COLUMN: How COVID-19 will change college football forever
- Thread starter ChrisMWilliams
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So Arizona and ASU jump from the PAC12 to the Big 12 to get us back to 12 members. I like it
Thanks boss, appreciate your insights as always. I think it would all be guesstimates, like when See Des Moines says that the AAU championships will provide 30 million (or whatever amount) to the local economy. Obviously there’s a “loss” there to local business for game days (both home and away). Then like you noted it trickles all the way down to advertising on even local TV and radio stations for their “Gameday programs” or “postgame show”. You could even get so micro as to figure a loss for the DOTs of states that have toll roads and people not traveling to games. It’s almost impossible to quantify because it becomes so granular. I fully take your point and get where you’re coming from.
I think people are so excited for a CFB season to happen but the “there’s so much money involved that state funded and ran universities would put fan and athletes lives in danger to have the season” is a bit overblown.
I have a VERY hard time believing that, in the end, all BCS schools end up doing the same thing. I think it is interesting to talk about regional schedules and some schools playing and some not. But I just don't think that is going to end up happening. It will get too ugly too fast.
Any idea how schools (ISU) will handle season ticket holders who paid for a full season and then only get to go to a few games or no games? Refund or hold funds to apply to next season?
Haven't the AZ schools been making noises in the past that they were considering leaving the PAC 12? Could the CA system decision to not have classes this Fall be the end of their patience with what they've not liked about their affiliation with the Pac 12? If so, could they be worked into the Big 12 schedule for this Fall?
There are a lot of interesting logistics that schools will need to figure out. AKA maximum class sizes, etc.
It will be interesting how athletic departments address living and training table. Will they want the football players to live in a single location on or off-campus. Or does it make sense to live independently as they historically have.
I am probably in the minority, but if mitigation steps are taken, college campuses could be a fairly safe place this fall if kids stay within the community.
It will be interesting how athletic departments address living and training table. Will they want the football players to live in a single location on or off-campus. Or does it make sense to live independently as they historically have.
I am probably in the minority, but if mitigation steps are taken, college campuses could be a fairly safe place this fall if kids stay within the community.
I’m sure college kids will refrain from any activities that would be conducive to spreading diseases.
I feel like everyone is trying to find ways to make it happen...both FB and on-campus classes. But at some point, they are going to need to understand that we're not going to beat this thing without a vaccine. Then the call is whether to roll the dice and just let people get it and develop antibodies. That's the only real decision...they've flattened the curve and hospitals aren't overrun. Death rate isn't as bad as they once thought other than at-risk people. IMO to have FB (or classes), they need 10x the testing available, do it weekly and track the cases. Even then, it's risky. But the other risk is the economy going down the tubes and schools and athletic departments going bankrupt or having mass layoffs. It's a **** sandwich either way. The only silver lining is they still have a few months to make the call. But it's hard to see anything really changing between now and then.
The vaccine narrative is being used for K-12 kids as well. What if a vaccine is not found for 5 years? (not exaggeration, some 'experts' are saying this) They all stay home?
Its possible when they actually start testing people on a mass scale we find out we’re closer to herd immunity than we think. It sure as hell isnt going to take 5 years for that to happen.
Agree with the herd immunity direction and possible timeframe. The vaccine or nothing narrative is the entirely different, unknown box.
I dont know what they'll be on top of but we are well positioned to do well.
I for one pledge to be at least one game, unruly, drunk, and certainly sans mask.
A full season's worth of home football games is worth $80-120 million to the local economies of cities with major, elite programs (and also Iowa) - https://www.nasassets.com/creic/articles/6-college-football-town-economies.
Even cut that down to a $40 million average, then multiple across all Power 5 programs, and you're talking about another $2.5 billion.
This study is a few years old, but in 2016 the 41 bowl games had a local economic impact of $1.5 billion. I’m sure its more now.
https://frntofficesport.com/bowl-games-economic-impact/
Agreed...a conference would have to be all in to continue as planned right now. It will prove interesting to see if the large percentage of schools wanting to start are the blue bloods...those impacted most if things are shut down. Why do you think that Iowa is loudly voicing the statement that football starts up on June 1st? They can't handle the hit if they have to pay out massive athletic department salaries without income.
My biggest question here...what happens when one...just one player/staff/administrator tests positive the week of the Iowa State - Iowa game? You are talking 500+ people for each team...not even counting stadium staff, etc. Do you cancel the game? Do you postpone and try to make it up later?
Seeing what this has been over the last 9 weeks of the school year, it has been a complete disaster. If this was like this for five years, we would have a very big intellectual hole in our society.
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