succeed, but let's not start revising history to create an aura of accomplishment on the recruiting trail.

ClassRivals Rank6-Year Trend Rank
201060th4th
201151st1st
201288th6th
201358th3rd
201456th2nd
201566th5th

These rankings correlate to stars...though they are inclusive of talent rankings within the star ranges. In other words, the rankings are pretty accurate for the top 30 or so schools because the high end recruits...the 4 and 5 star guys...are well researched by the scouting services. After the top 30 or so, you can tell far more about where a class should rank by looking at offers...because kids in the 3 and 2 star range are FAR more closely scrutinized by the coaching staffs who make the offers, than they are by the rating services. So a ranking that fluctuates between 51 and 80+ over a time span is more likely reflecting statistical volatility than it is showing real differences in the talent levels of recruited kids. In my opinion, and I am no expert to say the least, the fact that coaching staffs are after a kid in the 2/3 star range will tell you FAR more about their ability than a power rating from a recruiting service.
 

Jer

CF Founder, Creator
Feb 28, 2006
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These rankings correlate to stars...though they are inclusive of talent rankings within the star ranges. In other words, the rankings are pretty accurate for the top 30 or so schools because the high end recruits...the 4 and 5 star guys...are well researched by the scouting services. After the top 30 or so, you can tell far more about where a class should rank by looking at offers...because kids in the 3 and 2 star range are FAR more closely scrutinized by the coaching staffs who make the offers, than they are by the rating services. So a ranking that fluctuates between 51 and 80+ over a time span is more likely reflecting statistical volatility than it is showing real differences in the talent levels of recruited kids. In my opinion, and I am no expert to say the least, the fact that coaching staffs are after a kid in the 2/3 star range will tell you FAR more about their ability than a power rating from a recruiting service.

I would agree, but I think you could say that ranking have a swing of maybe 15 or so spots in that regard. Either way, let's say they underestimate the recruits we got and we move up 10 spots to what we were ranked last year, that still doesn't give me reason to call the class "stout" or amazing like some have suggested.

I'm not arguing for the sake of arguing, just trying to put into perspective the recruiting class as ranked by a national organization that does it for a living. Their methods certainly have flaws, as does any method, but when you put it into ranges and add room for oversight, we're still in the range we've been the past 6 years, not remarkably different.
 

acody

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Nov 25, 2006
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Not bagging on the recruits, happy to have them, but I think you're missing one critical piece. Teams don't have the same sales pitch or goals with these players. All of those, for instance, are probably sold on being starters very quickly at ISU, where many of them would be recruited as projects or backups at many of the other schools. Not all offers are created equal.

Also, I don't know what to believe anymore regarding whether real serious offers or some type of conditional offer(we will offer if the guy we really want de-commits) was made by the other schools.
 

Mesaclone1

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I would agree, but I think you could say that ranking have a swing of maybe 15 or so spots in that regard. Either way, let's say they underestimate the recruits we got and we move up 10 spots to what we were ranked last year, that still doesn't give me reason to call the class "stout" or amazing like some have suggested.

I'm not arguing for the sake of arguing, just trying to put into perspective the recruiting class as ranked by a national organization that does it for a living. Their methods certainly have flaws, as does any method, but when you put it into ranges and add room for oversight, we're still in the range we've been the past 6 years, not remarkably different.

I don't think we disagree as much as you may think on this issue. I think our primary disagreement is on just how far off a Rivals ranking can be....I think a range of 15 is far too small once you are looking at teams in that 35-85 range. What complicates this even more, and was mentioned above, is that Rivals is very bad at rating JUCO's. Adding to that, Rivals has no way of looking at how a kid's abilities fit into a particular team's schemes on offense and/or defense...nor can they look at work ethic, physical growth potential, and a myriad of other factors that a coaching staff comparing a wide range of 2/3 star guys CAN and WILL do.

