Kansas to Big 10?

AuH2O

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Sep 7, 2013
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Yeah, that's along the lines of my ag reference. I've no doubt that Mississippi St. has some programs they do better. But you're really not talking about the masses of students who are majoring in things like business, biology, education, chemistry, communications, pre-professional programs, etc. Yeah if I want to be a veterinarian I'm going to ISU and being happy with it. But if you're in the more common majors that are shared by all major public universities, there's no way a kid from Mississippi St. is going to be as highly regarded as a kid from Michigan. And a big part of it is the industry/business connections they gain from faculty that's just flat out superior.
I agree that it matters for getting into grad schools, absolutely for some majors. It matters for a very small handful of companies for certain types of positions. But for a vast majority of people once you are in the workforce it simply doesn’t matter. Promotions up the ranks to pretty high levels are decided with zero consideration for where you got your undergrad. There’s a reason when you look at surveys of employers ranking their satisfaction by school they don’t correlate very well with US News.
 

FriendlySpartan

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But they are, usually for high paying gigs.
There is a whole stupid arrogance on hiring people from certain schools that a lot of companies have a hard on for. I dont agree with it but i have taken advantage of it.
 

Gonzo

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A person that attends and gradates from Michigan or Texas or Harvard gain two things over a grad from ISU or TT. Having those schools are going to get you an interview and the people that you get a opportunity to meet and know in college, because of their last name might allow you to start further up the corp. ladder and thereby helping you in the future. It's not what you know but who you know.

The actual quality of education difference for 95% of the programs for most people is very small. You are paying for the name and contacts not the quality of education you will receive.

And I'd argue that "quality of education" includes things like faculty mentoring, industry connections, in-roads to elite grad programs.

Don't disagree that a biology undergrad program at School A and School B won't be that much difference in terms of curriculum, activities, field work, etc. The difference is the doors that it opens.
 

Gonzo

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those rankings are flawed. As you said. Still, the SEC rankings aren't horrible. You make it sound like the SEC is nothing but a bunch of Boise States.

Lol, seriously? 25% of the SEC is ranked below #140. Not a single B1G school is ranked below #140. All but one B1G school is ranked #88 or higher. Only four of the SEC's 14 schools are ranked #88 or higher.
 

Gonzo

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There is a whole stupid arrogance on hiring people from certain schools that a lot of companies have a hard on for. I dont agree with it but i have taken advantage of it.

There's just a different world going on out there. Same reason people send their kids to elite prep schools on the East Coast. They get them into the Ivy's, which unlocks the doors to the financial kingdom. Just the way it is. My older daughter is studying elementary ed at ISU, plans to teach either in the DSM area or maybe up in Minney which is where a lot of the friends she's made are from. And that makes me happy. Same thing with the Mississippi St. students, if they want to graduate and have a nice career in or around that area, it's perfect. My only point is that the Northwesterns, Michigans, Illinois, Wisconsins, etc. (obviously just from the B1G) are going to open the kind of 1% career doors that Mississippi St. just won't for the most part. And that's what builds perceptions on "quality of education" between schools.
 
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FriendlySpartan

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There's just a different world going on out there. Same reason people send their kids to elite prep schools on the East Coast. They get them into the Ivy's, which unlocks the doors to the financial kingdom. Just the way it is. My older daughter is studying elementary ed at ISU, plans to teach either in the DSM area or maybe up in Minney which is where a lot of the friends she's made is from. And that makes me happy. Same thing with the Mississippi St. students, if they want to graduate and have a nice career in or around that area, it's perfect. My only point is that the Northwesterns, Michigans, Illinois, Wisconsins, etc. (obviously just from the B1G) are going to open the kind of 1% career doors that Mississippi St. just won't for the most part. And that's what builds perceptions on "quality of education" between schools.
It becomes a self fulfilling prophecy too where the only people you see around you and work with are from those top universities so people just keep repeating what's worked. A lot of very good candidates get left behind or never brought through the door in the first place.
 

ForeverIowan

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I love everyone’s optimism…I really do. I wish I shared it. I sincerely hope I am wrong. I do not know what variables Fox (for example) would use. I fully admit that. I do not know anything in the slightest. My gut and intuition is just telling me to be prepared for a financial change to our athletic department. Will I go to all games and donate more going forward? Absolutely. It’s also okay for Cyclones fans to differ in our opinions.

