Big 12 Expansion (new thread)

StPaulCyclone

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Duh!
I’m convinced that guy is a relative of clonedude
He’s the guy during the orderly evacuation that is still screaming “FIRE!” the whole time.
Everything I've read said BYU was absolutely under consideration very early in the Big 12 formation.

Then politics and we ended up with goddam Baylor
Why did I think it was Houston, until the BU govern pulled rank?
 
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JM4CY

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He’s the guy during the orderly evacuation that is still screaming “FIRE!” the whole time.

Why did I think it was Houston, until the BU govern pulled rank?
But not a people. He’s talking to some office plant and is pissed it’s not taking the initiative to save itself.
 
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cyclones500

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The big ten doesn't want (UL) or Kansas. There are only about 4 schools in the Pac, and 4 schools in the ACC that the Big ten would want.

I'll take you at your word. Curious about which 4 from each that would be on B1G "want" list, in your opinion/assessment.

I ask not to dispute it (I can't guarantee how others will react). Also wonder if you're counting Notre Dame as "ACC," but that's a separate detail.
 

trajanJ

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This might have more to do with how big the SEC wants to get and what is their end game. Everything is trending south including population and athletics, especially outdoor athletics like football, baseball, softball and track. The SEC rules those sports especially compared to the Big and that gap is just going to continue to get bigger. If the SEC goes after the top PAC schools why would they choose the Big over the SEC?
 
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FriendlySpartan

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I'll take you at your word. Curious about which 4 from each that would be on B1G "want" list, in your opinion/assessment.

I ask not to dispute it (I can't guarantee how others will react). Also wonder if you're counting Notre Dame as "ACC," but that's a separate detail.
Wow you are a super nice poster. ND i dont consider in the ACC but the big ten would take them in a second. ACC schools are UNC, Virginia, Clemson, and most likely FSU. PAC is USC, Oregon, Washington, and Colorado. Personally i would take ucla or stanford over colorado but leadership loves colorado.

I've always thought the arizona schools could have great value but they never come up in conversations.

All that being said the big ten really doesn't want to expand and just keep the status quo as long as possible.
 
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cyman05

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Some really odd statements in here. I follow realignment pretty closely and I have no idea what some of these things are getting at. Referencing ESPN making decisions for the B12, time being of the essence for making moves, and people not understanding what is going on but there is a method behind it all???

Other than Memphis and Boise State being next in line, look for visits and/or discussions to take place with Tulane, SMU and possibly even Southern Mississippi. Sources say there's a method to this madness and while on the surface many won't see or understand the appeal, ESPN will have its hand in which teams would be added.

Despite animosity or legal maneuvering, the Big 12, Texas, OU, SEC and ESPN will need in some way to work together to make this happen sooner rather than later.

Don't overlook Texas wanting to make it feel or look like they have something on the Big 12, but bottom line is that Texas has all the money to spend and will spend it if it comes down to being the last hurdle.
 

jcyclonee

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Wow you are a super nice poster. ND i dont consider in the ACC but the big ten would take them in a second. ACC schools are UNC, Virginia, Clemson, and most likely FSU. PAC is USC, Oregon, Washington, and Colorado. Personally i would take ucla or stanford over colorado but leadership loves colorado.

I've always thought the arizona schools could have great value but they never come up in conversations.

All that being said the big ten really doesn't want to expand and just keep the status quo as long as possible.
Based upon past practice, I think the BIG would consider Georgia Tech. Hopefully, they are changing their business model to match the new reality. That being said, the old business model will still probably be pretty profitable for another 10 years or so.
 

cykadelic2

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I fail to see how additional expansion makes the remaining Big 12 schools any additional money, or, really, how it makes any sense at all unless the Big 12 plans on losing more teams.
It has got to be the latter. There is no flippin way the likes of ISU and KU will be affiliated with Boise St, Memphis and Southern Miss (LOL).
 
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FriendlySpartan

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Based upon past practice, I think the BIG would consider Georgia Tech. Hopefully, they are changing their business model to match the new reality. That being said, the old business model will still probably be pretty profitable for another 10 years or so.
You aren't wrong, but GT is so bad at so many sports that the Atlanta market might not carry it. Otherwise its a perfect expansion target
 

WhoISthis

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This might have more to do with how big the SEC wants to get and what is their end game. Everything is trending south including population and athletics, especially outdoor athletics like football, baseball, softball and track. The SEC rules those sports especially compared to the Big and that gap is just going to continue to get bigger. If the SEC goes after the top PAC schools why would they choose the Big over the SEC?
Yes, the SEC and their broker ESPN are driving this thing. I think it favors occurring in 5 years.
Clemson will never have a higher valuation (see FSU as a cautionary tale), UNC's ability to dictate the breakup decreases with each year, Duke post Coach K could make it harder for them to leverage their way into either.

Eventually the BIG will have to jump in, or it will be a P1 situation. Delaney would have had them exploiting this and getting with the times, adding 6 ACC schools if that is what it took to secure the BIGs footprint in the South and hedge the SEC's play. But Warren and current leadership are as good.

The BIG is going to have to rely on the "we promise to invite you in 10 years" slow play to 2-4 ACC members, and hope it doesn't get leaked. Once it is leaked, ESPN and fear would take it from there to finish off the ACC.

