John Deere strike imminent?

SCNCY

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So what is it that the union members want? The members are upset at both their union leaders as well as Deere, so what do they want to make themselves happy? New leadership?
 
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DeereClone

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That’s what I’ve heard too. If it looks like it might go on that long I wonder if it’s worth it to hire and train some scabs.

They should hire scabs and run a second shift time slot so people can go work at Deere at night after their regular jobs. I’d be interested.
 
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Sigmapolis

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The specific scenario you laid out would have the second person coming out way ahead. Here's a couple of different scenarios.

Both people are injured in their 40's and can no longer work.

Both people live way beyond their anticipated life expectancy.

Its not clear who would be better off.

As the math above showed, the person receiving a 6% return (which is below the long-term average return of the S&P 500) over the course of a lifetime would have around twice their working income when they retire in perpetuity. The SS recipient would have only a fraction of working income. The second scenario you described could not happen; they would not be able to outlive that long-term income.

Trying to use the disability insurance program to cover for the flaws in the old age program in SS goes to show the weaknesses in the structure of the latter. They're not really a package deal. There's no reason you could not leave the disability insurance unchanged while allowing the old age program to generate market-average returns instead of no returns at all. As I said, it's a much better deal to American workers.

You seem to think my aim is just to blow everything up. Nah, not really. The goals the SS program was created to address -- old age income security and disability insurance -- are worthy ones. I'm just not convinced it is done in the most efficient way right now. "If you are going to do it, then do it right," and there is really no case what we're doing now is the best way. It's almost comical how conservative you want to be.

Crashing a market that bad would require something like a nuclear war. One of those classic "you've got bigger things to worry about" scenarios than your retirement accounts' savings at that point.

You seem to think the market has little or no risk for those involved, and if they just wait it out, then they will be far ahead over what they would be in a regular investment type program. You may be, or you may not be, but being in the market is no guarantee of wealth in the future.

You would rather be in the market, you seem to think you have a better idea of where and how to invest that money that will do the best for you. How many others have that same level of knowledge and confidence to do the same? Most would say few, you will respond that they can learn, which is true, but many they do not want to, or choose not too.

Its all about risk and reward, some people just do not to risk their future retirement, no matter how big the reward might be.

I still don't get you.

You do realize that nearly 60% of your IPERS is in the market, right?

Some subset of that is in private equity, too, which is even riskier than the S&P 500?

Why aren't you panicking? You keep ignoring this point.
 
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cyfan21

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I think it has to do more with not being able to keep it and pass it on or just build something. A worker out of HS making 10/hour (caseys workers make more) and working 50 years (to basic retirement age and rounding up) at 6% (conservative investing) would have 750k there. At 6% they would generate 45k/ year in interest (double their regular wages). Compounding is how a large share of people create wealth, SS doesn’t.
Imagine if they put all or even some in a Roth or traditional IRA.
 
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cyfan21

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Just a real life comment on SS. A significant part of my SS payment is spent on my Medicare Premium, Medicare Supplement and Medicare RX payments. I have always been self employed and my wife has always worked in finance, consequently we have always been self insured as her employers insurance was always substandard and was not fully funded. She is not old enough to go on Medicare. My premiums are north of $4,500 which is about what I was paying for health insurance prior to reaching 65. Incidentally, my Medicare Blue RX went to $82 per month which is roughly $1,000 annually and I have very little monthly RX usage. When I discussed this with my insurance agent where I purchased the supplement that my health insurance premium wasn't all that different he said that the coverage and deductable made up the difference. Bottom line....if you envision reaching Medicare age and eliminating health insurance premiums, think again.
Get started on an HSA as early as you can and invest it all in S&P index fund. Sit and wait until 65 and use that to pay for your medicare advantage or supplement premiums.
 
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isucy86

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why are they upset with the UAW? Because they negotiated the rejected offer?

Sounds like their is still a bad taste from the 2016 agreement. Buyers Remorse.

