Can the Big 12 remain viable

CyCrazy

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Dec 17, 2008
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I say be aggressive, we know what the floor is (Big 12/MWC/AAC merger-thing), hand out the sweetheart deal to 2 or 4 others. I posted this in another thread:

- Let OU/Tex walk
- Propose what we offered OU/TEX (1.5 shares immediately), highlight easier path to playoff to (looking for 2 or 4):
  • USC
  • Oregon
  • ND
  • A&M
  • Any other worthy college of your choice
- Fight legal battle to say GOR has been changed with TEX/OU leaving and look to renegotiate TV rights with new teams right away.

Some school(s) may appreciate what OU/TEX didn't (money, power, easy path to playoff).

Coke is a hell of a drug. Flyover country is a real thing in CFB now.
 

CydeOut

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Nov 21, 2009
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FFS.

A&M might be beyond pissed that UT is coming, but they're not leaving the sure thing that is the SEC. They're certainly not leaving that kind of security for a Big 12 that's fighting to survive, and one that's likely to pay half - or less - of what the SEC will be offering.

ND is tied to the hip with the ACC and isn't coming.

USC and Oregon aren't coming to a conference that in time their own home conference will be picking the carcass of.

This post is what is called "delusion". ISU has much better odds of joining the SEC than anything you suggest.

Were we fighting to survive 1 week ago? 1 year ago? Nope, we were safe because we had TEX/OU. Now we don't. Our payouts with Tex/Ou are higher than the PAC-12; the PAC-12 knows they have a time zone problem and want to move east, and if you can guarantee USC 1.5 times more money than they are making now, why wouldn't they listen? What exactly are they married to in the PAC-12? Location means nothing.

Ultimately, it doesn't have to be a marriage to last forever, it just needs to last until the group of 64 happens. Can't let UCF, Houston, Memphis, etc. get on par with our brand before that time. Might as well make an already rich program even richer to keep our profile ahead of the group of 5 schools or you risk missing the bigger boat down the line.
 

isucy86

Well-Known Member
Apr 13, 2006
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I don't think a "New" Big12 would be 16 teams. IMO the Big12 had it right with 10 conference teams and no divisions. It allowed us to play all conference teams each year and top 2 teams played in conference championship game.

I think an 11 team conference could also work with a 10 game conference schedule and 2 non-con games.
 

Arch484

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Dec 9, 2016
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Highly unlikely, but one way the Big XII might survive would be to get Clemson and FSU. And, possibly 2 other ACC schools. They would be as good as TX and OU when negotiating media rights and our payday is better than the ACCs.

And, I wouldn't have to throw up in my mouth every time I think about joining the Big Ten.
I think you're safe about never joining the BIG.
 

isucy86

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Apr 13, 2006
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The remaining schools, if the league still exists, get to split Texas and OU's shares but those shares are going to be far less than they used to be because ESPN/FOX can reopen the contract and the league is obviously far less valuable from TV standpoint without the two biggest draws.
If OU and Texas leave early and that impacts the other 8 teams media rights revenue through 2025, I could see some SERIOUS litigation against OU and UT by the other 8.

Especially if ESPN or Fox were part of OU/UT approaching the SEC or Big10.
 
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1UNI2ISU

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Jan 30, 2013
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I say be aggressive, we know what the floor is (Big 12/MWC/AAC merger-thing), hand out the sweetheart deal to 2 or 4 others. I posted this in another thread:

- Let OU/Tex walk
- Propose what we offered OU/TEX (1.5 shares immediately), highlight easier path to playoff to (looking for 2 or 4):
  • USC
  • Oregon
  • ND
  • A&M
  • Any other worthy college of your choice
- Fight legal battle to say GOR has been changed with TEX/OU leaving and look to renegotiate TV rights with new teams right away.

Some school(s) may appreciate what OU/TEX didn't (money, power, easy path to playoff).

Might as well invite the '85 Bears too.

Also, you can't have it both ways. Can't say that the round robin is the toughest test in college football and claim an easier path to the playoff.
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
If OU and Texas leave early and that impacts the other 8 teams media rights revenue through 2025, I could see some SERIOUS litigation against OU and UT by the other 8.

Especially if ESPN or Fox were part of OU/UT approaching the SEC or Big10.
If our payouts get dropped to 10 MM each we can claim that OU/UT were inflicting about $300 MM year. So they each owe us 300MM each.

Ut/OU along with the SEC may be trying to help some of us to get into another league to avoid that and avoid the big XII saying fine, we are keeping you off TV for 3-4 years then.
 
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1UNI2ISU

Well-Known Member
Jan 30, 2013
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If OU and Texas leave early and that impacts the other 8 teams media rights revenue through 2025, I could see some SERIOUS litigation against OU and UT by the other 8.

Especially if ESPN or Fox were part of OU/UT approaching the SEC or Big10.

So in the face of drastically reduced revenues, your want to spend 10s of millions more dollars fighting Disney's lawyers?
 

Cyclone27inQC

Well-Known Member
Jun 16, 2010
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Been stewing on this topic for a few minutes and here are my thoughts on our landing spot.

1) BIG 10.
2) Pac 12.
3) Merge with AAC as a last resort for the following reason.

a) Getting Cinny, Houston or Central Florida might awaken a sleeping giant if they hit it big and they move up, the pecking order for the 64 spots. Realignment isn't over and could rear it's ugly head at anytime so we don't need more teams bidding for the last few spots.
 
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HFCS

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2010
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It's not BS at all. It's reality. While in stadium attendance is a sign of a strong brand and puts money in the pocket of the AD, it has no effect on TV revenue.

What the numbers in that article state are not the AAC's strength, but rather just how weak we are without OU and UT. UCF got $7.5M from the AAC for 2019. I would suspect a league with our leftovers and their best schools would probably fetch $10-15M per year per school. You can do the math as to what the shortfall would be from what we have now. Point being, the point of the author while true is moot. Well, mostly moot. Moot with the exception being that they can probably fetch more money with Big 12 orphans.

If I took away the best network and time slot that would have no effect on AAC numbers?

Of course it would.

The truth is very obviously somewhere in between.

We're not talking about small differences in ticket sales and ticket prices. It's a wide gap other than KU.

Why would an ISU fan blindly slurp up unscientific data from a UCF blogger?
 

HFCS

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2010
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Remember the old Big East maintained its Power status for awhile after Miami and the other big programs left. It had only SEVEN members and none were blue bloods

UConn might have got a bcs bowl with 6 or 7 wins and like a 50 sagarin rating iirc.
 

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