With things like the bathroom bill response by the ACC getting backlash in NC, politics will also have a say. Add in going to the BIG and having VT and NC St in the SEC is less than appealing, and the SEC being a much better brand in the South, and I fear we're looking at a SEC with OuT and the top 4-6 most valuable ACC brands. They may add KU to help the basketball bluebloods feel at home.
 

isu81

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Interest in adding Boise and SDSU better just be a ploy to get the Pac12 to drive USC and Oregon out by inviting two G5’s to a conference already teetering.

The moment any more G5’s are added to the Big 12 is when you know at least two of the leftover 8 have lined up an invite to SEC or BIG. If the networks are twisting Bob and the Presidents to add Boise before the next moves in realignment, they’re getting played again. Pass on the short term bump, see what becomes available

At this point, Ok St/KU benefit more from staying in the Big 12 over going to the Pac12 or ACC with inherent instability. You could make a case that WVU/KU rather be in a depleted ACC, but at that point, a pseudo merger likely makes both sides happier.
You think the P12 and ACC are more unstable than the B12?
 

WhoISthis

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Based upon past practice, I think the BIG would consider Georgia Tech. Hopefully, they are changing their business model to match the new reality. That being said, the old business model will still probably be pretty profitable for another 10 years or so.
5-10 years ago GT was on many of the BIG's march-to-the-sea plans of attack. They've been so bad, but imo they are still worth the add, if doing so in 2021. Atlanta is a huge CFB market, heart of the south, and key for the BIG to make a presence there if grabbing FSU and Clemson too. There are so many transients and ACC grads in Atlanta, I think GT would get them in-market (hence the 2021 comment).
 

WhoISthis

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You think the P12 and ACC are more unstable than the B12?
Absolutely.

Leftover 8 implies not wanted. Nothing is more stable than having members with no other options.

On the other hand, there is $30-$40 million/year for why the Pac12 and ACC are looking at losing their best programs. Pac 12 is barely making it to the end of their GOR as it is. If they lose USC and Co, they are done. No one leaving the Big 12 to go play Oregon St, WSU, Utah, etc. It is much more likely, the Mountain time zone schools join the Big 12. The ACC is probably in more peril given the proximity to the SEC, and the BIG having well known interest in several schools.
 

jcyclonee

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You aren't wrong, but GT is so bad at so many sports that the Atlanta market might not carry it. Otherwise its a perfect expansion target
They're kind of like the southern Rutgers.

At some point, a cable company is going to say no to the Big Ten Network. Heck, up here in the Twin Cities (a Big Ten city with pretty good college support) something like 80% of the cable customers didn't want the Big Ten Network on the primary tier of channels but it was pushed through. I suppose that the Big Ten would do their research to see if the cable thing would still work in Atlanta. If not, Georgia Tech would probably be left out.
 

jcyclonee

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Yes, the SEC and their broker ESPN are driving this thing. I think it favors occurring in 5 years.
Clemson will never have a higher valuation (see FSU as a cautionary tale), UNC's ability to dictate the breakup decreases with each year, Duke post Coach K could make it harder for them to leverage their way into either.

Eventually the BIG will have to jump in, or it will be a P1 situation. Delaney would have had them exploiting this and getting with the times, adding 6 ACC schools if that is what it took to secure the BIGs footprint in the South and hedge the SEC's play. But Warren and current leadership are as good.

The BIG is going to have to rely on the "we promise to invite you in 10 years" slow play to 2-4 ACC members, and hope it doesn't get leaked. Once it is leaked, ESPN and fear would take it from there to finish off the ACC.

With things like the bathroom bill response by the ACC getting backlash in NC, politics will also have a say. Add in going to the BIG and having VT and NC St in the SEC is less than appealing, and the SEC being a much better brand in the South, and I fear we're looking at a SEC with OuT and the top 4-6 most valuable ACC brands. They may add KU to help the basketball bluebloods feel at home.
I thought that I remembered reading that NC takes pride in being a "Southern" school. If this is correct it makes way more sense for them to move to the SEC than the BIG.
 

Gorm

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You think the P12 and ACC are more unstable than the B12?

The ACC is stable for the moment due to their GOR. Until there is some precedent where a GOR can be broken for minimal damages, that conference is locked up tight for at least another 12-14 years. (2036)

The PAC-12 on the other hand, isn't stable. Too many of their members just don't have the support or interest of the teams out east. Their TV contract is up here in 2 years. If they are forced to go to un-equal revenue sharing to support their 2 tent pole brands, you'll see a situation just like the old Big 12 start to happen. They have a LOT of issues to work out before 2024, and that is just around the corner.
 

cyIclSoneU

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I thought that I remembered reading that NC takes pride in being a "Southern" school. If this is correct it makes way more sense for them to move to the SEC than the BIG.

The state of North Carolina is culturally different in many pockets from "the South" and nowhere is this more true than the Triangle region that includes Chapel Hill. UVA and UNC are better cultural fits in the B1G than the SEC, before you even consider the academic prestige of either.
 

NWICY

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Once OU and Texas leaves this is still going to be a very solid conference top to bottom (minus KU). Unfortunately no elite teams though. Still think it's a better (actually play of football) conference than ACC and PAC.

TJ's going to have to have his ducks in a row, I think it will be a better MBB conference than the old B12 was. Bill might have caught a break on the women's side. Got rid of a improving Tx Ou had been down a while.

I'm not sure where the dollar side of things end up, but from a good product on the field there is a ton of potential.
 
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