End of Half Hail Marry
- Thread starter 19clone91
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No, you know, like when things are so crazy it gets your thoughts all trapped, like in a bottle?
THIS.
It would be very interesting for some of you statisticians to give us some NCAA data on this.
From the 50 yd line, my guess is 25% of time it is a TD. 50% of the time the pass is incomplete, 20% it is intercepted. 5% of the time it is a turnover resulting in a defensive score. Heck, I would give it two chances, throw the HM on 3rd and 4th downs.
Roll the QB out to right , gives extra time for receivers to get down field. From that position, the QB can easily dump the ball if he gets in trouble.. To me a bigger risk is getting to the 50 yd line from our own 10 yd line, where in that case we need to plan to run the clock out..
I'm no mathematician, but there is no way that a Hail Mary works 25% of the time.
I don't know for sure, but based on the 40 yard laser strike he threw on the run to Murdoch against Akron, I bet he can get pretty darn close.
I could see where you wouldn't want to do it in years past when our pass blocking has been terrible, even if the defense only rushes 3. This year it has been pretty solid.
Maybe you say, but when it works, it works 100% of the time.
Where are our NCAA record keeping gurus?
Isn't a small point of the non-P5 preseason games to try out some things that you might need to use later on? In addition to trying a hail mary, I would have liked to see ISU going for it on 4th down at least once in lieu of all the FG attempts.
The Cyclones are 4 for 4 on fourth down on the season. Only Kansas has more 4th down conversions in the Big 12.
I would, but CU is mostly on Pac12 network and I don't get that channel. I'm not sure anyone actually does.
ISU can put three 6'4" or taller WRs and a 6'6" TE (who can run) on the field at the same time for a Hail Mary. There isn't a team in the conference that can even come close to that in their secondary.
Give it a shot.
Give it a shot.
