He's 59-46 all time at Washington, USC, and TX.The stress of living in a fishbowl down there will eventually cause a relapse in his drinking issues. Texas football is important enough that it may be swept under the rug (unlike basketball apparently), but it will erode the program over time.
A guy like Lane Kiffin is 58-33 at Tennessee, USC, and Ole Miss for comparison.
I anticipate both of those guys will have 8-4 type teams for a while.