Paul can talk all he wants but that doesn't mean he knows. He may know but him talking about it doesn't mean that. Of course, I can't read his post.
Paul is generally very accurate when he says something. He doesn't come out hiding behind user names and hint about 'good news'. And, when he has 'good news', he shares what he has discovered - generally with a disclaimer about whether it is rumor, fact-based, etc. Not like random posters that just say 'Good News' and go hide.