But I also imagine striking employees feel the time is right to get aggressive.

- Companies are having trouble hiring.
- They are seeing pretty big hourly wage increases in warehouse and retail sectors.
- Probably feel the political environment in US is favorable.
 

2forISU

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Pretty darn good offer they rejected. Doesn't make them look too good in the public eye IMO.
Plus, Deere offered union workers an enhanced retirement bonus of up to $50K, improved benefits, and a COL adjustment.
 

jsb

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Pretty darn good offer they rejected. Doesn't make them look too good in the public eye IMO.

I love how people say this and in the same breathe say that if you aren’t happy with your job you should just find a new one.

what does it matter to the general public if Deere workers go on strike? They think their salary is unfair.
 

1UNI2ISU

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why are they upset with the UAW? Because they negotiated the rejected offer?

The people that really got shafted in the 1997 contract (lost healthcare after retirement and most of the pension) are starting to creep toward 30 years in and are realizing they aren't going to get to put their 30 in and get out because they can't afford to buy health insurance privately.

It was pretty united (no pun intended) that they weren't going to do that to the next generation and this contract that they voted down took away all pension from new hires as well as increased premiums and instituted co-pays and co-insurance with not enough raise to balance that out.

The feeling is that the union leadership, which is obviously older, was selling out younger workers again. There's also some buyer's remorse from the 2015 contract because they didn't really fight for anything and just took a larger ratification bonus and didn't get enough pay.
 

MeowingCows

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Sounds like their is still a bad taste from the 2016 agreement. Buyers Remorse.

But I also imagine striking employees feel the time is right to get aggressive.

- Companies are having trouble hiring.
- They are seeing pretty big hourly wage increases in warehouse and retail sectors.
- Probably feel the political environment in US is favorable.
These are all true points. I bet the strikers feel like they have a ton of leverage now that they wouldn't in a typical contract year. Depends now on how long they can keep up the game of chicken.
 

BryceC

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I love how people say this and in the same breathe say that if you aren’t happy with your job you should just find a new one.

what does it matter to the general public if Deere workers go on strike? They think their salary is unfair.

I think the point is that if they are trying to garner public support, which is part of the reason why they picket. If they are rejecting a pretty good offer they won't be getting much public sympathy. At that point why not just stay home?
 

Tre4ISU

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For a large, publicly traded company like John Deere, what is it that the CEO does that makes them worth $14.5M a year? What part of their job justifies them being compensated 2400x what the average employee does?

They don't have a direct hand in making any of the products that their company sells. They don't design new products, or develop new manufacturing techniques. So what is it about the person at the head of a company like John Deere that deems them so much more valuable then someone on the production floor?

They oversee everything you mentioned. 14.5 million is a drop in the bucket to JD and one small mistake could cost them that pretty quickly. A place like JD, with all the different line they produce doesn't just run itself.
 

deadeyededric

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I love how people say this and in the same breathe say that if you aren’t happy with your job you should just find a new one.

what does it matter to the general public if Deere workers go on strike? They think their salary is unfair.
People hate union workers when they find out how much money they make. That's always been the case. Unions are so bad you know. Hell I make about 75/hr when you figure in my benefits.
 

Urbandale2013

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And I know people who would give one of their arms for 60k. Too many people worried about what and how others make their money. Who cares if the CEO makes 60 billion. If you don't like your job.....get another. If you think you are worth 60 billion.........then go get it. This coveting BS is for the birds. If I was rank and file and heard the UAW biggies turned up their nose at a 20% over 6 years......I would be flushing my union membership yesterday.
Except that is what you are criticizing them for doing. I don’t know the details anywhere near enough to have a remotely competent stance on this specific negotiation. The 60,000 is more than I make. Just because I make less doesn’t mean they shouldn’t make more. If I think I should be making closer to them then I should tell my boss I need to make more not telling them they can’t make more.
 

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