I like your assessment. As Jeremy said, I think whether or not we do very good, or just OK, depends upon the health of Tamin. He is a freshmen and is coming off a knee injury, and is now being asked to do more than intended. How will he hold up? I hope his knee is good, but you just never know.
Otz had it all planned pretty well, counting on Hunter, and then Jeremiah, to take the brunt at point, this season. Both of those options have fallen through. The PG position is akin to a glass house this season. Fingers crossed.