So I guess I'm saying that "offers" is a better way to look at a kids broader potential, as coaches see it, than is the star/power ranking assigned by Rivals and others. Both are imperfect measuring tools, but I think Rivals is far more flawed OTHER than in its analysis of 4/5 star guys...and perhaps some of the higher 3 star players. I think Seth Nerness is a good example of this...coaches from Michigan, K-State, North Carolina, West Virginia and Missouri pursuing him tells me he has tremendous potential, and yet he's a 2 star kid. Clearly, his offer list is a far more accurate tool for measuring his talent than the scouting services.
 

BWRhasnoAC

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I called it stout because I was expecting us to crash and burn. These kids have real potential.
 

Stormin

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Apr 11, 2006
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You worded it better than I did. I think the point is that ISU is looking at these as immediate contributors and most schools on the list would be looking at them as potential contributors over their 4-year career. They're still an upgrade over what we have today, don't get me wrong, but I think only looking at who offered is misleading as well as stars.

No argument at all on that. A talented kid coming to ISU is much more likely to see the field earlier in his career in all likelihood. At the same time, when multiple Power 5 Conference Schools offer, they generally have talent.
 

heitclone

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Jun 21, 2009
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Way up there
I don't think this class is much different from others this staff has tried to bring in but you have to give them props for putting this class together after what the program has been through the last 6 months. Tomorrow could be the brightest spot this program has had since August.
 

SpokaneCY

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Apr 11, 2006
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...

Stars are a notoriously inaccurate way to evaluate recruiting, but examining which kids had offers from other P5 schools is a much better indicator of talent and potential (because coaching staffs in general are far better at talent evaluation than recruiting services...and they do intensive research/review before making offers).


So are wins because we habitually oversell ourselves in our recruits when comparing them to other programs in conference. We'll sometimes say we have the horses but for X, Y or Zed...

Just win. No more smoke telling us something we don't see. No more excuses placed on former coaches or treadmills. No more whining about backup QBs or practice squad monsters. No more diamond in the rough or hidden gem cliches. Line up and smash someone in the mouth and win a friggin game.
 

Wesley

Well-Known Member
Apr 12, 2006
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I would argue against this class looking "stout" and impressive when you compare it against previous years. Last year we ranked 56, this year we rank 66 according to Yahoo/Rivals.com. That isn't the worst we've done (2nd worst of the past 6 recruiting cycles), but every year about this time people start rewriting history to make it seem like we've turned a recruiting corner, almost exactly to the tune of this thread.

Again, I love CPR and want him to succeed, but let's not start revising history to create an aura of accomplishment on the recruiting trail.

ClassRivals Rank6-Year Trend Rank
201060th4th
201151st1st
201288th6th
201358th3rd
201456th2nd
201566th5th

Some of that is fewer recruits than other schools since we have a young and inexperienced team
 

SpokaneCY

Well-Known Member
Apr 11, 2006
13,294
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Spokane, WA
I would argue against this class looking "stout" and impressive when you compare it against previous years. Last year we ranked 56, this year we rank 66 according to Yahoo/Rivals.com. That isn't the worst we've done (2nd worst of the past 6 recruiting cycles), but every year about this time people start rewriting history to make it seem like we've turned a recruiting corner, almost exactly to the tune of this thread.

Again, I love CPR and want him to succeed, but let's not start revising history to create an aura of accomplishment on the recruiting trail.

ClassRivals Rank6-Year Trend Rank
201060th4th
201151st1st
201288th6th
201358th3rd
201456th2nd
201566th5th

I love this part of the recruiting cycle. We all watch some HIGHLY edited recruiting tapes then talk ourselves into having one of our best recruiting classes ever and rationalize the national media as not having an eye for talent and since we're ISU all our kids are penalized 1 star automatically.

Fastest team ever! Most physically ready team ever! Most overlooked talent ever!

Glad to have them all. Now just win.
 

Wesley

Well-Known Member
Apr 12, 2006
70,923
546
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Omaha
I love this part of the recruiting cycle. We all watch some HIGHLY edited recruiting tapes then talk ourselves into having one of our best recruiting classes ever and rationalize the national media as not having an eye for talent and since we're ISU all our kids are penalized 1 star automatically.

Fastest team ever! Most physically ready team ever! Most overlooked talent ever!

Glad to have them all. Now just win.

It does seem like we are getting faster kids.
 

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