What factors are you using in your model? Please do elaborate. The B1G Ten commish said decisions made today will impact the next 50 years of the sport. Are you forecasting for 40-50 years in the future? Have you talked to University Presidents, Athletic Directors, Executives of Amazon, Apple, FOX or ESPN to understand what they will value most in the next 10, 15, 50 years down the road? A team making the playoffs earns their conference major $. Iowa State would have made a 12 team playoff last year and are currently projected to make a 12 team playoff this year. Perhaps an up and coming program with a superstar young coach is very attractive for that reason. Did you factor that in? How much does ISU bring on the academic side classified as an AAU school? How much weight does that hold with University Presidents? Did you factor all of that into your formula? Iowa State is a perfect fit geographically. Im sure that factors into your formula even if only in a small way. Iowa State has great facilities and currently the largest football stadium in the Big 12 (outside of OU and Texas) and an AD committed to making constant improvements. Was that factored in? ISU has an absolutely rabid basketball fanbase and Hilton is widely considered one of the top venues in college basketball. Fanbase POURS $ into conference and NCAA tourneys. Did you enter that into your computer?
 
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ISUTex

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Lol, seriously? 25% of the SEC is ranked below #140. Not a single B1G school is ranked below #140. All but one B1G school is ranked #88 or higher. Only four of the SEC's 14 schools are ranked #88 or higher.

Who gives a ****? Those "U.S. News" rankings are a crock.
 

ImperialCyclone

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Sep 11, 2012
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What factors are you using in your model? Please do elaborate. The B1G Ten commish said decisions made today will impact the next 50 years of the sport. Are you forecasting for 40-50 years in the future? Have you talked to University Presidents, Athletic Directors, Executives of Amazon, Apple, FOX or ESPN to understand what they will value most in the next 10, 15, 50 years down the road? A team making the playoffs earns their conference major $. Iowa State would have made a 12 team playoff last year and are currently projected to make a 12 team playoff this year. Perhaps an up and coming program with a superstar young coach is very attractive for that reason. Did you factor that in? How much does ISU bring on the academic side classified as an AAU school? How much weight does that hold with University Presidents? Did you factor all of that into your formula? Iowa State is a perfect fit geographically. Im sure that factors into your formula even if only in a small way. Iowa State has great facilities and currently the largest football stadium in the Big 12 (outside of OU and Texas) and an AD committed to making constant improvements. Was that factored in? ISU has an absolutely rabid basketball fanbase and Hilton is widely considered one of the top venues in college basketball. Fanbase POURS $ into conference and NCAA tourneys. Did you enter that into your computer?

I am not refuting any of those things. I sincerely believe we deserve a seat at the table. I just think it won’t be in the big 10. No statistical/machine learning model can predict the future. We are allowed to disagree. All of the things you say have value to us as fans. It’s why I am at every game. I am also fully aware of comments made by Bob Bowlsby in regards to the Big 12 value in potential tv contract negotiations (-50%). That puts each school media value around 17-20 million per school. Every other power conference Makes more than that. So what is their motivation to add those schools? It’s the reason the big 12 never expanded past 10.

As I have repeatedly said, I don’t know the models used by tv companies. I just don’t see how any of those 8 teams can add anything to the current makeup of conferences as they stand right now. It breaks my heart, but that reality is looking more and more likely.
 

NDMARTIN2015

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USC isn’t leaving the Pac 12. If they do, it won’t be without UCLA. USC is private, but they are tied to UCLA in more ways than we could imagine. Having talked to people that went to both schools, they both agreed. I just don’t see those two schools making the change. The Pac 12 is huge on non revenue sports. This realignment stems from football. Don’t put too much stock into any of the USC rumors you see.
 

cyrocksmypants

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West Virginia was willing to join the Big 12 for the money so I suppose USC could do the same with the Big 10. But at some point, do you ask yourself whether the extra money is worth it? Isn't college football better off with USC playing its rivals on the west coast?
Slightly different scenario of WVU fleeing a dying conference and USC, a founding member of the Pac, fleeing to be a west coast team in an east coast conference.
 
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madguy30

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Show me some proof. There should be some stats to back up your comments.

Others already debunked it.

Was thinking more just general TV sets but apparently bars having games on doesn't count any more.

So I was wrong. And now you can feel satisfied.
 

19210

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The B1G does hold all the cards... ISU will end up taking less $ for a while, until they become fully vested. The other schools still win and they land a much needed school with competitive sports teams.
I wouldn't say all the cards. The mega conference is still looking to add some schools and it all depends who says yes or do the schools who decline risk being left out of something bigger down the road. Not too many dominos have to fall for the ACC and PAC to collapse. Then all the Big 10 can do is pick up the remaining pieces. The Mega conference isn't going to play anyone outside of their conference. They will have their own playoff and championship with no NCAA telling them what to do. So really it is up to the Big 10 to save college football make sure Ohio State and Michigan are happy, plus leave the Pac intact and form some sort of alliance. Hopefully the two conferences will at least be nice enough to absorb the remainder of the Big 12 to form 2 decent conferences with the champion of each conference playing against each other for the championship.
 

19210

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Sorry, that's not actually recognized. That's like calling Northwestern BIG champions last year.
Not so fast....did you play every team in the Big 14? We played every team in our conference and had the best record. So really we are the champs. If you won the Big 10 West you would consider yourselves the Big West Champions and ride that for everything it is worth. Granted you would lose in the actual conference championship. Doesn't seem fair to have to play a team twice like Oklahoma when we already beat them to be considered the champions. And that's why we didn't have a conference championship game because it was already decided on the field with our round Robin play. Until the playoff committee started holding it against us.
 

Cloneon

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I am not a hawk troll. Born and raised in Ames. 3 degrees from Iowa State. I build statistical models for a living. Any which way, I don’t see how any of the leftover 8 bring enough to the table to any major conference. Any other conference would be in this position if their flagship schools left. The only thing ISU has to offer other power conferences are inventory and academics. Every model I can think of has us falling short of actually adding anything. I am not sure Campbell will want to stay here nor Jamie Pollard after our athletic budget is gutted by 20 million per year. Every writer/media member is hearing the same thing from industry sources. I just wish more of my fellow Cyclones fans would see the writing on the wall here.
But do you invest? Do you envision the future of not just the sport, but the entire marketing landscape. I ask because I have my whole life. The PC, the internet, search engines, social platforms: I foresaw all of that. You continue to see ISU as a microcosm of your pessimism. Instead try imagining how you'd prefer to watch football in 10 years, 20 years, 30 years. Your statistical modeling is predicated on an existing paradigm which I'm 100% certain won't even exist in 10 years. Maybe you should provide some examples of your statistical modeling so you can lend some credibility to your statements. Even if ISU comes up short in all this, I am still 100% confident the SEC power move will come up even shorter. The numbers and egos just do not support the money being thrown at it. The future of CFP is the product 'as a whole'; not just a few elite teams. And the product is stronger in numbers. PERIOD.
 

Cloneon

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These are fair points. I don’t know anything and never claimed I did. I have no idea what ISU is doing except what has been stated publicly. However, if I have experience as a “bean counter” that does this kind of thing, that isn’t meaningless. The only way I can see a value add for the B1G is if we take a half share of revenue for ~10 years. Even then, it will be close. So why expand at all then if you are the B1G.

There are non-model based factors here. Maybe inventory is the goal. Maybe Fox’s algorithm is different. I have no idea. I am saying that any reputable source out there has Iowa State as a negative for all other power conferences. The economics could change if we were in another conference too. I understand that. I am saying it may not be enough.
Every reputable source without a motive?
 

Cloneon

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I don’t know anything, I admit it. I think it’s pretty clear there aren’t very many teams left who “move the needle” in regards to a financial benefit to the B1G … Notre Dame, of course; maybe USC; there’s not much else.

What gets forgotten, though, is will the B1G (or the PAC) feel it’s necessary to expand just to keep up with the SEC? If either conference feels like they need to grow to 16 or 20, just for the arms race aspect, then it doesn’t really matter about the “financial viability” of who you add … if you can’t get the 2 or 3 prize schools, then geography and cultural/academic fit begin to matter a lot more. I just don’t think the B1G could really make a viable, financially successful conference that extends from Rutgers and Maryland to USC and Washington … that seems like fool’s gold to me (unless it’s basically two conferences, a West and an East, under a B1G 20 umbrella or something).

Maybe the B1G is fine staying at 14, for now. Maybe the PAC is okay with 12 (that I doubt a little more, I think they’re going to feel like they need to pick up some more members). If that’s the case, Iowa State and the rest of the Angry 8 will need to bring in some more members themselves.

But if either conference decides they have to grow to keep up with the SEC - and that seems likely to me in the near future - they’ll have a “wish list” and they’ll have some contingency choices. I gotta think ISU is at least on the B1G contingency list, and probably higher up with the PAC.

But I admit I don’t know anything, I’m just a guy on a message board.
My guess is the B1G doesn't need 'expansion' to keep up, but rather a cohesive plan with all conferences to maintain the quality of college football.